2012 United States presidential election in Colorado

The 2012 United States presidential election in Colorado took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Colorado voters chose nine electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan. Obama and Biden carried Colorado with 51.45% of the popular vote to Romney's and Ryan's 46.09%, thus winning the state's nine electoral votes by a 5.36% margin.[2]

2012 United States presidential election in Colorado

← 2008November 6, 20122016 →
Turnout71.17% Decrease [1]
 
NomineeBarack ObamaMitt Romney
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Home stateIllinoisMassachusetts
Running mateJoe BidenPaul Ryan
Electoral vote90
Popular vote1,323,1021,185,243
Percentage51.45%46.09%

County Results

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

As in 2008, the key to Obama's victory was Democratic dominance in the Denver area, sweeping not just the city but also the heavily populated suburban counties around Denver, particularly Adams, Arapahoe, and Jefferson counties; as well as winning Larimer County, home to Fort Collins. Obama also took nearly 70% of the vote in Boulder County, home to Boulder; and won Chaffee County, which he had lost to McCain in 2008. Romney's most populated county wins were in El Paso County, where Colorado Springs is located; and Weld County, a suburb of Denver and home to Greeley.

This election solidified Colorado's transformation from a historically Republican-leaning state into a Democratic-leaning swing state. Obama's 2012 victory in the state, on the heels of his 2008 victory, marked the first time that the Democrats had carried Colorado in two consecutive elections since the landslide re-election of Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1936, the first time that the state had voted Democratic in a close election since 1948, and the first time since 1964 that a sitting Democratic president carried Colorado.

Colorado served as the tipping-point state for Obama's overall victory in the presidential election; that is, the first state to give a candidate their 270th electoral vote when all states are arranged by their margins of victory. Colorado was also the tipping-point state for Obama's 2008 victory. This marks the second time in history that a president was elected and re-elected by winning the same tipping-point state, after Richard Nixon was carried to victory by Ohio twice in 1968 and 1972.

As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last election in which rural Conejos County, Huerfano County, and Las Animas County have voted for the Democratic candidate. This is also the most recent presidential election where Colorado voted to the right of Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Iowa, Nevada, Maine and New Hampshire.

Caucuses

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Democratic caucuses

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Incumbent President Barack Obama ran unopposed in the Colorado Democratic caucuses.

Republican caucuses

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2012 Colorado Republican caucuses

← 2008February 7, 2012 (2012-02-07)2016 →
 
CandidateRick SantorumMitt Romney
Home statePennsylvaniaMassachusetts
Delegate count614
Popular vote26,61423,012
Percentage40.3%34.9%

 
CandidateNewt GingrichRon Paul
Home stateGeorgiaTexas
Delegate count04
Popular vote8,4457,759
Percentage12.8%11.8%

Colorado results by county
  Rick Santorum
  Mitt Romney
  Newt Gingrich
  Tie

The Republican caucuses were held on "Republican Party Precinct Caucus Day" (February 7, 2012).[3] Caucus locations opened on 9 PM, February 7, 2012,[4] with 36 delegates at stake; 33 of which are tied to the caucuses while 3 are unpledged RNC delegates.[5] The event occurred alongside the Minnesota Republican caucuses as well the Missouri Republican primary. The race was widely expected to be won by Mitt Romney even on the day of the caucus, but a strong surge by Rick Santorum across all three races that day carried him to a close victory.

Colorado Republican caucus, February 7, 2012[6]
CandidateVotesPercentageProjected delegate countConvention Results [7][8]
MSNBC
[9]
GP
[10]
Rick Santorum26,61440.31%666
Mitt Romney23,01234.85%131413
Newt Gingrich8,44512.79%000
Ron Paul7,75911.75%300
Rick Perry520.08%000
Jon Huntsman460.07%000
Michele Bachmann280.04%000
Others710.11%000
Unprojected delegates:1400
Unpledged delegates:01617
Totals:66,027100.00%363636
Key:Withdrew
prior to contest

Conventions

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There is no formal system of allocating delegates to candidates in any step of the election process. At each meeting the participants decides what the best course of action is.
None of the 36 delegates are legally bound to vote for a candidate.[11]

  • 12–13 April: Seven congressional conventions elects 3 National Convention delegates each and also elects delegates for the state convention.
  • 14 April: State convention elects 12 National Convention delegates.
Convention Results[7][12]
Candidate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7thStateParty leadersTotal
Uncommitted22220114317
Mitt Romney00101218013
Rick Santorum1101201006
Total2112336

General election

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Ballot access

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On the campaign trail, President Obama watches as graduates toss their hats during the United States Air Force Academy commencement ceremony at Falcon Stadium, USAF Academy in Colorado Springs, May 23, 2012.
  • Virgil Goode/Jim Clymer, Constitution
  • Barack Obama/Joseph Biden, Democratic
  • Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan, Republican
  • Gary Johnson/James P. Gray, Libertarian
  • Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala, Green
  • Stewart Alexander/Alex Mendoza, Socialist
  • Rocky Anderson/Luis J. Rodriguez, Justice
  • Roseanne Barr/Cindy Shehan, Peace and Freedom
  • James Harris/Alyson Kennedy, Socialist Workers
  • Tom Hoefling/J.D. Ellis, America's
  • Gloria La Riva/Filberto Ramirez Jr., Socialism and Liberation
  • Merlin Miller/Harry V. Bertram, American Third Position
  • Jill Reed/Tom Cary, Twelve Visions Party
  • Thomas Robert Stevens/Alden Link, Objectivist
  • Shella "Samm" Tittle/Matthew A. Turner, We the People
  • Jerry White/Phyllis Scherrer, Socialist Equality

Polling

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Incumbent Barack Obama started off with a wide lead in polls ranging from 1 to 13 points, which continued throughout the early summer of 2012. On August 6, Romney won his first poll, 50% to 45%. Throughout the rest of the summer, and September, with the exception of a few points, Obama won almost every poll but narrowly. In October, Romney gained momentum and the race throughout October was essentially tied, with neither candidate taking a significant lead. The last week before the election, Obama gained momentum and won each of the 4 pre-election polls. The average of the last 3 pre-election polls showed Obama leading Romney 49.7% to 46.3%.[13] The final pre-election poll showed Obama leading Romney 52% to 46%, which was accurate compared to the results. Washington Post rated this race "Toss-Up."[14][15]

Results

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2012 United States presidential election in Colorado
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
DemocraticBarack Obama (incumbent)Joe Biden (incumbent)1,323,10251.45%9
RepublicanMitt RomneyPaul Ryan1,185,24346.09%0
LibertarianGary JohnsonJim Gray35,5451.38%0
GreenJill SteinCheri Honkala7,5080.29%0
ConstitutionVirgil GoodeJim Clymer6,2340.24%0
Peace & FreedomRoseanne BarrCindy Sheehan5,0590.20%0
UnaffiliatedJill Ann ReedTom Cary2,5890.10%0
JusticeRocky AndersonLuis J. Rodriguez1,2600.05%0
OthersOthers1,0280.04%0
America's PartyThomas HoeflingJonathan D. Ellis6790.03%0
Socialism and LiberationGloria La RivaFilberto Ramirez Jr.3170.01%0
SocialistStewart AlexanderAlex Mendoza3080.01%0
American Third PositionMerlin MillerHarry Bertram2660.01%0
Socialist WorkersJames HarrisAlyson Kennedy1920.01%0
Socialist EqualityJerry WhitePhyllis Scherrer1890.01%0
Totals2,569,518100.00%9

By county

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CountyBarack Obama
Democratic
Mitt Romney
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Adams100,64956.90%70,97240.12%5,2722.98%29,67716.78%176,893
Alamosa3,81156.75%2,70540.28%1992.97%1,10616.47%6,715
Arapahoe153,90553.90%125,58843.99%6,0232.11%28,3179.91%285,516
Archuleta2,67939.78%3,87257.50%1832.72%-1,193-17.72%6,734
Baca46722.17%1,55974.03%803.80%-1,092-51.86%2,106
Bent81541.97%1,07555.36%522.67%-260-13.39%1,942
Boulder125,09169.69%49,98127.84%4,4272.47%75,11041.85%179,499
Broomfield16,96651.62%15,00845.67%8912.71%1,9585.95%32,865
Chaffee5,08648.61%5,07048.46%3062.93%160.15%10,462
Cheyenne17215.74%88981.34%322.92%-717-65.60%1,093
Clear Creek3,11954.31%2,43042.31%1943.38%68912.00%5,743
Conejos2,21353.96%1,83544.75%531.29%3789.21%4,101
Costilla1,34072.95%44624.28%512.77%89448.67%1,837
Crowley53535.62%92461.52%432.86%-389-25.90%1,502
Custer86831.97%1,78865.86%592.17%-920-33.89%2,715
Delta4,62229.02%10,91568.54%3882.44%-6,293-39.52%15,925
Denver222,01873.41%73,11124.18%7,2892.41%148,90749.23%302,418
Dolores33426.83%85969.00%524.17%-525-42.17%1,245
Douglas61,09436.35%104,39762.11%2,5931.54%-43,303-25.76%168,084
Eagle12,79256.43%9,41141.52%4652.05%3,38114.91%22,668
El Paso111,81938.54%170,95258.91%7,4042.55%-59,133-20.37%290,175
Elbert3,60325.41%10,26672.41%3092.18%-6,663-47.00%14,178
Fremont6,70432.84%13,17464.53%5382.63%-6,470-31.69%20,416
Garfield11,30546.32%12,53551.36%5682.32%-1,230-5.04%24,408
Gilpin1,89256.68%1,34640.32%1003.00%54616.36%3,338
Grand3,68445.00%4,25351.95%2503.05%-569-6.95%8,187
Gunnison5,04458.20%3,34138.55%2823.25%1,70319.65%8,667
Hinsdale22938.17%35358.83%183.00%-124-20.66%600
Huerfano1,95352.46%1,64644.21%1243.33%3078.25%3,723
Jackson21625.47%60070.75%323.78%-384-45.28%848
Jefferson159,29651.21%144,19746.36%7,5592.43%15,0994.85%311,052
Kiowa11814.37%67782.46%263.17%-559-68.09%821
Kit Carson83822.64%2,78575.23%792.13%-1,947-52.59%3,702
La Plata15,48952.85%12,79443.65%1,0253.50%2,6959.20%29,308
Lake1,83960.49%1,09836.12%1033.39%74124.37%3,040
Larimer92,74751.47%82,37645.72%5,0572.81%10,3715.75%180,180
Las Animas3,44550.20%3,26347.55%1542.25%1822.65%6,862
Lincoln55224.14%1,68773.76%482.10%-1,135-49.62%2,287
Logan2,71229.72%6,17967.72%2332.56%-3,467-38.00%9,124
Mesa23,84632.69%47,47265.08%1,6292.23%-23,626-32.39%72,947
Mineral29144.77%34452.92%152.31%-53-8.15%650
Moffat1,33021.56%4,69576.12%1432.32%-3,365-54.56%6,168
Montezuma4,54236.87%7,40160.08%3753.05%-2,859-23.21%12,318
Montrose6,13830.49%13,55267.32%4402.19%-7,414-36.83%20,130
Morgan3,91236.30%6,60261.26%2632.44%-2,690-24.96%10,777
Otero3,64744.52%4,38253.49%1631.99%-735-8.97%8,192
Ouray1,64651.41%1,48146.25%752.34%1655.16%3,202
Park3,86241.23%5,23655.90%2682.87%-1,374-14.67%9,366
Phillips58825.96%1,63772.27%401.77%-1,049-46.31%2,265
Pitkin6,84967.98%3,02430.01%2022.01%3,82537.97%10,075
Prowers1,51931.24%3,23066.42%1142.34%-1,711-35.18%4,863
Pueblo42,55155.68%31,89441.74%1,9742.58%10,65713.94%76,419
Rio Blanco56816.86%2,72480.85%772.29%-2,156-63.99%3,369
Rio Grande2,47844.79%2,91852.74%1372.47%-440-7.95%5,533
Routt7,54756.67%5,46941.07%3012.26%2,07815.60%13,317
Saguache1,86563.61%96432.88%1033.51%90130.73%2,932
San Juan26652.57%21241.90%285.53%5410.67%506
San Miguel2,99270.30%1,15427.11%1102.59%1,83843.19%4,256
Sedgwick41931.32%88165.84%382.84%-462-34.52%1,338
Summit9,34761.04%5,57136.38%3942.58%3,77624.66%15,312
Teller4,33332.16%8,70264.59%4383.25%-4,369-32.43%13,473
Washington46818.06%2,07680.12%471.82%-1,608-62.06%2,591
Weld49,05042.18%63,77554.84%3,4662.98%-14,725-12.66%116,291
Yuma98721.56%3,49076.25%1002.19%-2,503-54.69%4,577
Total1,323,10251.45%1,185,24346.09%63,5012.47%137,8595.36%2,571,846
County Flips:

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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By congressional district

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Obama won 4 of 7 congressional districts including one held by a Republican.[16]

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
1st28.83%69%Diana DeGette
2nd39.51%57.92%Jared Polis
3rd51.8%45.77%Scott Tipton
4th58.5%39.22%Cory Gardner
5th59.12%38.3%Doug Lamborn
6th46.5%51.56%Mike Coffman
7th41.26%56.09%Ed Perlmutter

See also

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References

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  1. ^ "Election Results 2012" (PDF). sos.state.co.us. Retrieved July 14, 2020.
  2. ^ "2012 General Election". Colorado Department of State. Retrieved November 22, 2012.
  3. ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on November 10, 2011. Retrieved August 16, 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  4. ^ "Colorado GOP moves up 2012 caucuses to Feb. 7". Denver Post. Associated Press. September 24, 2011. Retrieved October 3, 2011.
  5. ^ "Republican Delegate Allocation". The Green Papers. Retrieved December 3, 2011.
  6. ^ "2012 Colorado GOP Presidential Caucus Results". Colorado Republican Party. Archived from the original on February 10, 2012. Retrieved February 9, 2012.
  7. ^ a b "National Delegate Results". cologop.org. Colorado Republican Party. Retrieved April 23, 2012.
  8. ^ The Republic,CO GOP Assembly Archived 2012-04-18 at the Wayback Machine (April 22, 2012)
  9. ^ "Republican Caucuses " (May 7, 2012). MSNBC.
  10. ^ "Republican Caucus"
  11. ^ Trinko, Katrina (February 16, 2012). "Ron Paul's delegate strategy targets the unbound - CBS News". www.cbsnews.com. Retrieved June 4, 2024.
  12. ^ Bartels, Lynn (April 14, 2012). "Colorado Republicans split delegate votes between Romney, unified Paul and Santorum supporters". denverpost.com. Denver Post. Retrieved April 23, 2012.
  13. ^ "2012 - Colorado: Romney vs. Obama | RealClearPolitics".
  14. ^ "Pundit accountability: The official 2012 election prediction thread - The Washington Post". The Washington Post.
  15. ^ "2012 - Colorado: Romney vs. Obama | RealClearPolitics".
  16. ^ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".
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