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Statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election

For older polls, see Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election and Pre-2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election.

Statewide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2012 United States presidential election, which was won by incumbent President Barack Obama, are as follows. The polls show the status between Republican nominee Mitt Romney and President Obama. Also included are three- and four-way race polls with the Republican and Democratic nominees against various third party candidates.

2012 United States presidential election polling
← 2008November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06)2016 →
Leading Presidential 2012 candidate by electoral vote count. States in gray have no polling data. Polls from lightly shaded states are older than August 1, 2012 (and no more recent polls are available).
  Barack Obama
218
183
  Difference within the margin of error
130
  No data*
13

(270 electoral votes needed to win)

* 2 of Maine's congressional electoral votes and 2 of Nebraska's congressional electoral votes have not been polled.

Light shading indicates old polling data.
Incumbent before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

President-elect

Barack Obama
Democratic

Opinion polling: Obama vs Romney

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Sample size key:

LV – Likely Voters
RV – Registered Voters.

Poll source key

(R) – Source polls normally for Republicans
(D) – Source polls normally for Democrats

Alabama

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9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 60%–38%

See also: Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012

Alaska

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3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–35%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–37%

No polls conducted

Arizona

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11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy PollingNovember 2–3, 2012Obama46%Romney53%71080 LV±3.0%
YouGovOctober 31–November 3, 2012Obama44%Romney52%8702 LV±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 21, 2012Obama44%Romney52%8500 LV±4.5%
YouGovOctober 4–11, 2012Obama43% Romney52%9469 LV±5.4%
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll)October 4–10, 2012Obama44%Romney42%2523 LV±4.4%
Public Policy PollingOctober 1–3, 2012Obama44%Romney53%9595 LV±4.0%
Moore Information/HighGround (R) Archived 2012-10-03 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 25–26, 2012Obama42%Romney46%4500 LV±4%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 25, 2012Obama42%Romney52%10500 LV±4.5%
Purple StrategiesSeptember 15–19, 2012Obama45%Romney48%3600 LV±4.0%
YouGovSeptember 7–14, 2012Obama41%Romney51%10628 LVNot reported
Public Policy PollingSeptember 7–9, 2012Obama44%Romney53%9993±3.1%

Arkansas

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6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
The Arkansas PollOctober 9–14, 2012Obama31%Romney58%27642 LV±4%
Talk Business/Hendrix CollegeSeptember 17, 2012Obama34.5%Romney55.5%212228 LV±2%

California

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55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama55%Romney40%151,575 LVNot reported
Field ResearchOctober 17–30, 2012Obama54%Romney39%151,566 LV±2.6%
CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 StrategiesOctober 21–28, 2012Obama55.9%Romney33%22.92,115 LV±3%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American ViewpointOctober 15–21, 2012 Obama55%Romney38%171,400 LVNot reported
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaOctober 14–21, 2012Obama53%Romney41%12993 LV±4.0%
Reason-Rupe Public Opinion/Princeton Survey Research Associates InternationalOctober 11–15, 2012Obama53%Romney38%15508 LV±5.1%
YouGovOctober 4–11, 2012Obama58%Romney39%191169 LV±3.5%
CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 StrategiesOctober 7–10, 2012Obama54%Romney32.9%21.1830 LV±3.4%
SurveyUSAOctober 7–9, 2012Obama53%Romney39%14539 LV±4.3%
Field Research Corporation/UC Berkeley (Field Poll)September 5 – 17, 2012Obama58%Romney34%24848 LV±3.4%
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaSeptember 9 – 16, 2012Obama53%Romney39%14995 LV±4.4%
YouGovSeptember 7 – 14, 2012Obama56%Romney39%171,361 LVNot reported
CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 StrategiesSeptember 9–12, 2012Obama55.4%Romney33.4%22802 LV±3.5%
SurveyUSASeptember 9–11, 2012Obama57%Romney35%22524 LV±4.3%

Colorado

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9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Reuters/IpsosNovember 3–5, 2012Obama48%Romney47%1774 LV±4%
Public Policy PollingNovember 3–4, 2012Obama52%Romney46%61,096 LV±3%
Keating Research/OnSight Public AffairsNovember 2–4, 2012Obama50%Romney46%4603 LV±4%
Reuters/IpsosNovember 2–4, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied676 LV±4.3%
USAction/Lake Research Partners (D)October 31–November 4, 2012Obama45%Romney44%1400 LV±5%
Reuters/IpsosNovember 1–3, 2012Obama45%Romney47%2973 LV±3.6%
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama48%Romney47%1752 LV±4.1%
Reuters/IpsosOctober 31 – November 2, 2012Obama46%Romney46%Tied1,052 LV±3.4%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)October 31 – November 1, 2012Obama50%Romney46%4825 LVNot reported
Reuters/IpsosOctober 30 – November 1, 2012Obama46%Romney47%1694 LV±4.2%
Denver Post/SurveyUSAOctober 28–31, 2012Obama47%Romney45%2695 LV±3.8%
CNN/Opinion Research CorporationOctober 26–31, 2012Obama50%Romney48%2764 LV±3.5%
Reuters/IpsosOctober 29–31, 2012Obama45%Romney46%1744 LV±4.1%
We Ask AmericaOctober 30, 2012Obama50%Romney47%31,246 LV±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 29, 2012Obama47%Romney50%3500 LV±4.5%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D)October 28–29, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3500 LV±4.4%
American Research GroupOctober 25–28, 2012Obama47% Romney48%1600 LV±4.0%
Public Policy PollingOctober 23–25, 2012Obama51%Romney47%4904 LV±3.3%
Purple Strategies Archived 2012-10-28 at the Wayback MachineOctober 23–25, 2012Obama47%Romney46%1600 LV±4.0%
Keating Research/OnSight Public AffairsOctober 23–24, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3502 LV±4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeOctober 23–24, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied1,128 LV±2.9%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D)October 23–24, 2012Obama46%Romney43%3500 LV±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 21, 2012Obama46%Romney50%4500 LV±4.0%
Public Policy PollingOctober 16–18, 2012 Obama50%Romney47%31000 LV±3.1%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D)October 15–16, 2012Obama47%Romney44%3500 LV±4.4%
We Ask AmericaOctober 15, 2012Obama47%Romney48%11,206 LV±2.9%
Gravis MarketingOctober 5–11, 2012Obama48%Romney46%22,089 LV±2.2%
Denver Post/SurveyUSAOctober 9–10, 2012Obama47%Romney48%1614 LV±4.0%
New York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 4–9, 2012Obama47%Romney48%11,254 LV±3.0%
American Research GroupOctober 5–8, 2012Obama46%Romney50%4600 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 7, 2012Obama49%Romney48%1500 LV±4.5%
University Of Denver/Selzer & Co.October 4–5, 2012Obama47%Romney43%4604 LV±4.0%
American Conservative Union/McLaughlin & Associates (R) Archived 2013-01-13 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 30 – October 2, 2012Obama46%Romney50%4300 LV±5.7%
We Ask AmericaSeptember 25 – 27, 2012Obama49%Romney46%31,273 LV±2.8%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 20–23, 2012Obama51%Romney45%6940 LV±3.2%
Purple Strategies Archived 2012-09-21 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 15 – 19, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3600 LV±4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeSeptember 16–18, 2012Obama50%Romney45%5971 LV±3.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchSeptember 17, 2012Obama45%Romney47%2500 LV±4.5%
New York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac University Archived 2012-09-19 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 11–17, 2012Obama48%Romney47%11,497 LV±2.5%
American Research GroupSeptember 10–12, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2600 LV±4.0%
Project New America/Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs (D)September 10–11, 2012Obama49%Romney44%5503 LV±4.4%
Public Policy PollingAugust 31 – September 2, 2012Obama49%Romney46%31,001 LV±3.1%

Three way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy PollingSeptember 20–23, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney43%Gary Johnson4%6740±3.2%

Connecticut

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7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama54%Romney39%15895 LV±3.6%
Public Policy PollingNovember 1 – 2, 2012Obama55%Romney42%131,220 LV±2.8%
Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 19–22, 2012Obama55%Romney41%141,412 LV±2.6%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 21, 2012Obama52%Romney45%7500 LV±4.5%
SurveyUSAOctober 19–21, 2012Obama53%Romney40%13575 LV±4.2%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)October 15–16, 2012Obama53%Romney44%91,015 LV±3.1%
University of Connecticut/Hartford CourantOctober 11–16, 2012Obama51%Romney37%14574 LV±4.0%
Siena College Research InstituteOctober 4–14, 2012Obama53%Romney38%15552 LV±4.2%
YouGovOctober 4–11, 2012Obama53%Romney39%14434 LV±5.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 7, 2012Obama51%Romney45%6500 LV±4.5%
Quinnipiac University Archived 2012-10-04 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 28 – October 2, 2012Obama54%Romney42%121,696 LV±2.4%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 24 – 26, 2012Obama54%Romney41%13801 LV±3.5%
University of Connecticut/Hartford Courant Archived 2012-10-24 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 11 – 16, 2012 Obama53%Romney32%21508 LV±4.4%
YouGovSeptember 7 – 14, 2012Obama53%Romney40%13634 LVNot reported

Delaware

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3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%

No polls conducted

District of Columbia

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3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 89%–9%
(Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy PollingOctober 12–14, 2012Obama88%Romney8%801,222 LV±2.8%

Florida

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29 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Gravis MarketingNovember 4–5, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied1,060 LV±3.1%
Reuters/IpsosNovember 3–5, 2012Obama47%Romney48%1769 LV±4%
Florida Times-Union/Insider AdvantageNovember 4, 2012Obama47%Romney52%5437 LV±4.6%
Public Policy PollingNovember 3–4, 2012Obama50%Romney49%1955 LV±3.2%
Reuters/IpsosNovember 2–4, 2012Obama46%Romney46%Tied743 LV±4.1%
Angus Reid Public OpinionNovember 1–3, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied525 LV±4.3%
Reuters/IpsosNovember 1–3, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied946 LV±3.6%
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama47%Romney48%11,621 LV±3%
Reuters/IpsosOctober 31 – November 2, 2012Obama48%Romney46%2985 LV±3.6%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)October 30 – November 2, 2012Obama47%Romney45%2800 LV±3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeOctober 30 – November 1, 2012Obama49%Romney47%21,545 LV±2.5%
Mason-Dixon Polling & ResearchOctober 30 – November 1, 2012Obama45%Romney51%6800 LV±3.5%
We Ask AmericaOctober 30, 2012Obama48.9%Romney49.8%0.91,146 LV±3%
Gravis Marketing Archived 2012-11-03 at the Wayback MachineOctober 30, 2012Obama47%Romney50%3549 LV±4.2%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)October 29, 2012Obama48%Romney50%21,000 LV±3%
USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D)October 28–29, 2012Obama48%Romney47%1600 LV±4%
Public Policy PollingOctober 26–28, 2012Obama49%Romney48%1687 LV±3.7%
CNN/Opinion Research CorporationOctober 25–28, 2012Obama49%Romney50%1770 LV±3.5%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 23–28, 2012Obama48%Romney47%11,073 LV±3%
WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSAOctober 25–27, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied595 LV±4.1%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)October 24–27, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2800 LV±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 25, 2012Obama48%Romney50%2750 LV±4.0%
Gravis MarketingOctober 24, 2012Obama48.8%Romney49.7%0.91,182 LV±2.8%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D)October 23–24, 2012Obama47%Romney45%2600 LV±4.0%
Sunshine State News/Voter Survey ServiceOctober 22–24, 2012Obama46%Romney51%51,001 LV±3.1%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)October 18–21, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied800 LV±3.4%
Angus Reid Public OpinionOctober 18–20, 2012Obama46% Romney51%5502 LV±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 18, 2012Obama46%Romney51%5750 LV±4.0%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & CompanyOctober 17–18, 2012Obama45%Romney48%31,130 LV±3.0%
WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSAOctober 17–18, 2012Obama47%Romney46%1600 LV±4.1%
WPTV News/Scripps Treasure Coast Newspapers/Public Policy PollingOctober 17–18, 2012Obama47%Romney48%1800 LV±4%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D)October 17–18, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3600 LV±4.0%
CNN/Opinion Research CorporationOctober 17–18, 2012Obama48%Romney49%1681 LV±4.0%
Gravis MarketingOctober 13–14, 2012Obama48%Romney49%1617 LV±4.0%
Public Policy PollingOctober 12–14, 2012Obama48%Romney49%1791 LV±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 11, 2012Obama47%Romney51%4750 LV±4.0%
American Research GroupOctober 8–11, 2012Obama46%Romney49%3600 LV±4.0%
YouGovOctober 4–11, 2012Obama48%Romney47%11,244 LV±4.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Archived 2012-10-13 at the Wayback MachineOctober 8–10, 2012Obama44%Romney51%7800 LV±3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeOctober 7–9, 2012Obama48%Romney47%1988±3.1%
University of North FloridaOctober 1–9, 2012Obama49%Romney45%4653 LVNot reported
We Ask AmericaOctober 4, 2012Obama46%Romney49%31,200 LV±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 4, 2012Obama47%Romney49%2500 LV±4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeSeptember 30 – October 1, 2012Obama47%Romney46%11,191 LV±3.3%
Gravis MarketingSeptember 29 – 30, 2012Obama49.03%Romney48.42%0.61914 LV±3.4%
WSVN-TV Miami/Suffolk UniversitySeptember 27 – 30, 2012Obama46%Romney43%3600 LV±4.0%
Southern Political Report/Florida Times-Union/InsiderAdvantageSeptember 24, 2012Obama49%Romney46%3540 LV±4.0%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac UniversitySeptember 18 – 24, 2012Obama53%Romney44%91,196 LV±3.0%
Washington PostSeptember 19–23, 2012Obama51%Romney47%4769 LV±4.5%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 20–23, 2012Obama50%Romney46%4861 LV±3.3%
American Research Group September 20–22, 2012Obama50%Romney45%5600 LV±4%
Miami Herald/Mason-Dixon Polling & ResearchSeptember 17–19, 2012Obama48%Romney47%1800 LV±3.5%
Purple Strategies Archived 2012-09-21 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 15 – 19, 2012Obama47%Romney48%1600 LV±4.0%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & CompanySeptember 16–18, 2012Obama49%Romney44%5829 LV±3.0%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis MarketingSeptember 15–16, 2012Obama47.1%Romney47.7%0.61,728 LV±2.5%
YouGovSeptember 7–14, 2012Obama49%Romney47%21,415 LVNot reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchSeptember 12, 2012Obama48%Romney46%2500 LV±4.5%
Secure America Now/Caddell Associates/McLaughlin & Associates (R)September 8–12, 2012Obama44%Romney48%4600 LV±4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeSeptember 9–11, 2012Obama49%Romney44%5980 LV±3.1%
Consensus Communications/OnSight Inc. (R)September 8–11, 2012 Obama42%Romney42%Tied606 LV±4.0%
Associated Industries of Florida/McLaughlin & Associates (R)September 9–10, 2012Obama47%Romney50%3600 LV±4.0%
WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSASeptember 7–9, 2012Obama48%Romney44%4596 LV±4.1%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis MarketingSeptember 2, 2012Obama46.7%Romney48%1.31,288 LV±2.7%
Public Policy PollingAugust 31 – September 2, 2012Obama48%Romney47%11,548 LV±2.5%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead MarginSample SizeMargin of error
We Ask AmericaSeptember 18, 2012Barack Obama49.1%Mitt Romney45.5%Gary Johnson1.3%3.6%1,230 LV±2.82%

Georgia

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16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama44%Romney52%81,070 LV±3.5%
20/20 InsightOctober 29–31, 2012Obama46%Romney52%61,316 LV±2.7%
WXIA-TV Atlanta/SurveyUSAOctober 25–28, 2012Obama44%Romney52%8574 LV±4.2%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution/Abt SRBIOctober 8–11, 2012Obama43%Romney51%8706 LV±5.0%
Fox 5 Atlanta/Insider AdvantageSeptember 18, 2012Obama35%Romney56%21483 LV±4.5%
YouGovSeptember 7 – 14, 2012Obama44%Romney51%71,020 LVNot reported

Hawaii

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4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 72%–27%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Honolulu Civil Beat/Merriman River GroupOctober 24–26, 2012Obama61%Romney34%271,218 LV±2.8%
Honolulu Civil Beat/Merriman River GroupSeptember 26–28, 2012Obama62%Romney30%321,648 LV±2.4%

Idaho

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4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 68%–30%
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Mason-Dixon Polling & ResearchOctober 8–10, 2012Obama27%Romney63%36625 LV±4%

Illinois

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20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 55%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama57%Romney38%191,126 LV±3.3%
We Ask AmericaOctober 30, 2012Obama57%Romney41%161,198 LV±2.95%
YouGovOctober 4–11, 2012Obama58%Romney38%20850 LV±3.9%
WGN-TV/Chicago TribuneOctober 4–8, 2012Obama55%Romney36%19700 RV±3.7%
YouGovSeptember 7–14, 2012Obama59%Romney36%231,086 LVNot reported
We Ask America Archived 2012-12-01 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 5, 2012Obama54%Romney37%171,382 LV±2.8%

Indiana

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11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama44%Romney51%7768 LV±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchNovember 1, 2012Obama43%Romney52%9600 LV±4.0%
Howey Politics/DePauw University/Bellwether
Research/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group		October 28–30, 2012Obama41%Romney51%10800 LV±3.5%
Pharos Research GroupOctober 26–28, 2012Obama42%Romney55%13753 LV±3.5%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)October 24–25, 2012Obama41%Romney55%14600 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 10–11, 2012Obama41%Romney54%13600 LV±4.0%
Howey Politics/DePauw University/Bellwether
Research/Garin-Hart-Yang-Research Group		September 19–23, 2012Obama40%Romney52%12800 LV±3.5%
YouGovSeptember 7–14, 2012Obama45%Romney50%5628 LV±4.0%

Iowa

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6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy PollingNovember 3–4, 2012Obama50%Romney48%21,122 LV±2.9%
American Research GroupNovember 2–4, 2012Obama48%Romney49%1600 LV±4%
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama48%Romney47%11,040 LV±3.5%
USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D)November 1–2, 2012Obama47%Romney44%3500 LV±4.4%
Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co.October 30 – November 2, 2012Obama47%Romney42%5800 LV±3.5%
Gravis MarketingNovember 1, 2012Obama49%Romney45%4594 LV±4.0%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)October 30 – November 1, 2012Obama46%Romney44%2600 LV±4.0%
We Ask AmericaOctober 30, 2012Obama48.8%Romney47.3%1.51,174 LV±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 30, 2012Obama48%Romney49%1750 LV±4%
Public Policy PollingOctober 29–30, 2012Obama50%Romney45%5676 LV±3.8%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeOctober 28–29, 2012Obama50%Romney44%61,142 LV±3%
University of IowaOctober 18–27, 2012Obama44.4%Romney45.2%0.8320 LV±5.6%
Gravis MarketingOctober 24, 2012Obama50%Romney46%4517 LV±4.3%
Public Policy PollingOctober 23–24, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2690 LV±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 21, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied500 LV±4.5%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D)October 18–19, 2012Obama49%Romney48%1660 LV±3.8%
Public Policy PollingOctober 17–19, 2012Obama48%Romney49%1869 LV±3.3%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeOctober 15–17, 2012Obama51%Romney43%81,137 LV±2.9%
We Ask AmericaOctober 15, 2012Obama48.7%Romney45.9%2.81,499 LV±2.6%
American Research GroupOctober 11–14, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied600 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 7, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2500 LV±4.5%
We Ask AmericaSeptember 25–27, 2012Obama47.5%Romney43.7%3.81,064 LV±3.1%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 24–26, 2012Obama51%Romney44%7754 LV±3.6%
American Research GroupSeptember 20 – 23, 2012Obama51%Romney44%7600 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchSeptember 19, 2012Obama44%Romney47%3500 LV±4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeSeptember 16–18, 2012Obama50%Romney42%8898 LV±3.3%

Kansas

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6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–37%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

See also: Pre-2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012 § Kansas

Kentucky

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8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Survey USASeptember 11–13, 2012Obama39%Romney53%14606 LV±4.1%

Louisiana

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8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Magellan StrategiesOctober 2 – 4, 2012Obama36.2%Romney58.8%22.62,682 LV±1.9%
Clarus Research GroupSeptember 5 – 7, 2012Obama37%Romney53%16602 LV±4.0%

Maine

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4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Maine People's Resource CenterNovember 1–3, 2012Obama53.3%Romney42.2%11.1905 LV±3.26%
Public Policy PollingNovember 1–2, 2012Obama55%Romney42%131,633 LV±2.4%
Critical InsightsOctober 30–31, 2012Obama49%Romney42%7613 LV±4%
Pan Atlantic SMS GroupSeptember 24–28, 2012Obama50.8%Romney36.8%14400 LV±4.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchSeptember 25, 2012Obama52%Romney40%12500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 17–18, 2012Obama55%Romney39%16804 LV±3.5%

Maryland

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10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 56%–43%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama59%Romney37%22705 LV±4.1%
OpinionWorksOctober 20 – 23, 2012Obama55%Romney36%19801 LV±3.5%
Washington PostOctober 11 – 15, 2012Obama60%Romney36%24843 LV±4.0%
YouGovOctober 4 – 11, 2012 Obama58%Romney37%21498 LV±5.2%
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies September 17–23, 2012Obama55%Romney36%19813 RV±3.5%

Massachusetts

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11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
The Boston Herald/University of Massachusetts LowellOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama57%Romney37%20800 LV±4.1%
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama57%Romney37%20811 LV±3.6%
Public Policy PollingNovember 1 – 2, 2012Obama57%Romney42%151,089 LV±3%
MassLive.com/Western New England UniversityOctober 26 – November 1, 2012Obama58%Romney40%18535 LV±4%
Suffolk University Archived 2012-11-03 at the Wayback MachineOctober 25 – 28, 2012Obama63%Romney31%32600 LV±4.0%
Boston Globe/University of New HampshireOctober 24 – 28, 2012Obama52%Romney38%14583 LV±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 25, 2012Obama59%Romney40%19500 LV±4.5%
WBUR/MassINC Polling Group Archived 2012-10-29 at the Wayback MachineOctober 21 – 22, 2012Obama56%Romney36%20516 LV±4.4%
Kimball Political Consulting[permanent dead link]October 18 – 21, 2012Obama55%Romney39%16761 LV±3.48%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)October 15 – 16, 2012Obama57%Romney39%18709 LV±3.7%
Public Policy PollingOctober 9 – 11, 2012Obama55%Romney41%141,051 LV±3.0%
YouGovOctober 4–11, 2012Obama55%Romney36%19669 LV±4.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 10, 2012Obama57%Romney42%15500 LV±4.5%
University of Massachusetts Amherst/YouGovOctober 2 – 8, 2012Obama55%Romney34%21437 LV±5.4%
WBUR/MassINC Polling Group Archived 2012-10-21 at the Wayback MachineOctober 5 – 7, 2012Obama52%Romney36%16501 LV±4.4%
Western New England UniversitySeptember 28 – October 4, 2012Obama63%Romney33%30516 RV±4.3%
WBUR/MassINC Polling Group Archived 2013-01-14 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 26 – 28, 2012Obama60%Romney32%28504 LV±4.4%
Mass Insight Global Partnerships/Opinion Dynamics CorporationSeptember 25–30, 2012Obama60%Romney34%26405 RV±4.6%
Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire Archived 2013-04-24 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 21 – 27, 2012Obama57%Romney30%27502 LV±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchSeptember 24, 2012Obama55%Romney40%15500 LV±4.5%
The Boston Herald/University of Massachusetts LowellSeptember 13 – 17, 2012Obama60%Romney36%24497 LV±5.5%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 13 – 16, 2012Obama57%Romney39%18876 LV±3.3%
Suffolk University Archived 2012-09-20 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 13 – 16, 2012Obama64%Romney31%33600 LV±4.0%
YouGovSeptember 7–14, 2012Obama55%Romney39%16825 LVNot reported
MassLive.com/Western New England UniversitySeptember 6 – 13, 2012Obama60%Romney38%22444 LV±4.6%
Kimball Political ConsultingSeptember 7 – 9, 2012Obama56%Romney40%16756 LV±3.5%

Michigan

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16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsNovember 4, 2012Obama51%Romney46%51,305 LV±2.7%
Angus Reid Public OpinionNovember 1 – 3, 2012Obama52%Romney47%5502 LV±4.4%
Public Policy PollingNovember 1 – 3, 2012Obama52%Romney46%6700 LV±3.7%
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama51%Romney44%71,091 LV±3.3%
Fox 2 News Detroit/Foster McCollum White & Associates/Baydoun ConsultingNovember 2, 2012Obama46.24%Romney46.86%0.621,913 LV±2.24%
Rasmussen ReportsNovember 1, 2012Obama52%Romney47%5750 LV±4%
USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D)October 31 – November 1, 2012Obama48%Romney41%7500 LV±4.4%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)October 31 – November 1, 2012Obama52%Romney46%6500 LV±4.4%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D)October 30–31, 2012Obama53%Romney45%8500 LV±4.4%
Detroit News/Glengariff Group[permanent dead link]October 27–29, 2012Obama47.7%Romney45%2.7600 LV±4%
EPIC-MRAOctober 26–29, 2012Obama48%Romney42%6600 LV±4%
Fox 2 News Detroit/Foster McCollum White & Associates/Baydoun ConsultingOctober 22–23, 2012Obama46.92%Romney46.56%0.361,122 LV±2.9%
Angus Reid Public OpinionOctober 18–20, 2012Obama52%Romney43%9551 LV±4.2%
EPIC-MRAOctober 17, 2012Obama52%Romney46%6800 LV±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 11, 2012Obama52%Romney45%7500 LV±4.5%
YouGovOctober 4–11, 2012Obama52%Romney42%10895 LV±3.9%
Lambert, Edwards & Associates/Denno ResearchOctober 9–10, 2012Obama44.2%Romney40.5%3.7600 LV±4.0%
Detroit News/Glengariff Group[permanent dead link]October 6 – 8, 2012Obama49%Romney42%7600 LV±4.0%
Capitol CorrespondentGravis MarketingOctober 5 – 8, 2012Obama46%Romney44%21,122 LV±3.2%
EPIC-MRAOctober 4 – 6, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3600 LV±4.0%
Fox 2 News Detroit/Foster McCollum White/Baydoun ConsultingOctober 5, 2012Obama49.3%Romney45.85%3.451,122 LV±2.93%
We Ask AmericaSeptember 25 – 27, 2012Obama52%Romney39.9%12.11,064 LV±3.1%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis MarketingSeptember 21 – 22, 2012Obama50%Romney46.2%3.8804 LV±3.3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchSeptember 20, 2012Obama54%Romney42%12500 LV±4.5%
National Resource Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D)September 17–19, 2012Obama51%Romney42%91021 LV±3.1%
CNN/Opinion Research CorporationSeptember 14–18, 2012Obama52%Romney44%8754 LV±3.5%
Detroit News/Glengariff Group Archived 2012-10-08 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 15–17, 2012Obama52%Romney38%14600 LV±4%
Marketing Resource GroupSeptember 10–14, 2012Obama47.5%Romney42.3%5.2600 LV±4.0%
YouGovSeptember 7–14, 2012Obama51%Romney42%91114 LVNot reported
Foster McCollum White/Baydoun & AssociatesSeptember 12, 2012Obama45.49%Romney43.65%1.841,156 LV±2.88%
EPIC-MRA Archived 2012-09-17 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 8–11, 2012Obama47%Romney37%10600 LV±4.0%
Public Policy PollingAugust 31 – September 2, 2012Obama51%Romney44%7815 LV±3.4%

Minnesota

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10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy PollingNovember 2–3, 2012Obama53%Romney45%81,164 LV±2.9%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA Archived 2012-11-08 at the Wayback MachineNovember 1–3, 2012Obama52%Romney41%11556 LV±4.2%
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama50%Romney43%7790 LV±3.8%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)October 31 – November 1, 2012Obama53%Romney44%9772 LVNot reported
American Future Fund/NMB Research (R)October 29–31, 2012Obama45%Romney46%1500 LV±4.38%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/Survey USA Archived 2016-03-04 at the Wayback MachineOctober 26–28, 2012Obama50%Romney43%7574 LV±4.2%
Star Tribune Minnesota/Mason-Dixon Polling & ResearchOctober 23–25, 2012Obama47%Romney44%3800 LV±3.5%
St. Cloud State UniversityOctober 15–21, 2012Obama53%Romney45%8601 LV±5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 21, 2012Obama51%Romney46%5500 LV±4.5%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA Archived 2012-10-21 at the Wayback MachineOctober 12 – 14, 2012Obama50%Romney40%10550 LV±4.3%
YouGovOctober 4 – 11, 2012Obama52%Romney44%8683 LV±4.2%
American Future Fund/NMB Research (R)October 7 – 8, 2012Obama47%Romney43%4500 LV±4.38%
Public Policy PollingOctober 5–8, 2012Obama53%Romney43%10937 LV±3.2%
Star Tribune Minnesota/Mason-Dixon Polling & ResearchSeptember 10–11, 2012Obama51%Romney44%7824 LV±3.4%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA Archived 2012-09-13 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 6–9, 2012Obama50%Romney40%10551 LV±4.3%

Mississippi

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6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

See also: Pre-2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012 § Mississippi

Missouri

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10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 53%–46%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–49%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy PollingNovember 2–3, 2012Obama45%Romney53%8835 LV±3.4%
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama42%Romney53%11779 LV±3.8%
KSDK-TV St. Louis/KSHB-TV Kansas City/KSPR-TV Springfield/KYTV-TV Springfield/Survey USAOctober 28 – November 3, 2012Obama43%Romney50%7589 LV±4.1%
We Ask AmericaOctober 30, 2012Obama42.2%Romney53.8%11.61,217 LV±2.9%
Saint Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon Polling & ResearchOctober 23 – 25, 2012Obama41%Romney54%13624 LV±4%
Public Policy PollingOctober 19 – 21, 2012Obama46%Romney52%6582 LV±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 12 – 13, 2012Obama43%Romney54%11500 LV±4.5%
Wenzel StrategiesOctober 12 – 13, 2012Obama41.1%Romney54.9%13.81,000 LV±3.07%
Public Policy PollingOctober 1 – 3, 2012Obama45%Romney51%6700 LV±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 2, 2012Obama46%Romney49%3500 LV±4.5%
We Ask AmericaSeptember 25 – 27, 2012Obama44.5%Romney47.7%3.21,145 LV±2.9%
Missouri Scout/Chilenski Strategies Archived 2013-05-23 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 20, 2012Obama44%Romney50%6817 LV±3.4%
YouGovSeptember 7 – 14, 2012Obama43%Romney50%7734 LVNot reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchSeptember 11, 2012Obama45%Romney48%3500 LV±4.5%

Montana

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3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy PollingNovember 2–3, 2012Obama45%Romney52%7836 LV±3.4%
Billings Gazette/Mason-Dixon Polling & ResearchOctober 29–31, 2012Obama43%Romney53%10625 LV±4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 29, 2012Obama43%Romney53%10500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy PollingOctober 15 – 16, 2012Obama43%Romney53%10806 LV±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 14, 2012Obama45%Romney53%8500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling October 8 – 10, 2012Obama41%Romney52%11737 LV±3.6%
Montana Jobs, Energy, and Technology/Mellman Group (D)September 23 – 26, 2012Obama44%Romney48%4600 LV±4%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 10–11, 2012Obama45%Romney50%5656 LV±3.8%

Three way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Lee Newspapers/Mason-Dixon Research & PollingSeptember 19, 2012Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney51%Gary Johnson2%9625 RV±4%

Nebraska

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5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–33%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
We Ask AmericaNovember 1, 2012Obama41%Romney54%131,178 LV±2.95%
Wiese Research Associates Archived 2012-10-31 at the Wayback MachineOctober 23 – 25, 2012Obama38%Romney52%14800 LV±3.5%
Wiese Research Associates Archived 2012-09-25 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 17 – 20, 2012Obama40%Romney51%11800 LV±3.5%

2nd Congressional District

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Wiese Research Associates Archived 2012-10-31 at the Wayback MachineOctober 23 – 25, 2012Obama44%Romney49%5679 LV±3.8%
Wiese Research Associates Archived 2012-09-25 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 17 – 20, 2012Obama44%Romney44%TiedNot reportedNot reported

Nevada

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6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy PollingNovember 3–4, 2012Obama51%Romney47%4750 LV±3.6%
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama49%Romney45%4732 LV±4.1%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)October 29–31, 2012Obama50%Romney44%6600 LV±4%
Los Vegas Review Journal/SurveyUSAOctober 23–29, 2012Obama50%Romney46%41,212 LV±2.9%
USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D)October 27–28, 2012Obama49%Romney43%6500 LV±4.4%
Gravis MarketingOctober 24, 2012Obama50%Romney49%1955 LV±3.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeOctober 23–24, 2012Obama50%Romney47%31,042 LV±3%
Public Policy PollingOctober 22–24, 2012Obama51%Romney47%4636 LV±3.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 23, 2012Obama50%Romney48%2500 LV±4.5%
American Research GroupOctober 19 – 22, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2600 LV±4.0%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)October 15–17, 2012Obama51%Romney43%8600 LV±4.0%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D)October 15–16, 2012Obama50%Romney43%7500 LV±4.4%
Los Vegas Review Journal/SurveyUSAOctober 11–15, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3806 LV±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 15, 2012Obama50%Romney47%3500 LV±4.5%
YouGovOctober 4 – 11, 2012Obama50%Romney45%5358 LV±6.7%
Public Policy PollingOctober 8–10, 2012Obama51%Romney47%4594 LV±4%
KSNV-Nevada/Suffolk University Archived 2012-10-14 at the Wayback MachineOctober 6–9, 2012Obama47%Romney45%2500 LV±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 8, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied500 LV±4.5%
Las Vegas Review Journal/SurveyUSAOctober 3–8, 2012Obama47%Romney46%11,222 LV±2.9%
Gravis MarketingOctober 3, 2012Obama49%Romney48%11,006 LV±3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeSeptember 23 – 25, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2984 LV±3.1%
American Research GroupSeptember 20 – 23, 2012Obama51%Romney44%7600 LV±4.0%
Retail Association of Nevada/Public Opinion Strategies (R)September 19 – 20, 2012Obama46%Romney46%Tied500 LV±4.4%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)September 18 – 20, 2012Obama52%Romney43%9501 LV±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchSeptember 18, 2012Obama47%Romney45%2500 LV±4.5%
CNN/Opinion Research CorporationSeptember 14–18, 2012Obama49%Romney46%3741 LV±3.5%

Three way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
WeAskAmericaSeptember 25–27, 2012Barack Obama52.5%Mitt Romney42%Gary Johnson2.3%10.51,152 LV±3.1%

New Hampshire

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4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchNovember 4, 2012Obama50%Romney48%2750 LV±4%
New England CollegeNovember 3–4, 2012Obama50%Romney46%4687 LV±3.7%
Public Policy PollingNovember 3–4, 2012Obama50%Romney48%21,550 LV±2.5%
American Research GroupNovember 2–4, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied600 LV±4%
University of New HampshireNovember 1–4, 2012Obama51%Romney48%3789 LV±3.5%
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama47%Romney43%4690 LV±4.1%
WMUR/University of New HampshireOctober 31 – November 2, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied502 LV±4.4%
Gravis MarketingNovember 1, 2012Obama50%Romney49%1497 LV±4.3%
New England CollegeOctober 29–31, 2012Obama50%Romney44%61,017 LV±3.7%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeOctober 28–29, 2012Obama49%Romney47%21,013 LV±3.1%
Public Policy PollingOctober 26 – 28, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2874 LV±3.3%
USAction/Lake Research Partners (D)October 24 – 28, 2012Obama47%Romney42%5400 LV±5%
USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D)October 24 – 25, 2012Obama47%Romney44%3500 LV±4.4%
New England CollegeOctober 23 – 25, 2012Obama49%Romney46%3571 LV±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 23, 2012Obama48%Romney50%2500 LV±4.5%
American Research GroupOctober 19 – 22, 2012Obama47%Romney49%2600 LV±4.0%
USAction/Lake Research Partners (D)October 18 – 22, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3400 LV±4.9%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire Archived 2012-11-12 at the Wayback MachineOctober 17 – 21, 2012Obama51%Romney42%9773 LV±3.5%
Public Policy PollingOctober 17 – 19, 2012Obama48%Romney49%11,036 LV±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 15, 2012Obama50%Romney49%1500 LV±4.5%
7 News/Suffolk UniversityOctober 12 – 14, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied500 LV±4.4%
American Research GroupOctober 9 – 11, 2012Obama46%Romney50%4600 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 9, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied500 LV±4.5%
WMUR/University of New HampshireSeptember 30 – October 6, 2012Obama50%Romney44%6559 LV±4.1%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire Archived 2012-10-08 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 27 – 30, 2012Obama54%Romney39%15600 LV±4.0%
American Research GroupSeptember 25 – 27, 2012Obama50%Romney45%5600 LV±4.0%
Progressive Change Campaign Committee/Public Policy Polling (D)September 24–25, 2012Obama51%Romney44%7862 LV±3.3%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeSeptember 23 – 25, 2012Obama51%Romney44%71,012±3.1%
New Hampshire Democratic Party/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) Archived 2012-09-27 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 15 – 19, 2012Obama52%Romney45%7600 LV±4.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchSeptember 18, 2012Obama45%Romney48%3500 LV±4.5%
American Research GroupSeptember 15–17, 2012Obama48%Romney47%1463 LVNot reported
YouGovSeptember 7–14, 2012Obama48%Romney42%6340 LVNot reported
WMUR/University of New HampshireSeptember 4–10, 2012Obama45%Romney40%5592 LV±4.0%

New Jersey

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14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 52%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama53%Romney41%12987 LV±3.4%
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National ResearchOctober 23 – 25, 2012Obama51%Romney41%10601 LV±4.0%
Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 10 – 14, 2012Obama51%Romney43%81,319 LV±2.7%
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National ResearchOctober 4 – 8, 2012Obama51%Romney40%11604 LV±4.0%
Rutgers UniversitySeptember 27 – 30, 2012Obama56%Romney39%17645 LV±3.8%
Monmouth UniversitySeptember 19 – 23, 2012Obama52%Romney37%15613 LV±4.0%
YouGovSeptember 7 – 14, 2012Obama52%Romney40%121,040 LVNot reported
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National ResearchSeptember 9–12, 2012Obama51%Romney37%14600 LV±4.0%
Quinnipiac University Archived 2012-09-07 at the Wayback MachineAugust 27 – September 2, 2012Obama51%Romney44%71,471 LV±2.6%

New Mexico

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5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama49%Romney43%6650 LVNot reported
Public Opinion Strategies (R)October 30–31, 2012Obama49%Romney41%8500 LV±4.38%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc.October 23–25, 2012Obama50%Romney41%9662 LV±3.8%
Public Policy PollingOctober 23–24, 2012Obama53%Romney44%9727 LVNot reported
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[usurped]October 21–22, 2012Obama47%Romney42%5500 LV±4.38%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc.October 9–10, 2012Obama49%Romney39%10658 LV±3.8%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 8, 2012Obama54%Romney43%11500 LV±4.5%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)October 2–3, 2012Obama52%Romney43%9778 LVNot reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchSeptember 27, 2012Obama51%Romney40%11500 LV±4.5%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)September 25–27, 2012Obama47%Romney40%7500 LV±4.38%
NRDC Action Fund/Public Policy Polling (D) Archived 2012-10-08 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 17 – 20, 2012Obama52%Romney43%93,111 LV±1.8%
YouGovSeptember 7–14, 2012Obama51%Romney43%8293 LVNot reported
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)September 7–9, 2012Obama53%Romney42%111,122 LV±2.9%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc.September 3–6, 2012Obama45%Romney40%5667 LV±3.8%

Three way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Opinion Strategies (R)October 30–31, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney41%Gary Johnson6%8500 LV±4.38%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc.October 23–25, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney41%Gary Johnson5%9662 LV±3.8%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc.October 9–11, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney39%Gary Johnson6%10658 LV±3.8%
We Ask AmericaSeptember 25–27, 2012Barack Obama50.9%Mitt Romney40.6%Gary Johnson3.9%10.31,258 LV±2.58%
Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc.September 3–6, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney40%Gary Johnson7%5667 LV±3.8%

New York

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29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama59%Romney36%231,430 LV±2.8%
WABC-TV New York/SurveyUSAOctober 23 – 25, 2012Obama62%Romney33%29554 LV±4.1%
Siena CollegeOctober 22 – 24, 2012Obama59%Romney35%24750 LV±3.6%
Marist CollegeOctober 18 – 21, 2012Obama61%Romney35%26565 LV±4.1%
YouGovOctober 4 – 11, 2012Obama59%Romney35%241,142 LV±3.2%
Quinnipiac University Archived 2012-09-14 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 4–9, 2012Obama62%Romney34%281,486 LV±2.5%

North Carolina

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15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Gravis MarketingNovember 4, 2012Obama46%Romney50%41,130 LV±2.9%
Public Policy PollingNovember 3–4, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied926 LV±3.2%
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama47%Romney49%21,500 LV±2.8%
Public Policy PollingOctober 29 – 31, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied730 LV±3.6%
High Point UniversityOctober 22–30, 2012Obama45%Romney46%1403 LV±5%
WRAL-TV Raleigh/SurveyUSAOctober 26–29, 2012Obama45%Romney50%5682 LV±3.8%
Elon University Archived 2012-10-30 at the Wayback MachineOctober 21 – 26, 2012Obama45%Romney45%Tied1,238 LV±2.79%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 25, 2012Obama46%Romney52%6500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy PollingOctober 23 – 25, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied880 LV±3.3%
Gravis MarketingOctober 24, 2012Obama45%Romney53%81,723 LV±2.4%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D)October 23 – 24, 2012Obama47%Romney44%3500 LV±4.4%
Civitas Institute/National Research (R)October 20–21, 2012Obama47%Romney48%1600 LV±4%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D)October 17 – 18, 2012Obama47%Romney44%3500 LV±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 17, 2012Obama46%Romney52%6500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy PollingOctober 12 – 14, 2012Obama47%Romney49%21,084 LV±3.0%
North Carolina Republican Party/Tel Opinion Research (R)October 12–13, 2012Obama45%Romney49%4600 LV±4.0%
YouGovOctober 4–11, 2012Obama48%Romney49%1810 LV±3.9%
University of North Carolina/High Point UniversitySeptember 29 – October 10, 2012Obama46%Romney45%1605 RV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 9, 2012Obama48%Romney51%3500 LV±4.5%
Gravis MarketingOctober 6–8, 2012Obama41.2%Romney49.9%8.71,325 LV±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 2, 2012Obama47%Romney51%4500 LV±4.5%
Survey USASeptember 29 – October 1, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2573 LV±4.2%
American Research GroupSeptember 28 – 30, 2012Obama46%Romney50%4600 LV±4.0%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 27 – 30, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied981 LV±3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeSeptember 23–25, 2012Obama48%Romney46%21,035 LV±3.0%
Civitas Institute/National Research (R)September 18–19, 2012Obama49%Romney45%4600 RV±4%
Purple Strategies Archived 2012-09-21 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 15–19, 2012Obama48%Romney46%2600 LV±4%
FOX 8/High Point UniversitySeptember 8–13, 15–18, 2012Obama46%Romney43%3448 RV±4.7%
YouGovSeptember 7–14, 2012Obama46%Romney48%21,060 LVNot reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchSeptember 13, 2012Obama45%Romney51%6500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 7–9, 2012Obama49%Romney48%11,087 LV±3.0%
Civitas Institute/SurveyUSASeptember 4–6, 2012Obama43%Romney53%10500 RV±4.5%
Public Policy PollingAugust 31 – Sept 2, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied1,012 LV±3.1%

North Dakota

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3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 63%–36%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Mason-Dixon Polling & ResearchOctober 26 – 28, 2012Obama40%Romney54%14625 LV±4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 17 – 18, 2012Obama40%Romney54%14600 LV±4.0%
Forum Communications/Essman ResearchOctober 12 – 15, 2012Obama32%Romney57%25500 LV±4.4%
Mason-Dixon Polling & ResearchOctober 3 – 5, 2012Obama40%Romney54%14625 LV±4.0%
North Dakota Democratic-NPL State Party/DFM Research (D)September 24 – 27, 2012Obama39%Romney51%12600 LV±4.0%

Ohio

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18 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Gravis MarketingNovember 4–5, 2012Obama49%Romney48%11,316 LV±2.7%
Reuters/IpsosNovember 3–5, 2012Obama50%Romney46%4680 LV±4.3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchNovember 4, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied750 LV±4.0%
Public Policy PollingNovember 3–4, 2012Obama52%Romney47%51,000 LV±3.1%
Angus Reid Public OpinionNovember 2–4, 2012Obama51%Romney48%3572 LV±4.1%
Reuters/IpsosNovember 2–4, 2012Obama48%Romney44%4712 LV±4.2%
WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSANovember 1–4, 2012Obama49%Romney44%5803 LV±3.5%
University of CincinnatiOctober 31 – November 4, 2012Obama50%Romney49%1901 LV±3.3%
Reuters/IpsosNovember 1–3, 2012Obama46%Romney45%11,031 LV±3.5%
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama49%Romney46%31,620 LV±3%
Columbus DispatchOctober 24 – November 3, 2012Obama50%Romney48%21,501 LV±2.2%
USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D)November 1–2, 2012Obama49%Romney45%4500 LV±4.4%
Reuters/IpsosOctober 31 – November 2, 2012Obama47%Romney45%21,012 LV±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchNovember 1, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied750 LV±4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeOctober 30 – November 1, 2012Obama51%Romney45%6971 LV±3.1%
We Ask AmericaOctober 30 – November 1, 2012Obama50.2%Romney45.8%41,649 LV±2.6%
CNN/Opinion Research CorporationOctober 30 – November 1, 2012Obama50%Romney47%3796 LV±3.5%
Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R)October 30–31, 2012Obama46%Romney49%31,281 LV±2.7%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D)October 29 – 30, 2012Obama50%Romney45%5600 LV±4.0%
University of CincinnatiOctober 25 – 30, 2012Obama48%Romney46%21,141 LV±2.9%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R) Archived 2014-08-24 at the Wayback MachineOctober 29, 2012Obama48%Romney46%21,000 LV±3%
USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D)October 28 – 29, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3500 LV±4.4%
WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSAOctober 26 – 29, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3603 LV±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 28, 2012Obama48%Romney50%2750 LV±4%
Pharos ResearchOctober 26 – 28, 2012Obama49%Romney46.3%2.7765 LV±3.5%
Public Policy PollingOctober 26 – 28, 2012Obama51%Romney47%4718 LV±3.7%
CBS News/Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 23 – 28, 2012Obama50%Romney45%51,100 LV±3%
Gravis Marketing Archived 2012-10-30 at the Wayback MachineOctober 27, 2012Obama50%Romney49%1730 LV±3.6%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)October 23 – 25, 2012Obama49%Romney44%5600 LV±4%
CNN/Opinion Research CorporationOctober 23 – 25, 2012Obama50%Romney46%4741 RV±3.5%
Purple Strategies Archived 2012-10-28 at the Wayback MachineOctober 23 – 25, 2012Obama46%Romney44%2600 LV±4.0%
American Research GroupOctober 23 – 25, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2600 LV±4.0%
TIME/Abt SRBIOctober 22 – 23, 2012Obama49%Romney44%5783 LV±3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 23, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied750 LV±4.0%
USAction/Lake Research (D) Archived 2013-05-24 at the Wayback MachineOctober 20 – 23, 2012Obama46%Romney44%2600 LV±4.0%
Ohio Newspaper Organization/University of CincinnatiOctober 18 – 23, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tied1,015 LV±3.1%
WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSAOctober 20 – 22, 2012Obama47%Romney44%3609 LV±4.1%
Suffolk UniversityOctober 18 – 21, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied600 LV±4.0%
CBS News/Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 17–20, 2012Obama50%Romney45%51,548 LV±3%
Angus Reid Public OpinionOctober 18–20, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied550 LV±4.2%
Public Policy PollingOctober 18–20, 2012Obama49%Romney48%1532 LV±4.3%
Gravis MarketingOctober 18 – 19, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied1,943 LV±2.2%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & CompanyOctober 17–18, 2012Obama46%Romney43%31,131 LV±3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 17, 2012Obama49%Romney48%1750 LV±4.0%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)October 15, 2012Obama46%Romney47%11,000 LV±3.0%
WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSAOctober 12–15, 2012Obama45%Romney42%3613 LV±4.0%
Public Policy PollingOctober 12–13, 2012Obama51%Romney46%5880 LV±3.3%
YouGovOctober 4–11, 2012Obama50%Romney46%4851 LV±4.8%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 10, 2012Obama48%Romney47%1750 LV±4.0%
Gravis MarketingOctober 6 – 10, 2012Obama45.1%Romney45.9%0.81,313 LV±2.7%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeOctober 7 – 9, 2012Obama51%Romney45%6994 LV±3.1%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)October 8, 2012Obama47%Romney46%11,000 LV±3.0%
WCMH-TV Columbus/SurveyUSAOctober 5 – 8, 2012Obama45%Romney44%1808 LV±3.5%
CNN/Opinion Research CorporationOctober 5–8, 2012Obama51%Romney47%4722 LV±3.5%
American Research GroupOctober 5 – 8, 2012Obama47%Romney48%1600 LV±4.0%
Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R)October 4–5, 2012Obama47.3%Romney48%0.71,072 LV±2.96%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 4, 2012Obama50%Romney49%1500 LV±4.5%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)October 1, 2012Obama50%Romney43%71,000 LV±3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeSeptember 30 – October 1, 2012Obama51%Romney43%8931 LV±3.2%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 27 – 30, 2012Obama49%Romney45%4897 LV±3.3%
Columbus Dispatch[permanent dead link]September 19 – 29, 2012Obama51%Romney42%91,662 LV±2.2%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac UniversitySeptember 18 – 24, 2012Obama53%Romney43%101,162 LV±3.0%
Washington PostSeptember 19 – 23, 2012Obama52%Romney44%8759 LV±4.5%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing Archived 2016-03-06 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 21 – 22, 2012Obama45.2%Romney44.3%0.9594 LV±4.3%
Purple Strategies Archived 2012-09-21 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 15 – 19, 2012Obama48%Romney44%4600 LV±4.0%
Ohio Newspaper Organization/University of CincinnatiSeptember 13 – 18, 2012Obama51%Romney46%5861 LV±3.3%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & CompanySeptember 16–18, 2012Obama49%Romney42%71,009 LV±3.0%
National Resource Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D)September 14–18, 2012Obama50%Romney44%62,890 LVNot reported
Secure America Now/Caddell Associates/McLaughlin & Associates (R)September 13–15, 2012Obama47%Romney44%3600 LV±4.0%
YouGovSeptember 7–14, 2012Obama47%Romney44%31,036 LVNot reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchSeptember 12, 2012Obama47%Romney46%1500 LV±4.5%
American Research GroupSeptember 10–12, 2012Obama48%Romney47%1600 LV±4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeSeptember 9–12, 2012Obama50%Romney43%7979 LV±3.1%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 7–9, 2012Obama50%Romney45%51,072 LV±3.0%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis MarketingSeptember 7–8, 2012Obama47.27%Romney43.19%4.081,548 LV±2.7%
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis MarketingSeptember 2, 2012Obama43.7%Romney46.8%3.11,381 RV±2.9%

Three way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
We Ask AmericaOctober 4, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney47%Gary Johnson1%11,200 LV±3%
Gravis Marketing Archived 2016-03-06 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 21–22, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney38%Gary Johnson11%7594 LV±4.3%
Gravis Marketing Archived 2016-03-06 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 7–8, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney43%Gary Johnson5%21,548 LV±2.7%

Oklahoma

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7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2008) 67%–34%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
SoonerPollOctober 18 – 24, 2012Obama33%Romney59%26305 LV±5.6%

Oregon

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7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy PollingOctober 31 – November 1, 2012Obama52%Romney46%6921 LV±3.2%
Elway ResearchOctober 25 – 28, 2012Obama47%Romney41%6405 LV±5%
Hoffman ResearchOctober 24 – 25, 2012Obama47%Romney42%5615 LV±3.9%
Survey USAOctober 16 – 18, 2012Obama49%Romney42%7579 LV±4.2%
Survey USASeptember 10–13, 2012Obama50%Romney41%9552 LV±4.3%

Pennsylvania

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20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Gravis MarketingNovember 4, 2012Obama49%Romney46%31,060 LV±3%
Angus Reid Public OpinionNovember 2 – 4, 2012Obama51%Romney47%4479 LVNot reported
Public Policy PollingNovember 2 – 3, 2012Obama52%Romney46%6790 LV±3.5%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg CollegeNovember 1 – 3, 2012Obama49%Romney46%3430 LV±5%
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama52%Romney44%81,273 LV±3.3%
Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.October 29–31, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied800 LV±3.5%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)October 30, 2012Obama49%Romney46%31,000 LV±3%
Franklin & Marshall CollegeOctober 23–28, 2012Obama49%Romney45%4547 LV±4.2%
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc.October 23–25, 2012Obama49%Romney43%6600 LV±4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 24, 2012Obama51%Romney46%5500 LV±4.5%
Gravis MarketingOctober 21, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3887 LV±3.3%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg CollegeOctober 17 – 21, 2012Obama50%Romney45%5444 LV±5.0%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[permanent dead link]October 18 – 20, 2012Obama52%Romney42%10559 LV±4.2%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)October 15, 2012Obama48%Romney44%41,000 LV±3%
Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 12 – 14, 2012Obama50%Romney46%41,519 LV±2.5%
Public Policy PollingOctober 12 – 14, 2012Obama51%Romney44%7500 LV±4.4%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg CollegeOctober 10 – 14, 2012Obama49%Romney45%4438 LV±5.0%
YouGovOctober 4–11, 2012Obama51%Romney44%7967 LV±4.3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 9, 2012Obama51%Romney46%5500 LV±4.5%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)October 8, 2012Obama47%Romney45%21,000 LV±3%
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc.October 4–8, 2012Obama50%Romney42%2600 LV±4%
Siena CollegeOctober 1 – 5, 2012 Obama43%Romney40%3545 LV±4.2%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg CollegeSeptember 22–26, 2012Obama49%Romney42%7427 LV±5.0%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac UniversitySeptember 18–24, 2012Obama54%Romney42%121,180 LV±3.0%
Franklin and Marshall CollegeSeptember 18–23, 2012Obama52%Romney43%9392 LV±4.9%
Tribune-Review/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.September 18–20, 2012Obama47%Romney45%2800 LV±3.46%
Mercyhurst UniversitySeptember 12–20, 2012Obama48%Romney40%8522 LV±4.29%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchSeptember 19, 2012Obama51%Romney39%12500 LV±4.5%
We Ask AmericaSeptember 18, 2012Obama48.1%Romney42.2%5.91,214 LV±2.8%
National Research Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D)September 17–18, 2012Obama52%Romney40%122,051 LV±2.2%
Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R)September 15–17, 2012Obama48%Romney47%1800 LV±3.46%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg CollegeSeptember 10–16, 2012Obama50%Romney41%9640 LV±4.0%
YouGovSeptember 7–14, 2012Obama52%Romney43%91,139 LVNot reported
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc.September 9–12, 2012Obama50%Romney39%11600 LV±4%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%MarginSample sizeMargin of error
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.October 4 – 6, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney45%Gary Johnson3%2725 LV±3.64%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%MarginSample sizeMargin of error
Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R)October 11–13, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney49%Gary Johnson2%Jill Stein1%41,376 LV±2.64%

Rhode Island

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4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–35%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
WPRI 12/Fleming & AssociatesOctober 24–27, 2012Obama54%Romney33%21601 LV±4%
Brown UniversitySeptember 26 – October 5, 2012Obama58.2%Romney32.3%25.9471 LV±4.4%
WPRI 12/Fleming & AssociatesSeptember 26–29, 2012Obama57.3%Romney33.1%24.2501 LV±4.38%

South Carolina

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9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%

See also: Pre-2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012 § South Carolina
See also: Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012 § South Carolina

South Dakota

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3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Nielson Brothers PollingOctober 31 – November 4, 2012Obama41%Romney53%12633 LV±3.90%
Nielson Brothers PollingOctober 28–31, 2012Obama42%Romney50%8671 LV±3.78%
Nielson Brothers PollingAugust 29 – September 6, 2012Obama39%Romney54%15509 LV±4.34%
Nielson Brothers PollingJuly 19–23, 2012Obama43%Romney49%6541 LV±4.21%

Tennessee

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11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama42%Romney53%11697 LV±4%
Middle Tennessee State UniversityOctober 16 – 21, 2012Obama34%Romney59%25609 LV±4%
YouGovOctober 4 – 11, 2012Obama43%Romney52%9484 LV±5%
YouGovSeptember 7 – 14, 2012Obama42%Romney50%8694 LVNot reported

Texas

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38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama38%Romney57%191,563 LV±3.2%
University of Texas at Austin/Texas Tribune/YouGovOctober 15 – 21, 2012Obama39%Romney55%16540 LV±4.22%
YouGovOctober 4 – 11, 2012Obama41%Romney55%14958 LV±4.5%
Texas LyceumSeptember 10 – 26, 2012Obama39%Romney58%19443 LV±4.66%
Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion ResearchSeptember 9–11, 2012Obama40%Romney55%151,000 LV±3.1%

Utah

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6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 72%–26%
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
KSL-TV/Deseret News/Dan Jones & AssociatesOctober 26 – November 1, 2012Obama26%Romney69%43870 LV±3.4%
Brigham Young University/Key ResearchOctober 9–13, 2012Obama20%Romney71%51500 LV±4.4%
InsiderAdvantageOctober 8–13, 2012Obama21%Romney74%53Not reported±7.6%

Vermont

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3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%

See also: Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012 § Vermont

Virginia

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13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Reuters/IpsosNovember 3–5, 2012Obama48%Romney46%2828 LV±3.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchNovember 4, 2012Obama48%Romney50%2750 LV±4%
Public Policy PollingNovember 3–4, 2012Obama51%Romney47%4975 LV±3.1%
Reuters/IpsosNovember 2–4, 2012Obama47%Romney46%1662 LV±4.3%
Reuters/IpsosNovember 1–3, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3947 LV±3.6%
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama48%Romney46%21,497 LV±2.7%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeNovember 1–2, 2012Obama48%Romney47%11,165 LV±2.9%
Reuters/IpsosOctober 31 – November 2, 2012Obama48%Romney45%31,065 LV±3.4%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)October 30 – November 2, 2012Obama48%Romney45%3800 LV±3.4%
We Ask AmericaOctober 30 – November 1, 2012Obama48.5%Romney47.6%0.91,069 LV±3%
Reuters/IpsosOctober 30 – November 1, 2012Obama49%Romney44%5792 LV±4%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D)October 30 – 31, 2012Obama49%Romney46%3600 LV±4.0%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)October 30, 2012Obama49%Romney48%11,000 LV±3%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 23 – 28, 2012Obama49%Romney47%21,074 LV±3%
Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)October 25–27, 2012Obama49%Romney46%3807 LVNot reported
Gravis Marketing Archived 2012-10-30 at the Wayback MachineOctober 26, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied645 LV±3.9%
Roanoke CollegeOctober 23–26, 2012Obama44%Romney49%5638 LV±4%
The Washington PostOctober 22–26, 2012Obama51%Romney47%41,228 LV±3.5%
Purple Strategies Archived 2012-10-28 at the Wayback MachineOctober 23 – 25, 2012Obama47%Romney47%Tied600 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 24, 2012Obama48%Romney50%2750 LV±4.0%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & CompanyOctober 23–24, 2012Obama45%Romney47%21126 LV±3.0%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D)October 23 – 24, 2012Obama51%Romney46%5722 LV±3.6%
Americans United for Change/Mellman Group (D)October 18 – 21, 2012Obama46%Romney45%1800 LV±3.46%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D)October 18 – 19, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2500 LV±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 18, 2012Obama47%Romney50%3750 LV±4.0%
Virginian-Pilot/Old Dominion University Archived 2012-10-25 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 19 – October 17, 2012Obama50%Romney43%7465 LV±3.4%
League of Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)October 15 – 16, 2012Obama49%Romney48%1733 LV±3.6%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)October 15, 2012Obama47%Romney46%11,000 LV±3.0%
American Research GroupOctober 12 – 14, 2012Obama47%Romney48%1600 LV±4.0%
Kimball Political ConsultingOctober 12 – 13, 2012Obama43%Romney54%11696 LV±3.7%
YouGovOctober 4–11, 2012Obama46%Romney45%1743 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 11, 2012Obama47%Romney49%2750 LV±4.0%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)October 8–9, 2012Obama44%Romney51%7600 LV±4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeOctober 7–9, 2012Obama47%Romney48%1981 LV±3.1%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 4–9, 2012Obama51%Romney46%51,288 LV±2.7%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)October 8, 2012Obama48%Romney48%Tied1,000 LV±3.0%
Public Policy PollingOctober 4–7, 2012Obama50%Romney47%3725 LV±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 4, 2012Obama48%Romney49%1500 LV±4.5%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)October 1, 2012Obama48%Romney47%11,000 LV±3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeSeptember 30 – October 1, 2012Obama48%Romney46%2969 LV±3.1%
Roanoke CollegeSeptember 19 – 28, 2012Obama47%Romney39%8589 LV±4.0%
American Research GroupSeptember 24 – 27, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2600 LV±4.0%
National Research Defense Council/Public Policy Polling (D)September 17–19, 2012Obama49%Romney43%62,770 LV±1.9%
Purple Strategies Archived 2012-09-21 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 15 – 19, 2012Obama46%Romney43%3600 LV±4.0%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & CompanySeptember 16–18, 2012Obama50%Romney43%71,006 LV±3.0%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac UniversitySeptember 11–17, 2012Obama50%Romney46%41,474 LV±3.0%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 13–16, 2012Obama51%Romney46%51,021 LV±3.1%
Washington PostSeptember 12–16, 2012Obama52%Romney44%8847 LV±3.5%
YouGovSeptember 7–14, 2012Obama48%Romney44%4753 LVNot reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchSeptember 13, 2012Obama49%Romney48%1500 LV±4.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeSeptember 9–11, 2012Obama49%Romney44%5996 LV±3.1%
Gravis MarketingSeptember 8–9, 2012Obama44.04%Romney49.39%5.352,238 LV±2.2%

Three-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%MarginSample sizeMargin of error
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & CompanyOctober 23–24, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney46%Virgil Goode1%21,126 LV±3%
We Ask AmericaOctober 4, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney48%Gary Johnson2%31,200 LV±3%
We Ask AmericaSeptember 17, 2012Barack Obama48.5%Mitt Romney45.7%Gary Johnson1.1%2.81,238 LV±2.8%

Four-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Constitution%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
NBC 12 (WWBT-Richmond)/Suffolk University Archived 2012-10-01 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 24 – 26, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney44%Gary Johnson1%Virgil Goode1%2600 LV±4%

Five-way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Constitution%Green%Sample sizeMargin of error
Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R)October 19–20, 2012Barack Obama47.1%Mitt Romney49.2%Gary Johnson0.4%Virgil Goode0.3%Jill Stein0.4%1,000 LV±3.07%

Washington

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12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012Obama54%Romney40%14837 LVNot reported
Public Policy PollingNovember 1 – 3, 2012Obama53%Romney46%7932 LV±3.2%
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSAOctober 28 – 31, 2012Obama54%Romney40%14555 LV±4.2%
KCTS9/University of Washington Archived 2012-11-04 at the Wayback MachineOctober 18 – 31, 2012Obama57.1%Romney36.4%20.7632 LV±3.9%
Strategies 360October 17 – 20, 2012Obama52%Romney39%13500 LV±4.4%
Washington Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)October 15 – 16, 2012Obama50%Romney45%5574 LVNot reported
KCTS9/University of WashingtonOctober 1–16, 2012Obama51.9%Romney42.9%9644 LV±3.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 14, 2012Obama55%Romney42%13500 LV±4.5%
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSAOctober 12 – 14, 2012Obama54%Romney40%14543 LV±4.3%
YouGovOctober 4–11, 2012Obama56%Romney39%17748 LV±4.3%
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSASeptember 28 – 30, 2012Obama56%Romney36%20540 LV±4.3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchSeptember 26, 2012Obama52%Romney41%11500 LV±4.5%
Gravis MarketingSeptember 21–22, 2012Obama56%Romney39%17625 LV±4.6%
YouGovSeptember 7–14, 2012Obama53%Romney39%14880 LVNot reported
Elway ResearchSeptember 9–12, 2012Obama53%Romney36%17405 RV±5.0%
Washington Conservation Voters/Public Policy Polling (D)September 7–9, 2012Obama53%Romney42%11563 LVNot reported
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSASeptember 7–9, 2012Obama54%Romney38%16524 LV±4.4%

West Virginia

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5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

See also: Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012 § West Virginia

Wisconsin

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10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
Public Policy PollingNovember 2 – 3, 2012Obama51%Romney48%31,256 LV±2.8%
Angus Reid Public OpinionNovember 1–3, 2012Obama53%Romney46%7482 LV±4.5%
YouGovOctober 31 – November 3, 2012 Obama50%Romney46%41,225 LV±3.1%
USAction/Project New America/Grove Insight (D)November 1–2, 2012Obama48%Romney42%6500 LV±4.4%
We Ask AmericaOctober 30 – November 1, 2012Obama51.5%Romney44.8%6.71,210 LV±3%
Citizens United/Wenzel Strategies (R)October 30–31, 2012Obama49%Romney47%21,074 LV±3%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)October 30, 2012Obama49%Romney48%11,000 LV±3%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D)October 29–30, 2012Obama51%Romney46%5825 LV±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 29, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tie750 LV±4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeOctober 28–29, 2012Obama49%Romney46%31,065 LV±3%
St. Norbert CollegeOctober 25–29, 2012Obama51%Romney42%9402 LV±5%
Marquette Law SchoolOctober 25–28, 2012Obama51%Romney43%81,243 LV±2.8%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 25, 2012Obama49%Romney49%Tie500 LV±4.5%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D)October 24–25, 2012Obama48%Romney43%5500 LV±4.4%
Health Care for America Now/Public Policy Polling (D)October 23–24, 2012Obama51%Romney45%6827 LV±3.4%
Angus Reid Public OpinionOctober 18–20, 2012Obama51%Romney46%5469 LVNot reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 18, 2012Obama50%Romney48%2500 LV±4.5%
Project New America/Grove Insight (D)October 17–18, 2012Obama47%Romney44%3500 LV±4.4%
Mason-Dixon Polling & ResearchOctober 15 – 17, 2012Obama48%Romney46%2625 LV±4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeOctober 15 – 17, 2012Obama51%Romney45%61,013 LV±3.1%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)October 15, 2012Obama50%Romney47%31,000 LV±3%
Marquette Law SchoolOctober 11–14, 2012Obama49%Romney48%1870 LV±3.4%
YouGovOctober 4 – 11, 2012Obama51%Romney47%4638 LV±4.9%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 4–9, 2012Obama50%Romney47%31,327 LV±2.7%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchOctober 9, 2012Obama51%Romney49%2500 LV±4.5%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)October 8, 2012Obama50%Romney46%41,000 LV±3.0%
Public Policy PollingOctober 4 – 6, 2012Obama49%Romney47%2979 LV±3.1%
Let Freedom Ring/Pulse Opinion Research (R)October 1, 2012Obama51%Romney44%71,000 LV±3.0%
JZ AnalyticsSeptember 29–30, 2012Obama48.9%Romney38.8%10.1414 LV±4.9%
Marquette Law SchoolSeptember 27 – 30, 2012Obama53%Romney42%11894 LV±3.3%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 18 – 19, 2012Obama52%Romney45%7842 LV±3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist CollegeSeptember 16 – 18, 2012Obama50%Romney45%5968 LV±3.2%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchSeptember 17, 2012Obama49%Romney46%3500 LV±4.5%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac UniversitySeptember 11–17, 2012Obama51%Romney45%61,485 LV±3.0%
Marquette Law SchoolSeptember 13–16, 2012Obama54%Romney40%14601 LV±4%
YouGovSeptember 7–14, 2012 Obama48%Romney47%1753 LVNot reported
Democracy for America/Public Policy Polling (D)September 12–13, 2012Obama49%Romney48%1959 LV±3.16%

Three way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample SizeMargin of error
We Ask AmericaSeptember 20 – 23, 2012Barack Obama52.5%Mitt Romney41.0%Gary Johnson1.2%121,238 LV±2.8%

Wyoming

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3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 69%–29%
(Republican in 2008) 65%–33%

No polls conducted

See also

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