Toronto—St. Paul's (federal electoral district)

Toronto—St. Paul's is a federal electoral district in Toronto, Ontario, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1935. Before the 2015 election, the riding was known as St. Paul's.[3]

Toronto—St. Paul's
Ontario electoral district
Location in Toronto
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
  
Vacant
District created1933
First contested1935
Last contested2021
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2021)[1]116,953
Electors (2015)75,852
Area (km²)[2]14
Pop. density (per km²)8,353.8
Census division(s)Toronto
Census subdivision(s)Toronto
Map of Toronto-St. Paul's

The small but densely populated riding covers the area to the north and northeast of Downtown Toronto (often called "Midtown" Toronto). In the past, it had been considered a bellwether riding, having been represented by only three opposition MPs. However, like most Toronto-based ridings, the Liberals have dominated recent elections. Since the Liberals won all but one seat in Ontario in their 1993 landslide, they have won all but one election in St. Paul's by 10,000 votes or more.

Geography

edit

As of 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, the riding includes the southern two-thirds of the wealthy Toronto neighbourhood of Forest Hill, plus the neighbourhoods of Deer Park, Davisville Village, Chaplin Estates, South Hill, Humewood-Cedarvale, the southern two-thirds of Fairbank, and the northern half of Summerhill.

In the last couple of federal elections, the Liberals have been strong throughout the riding, but were particular strong in Fairbank and in Rosehill (a sub neighbourhood of Deer Park). There were also especially strong in Davisville Village in 2019, but this support has dropped. The weakest neighbourhood in both elections was Forest Hill, which is the strongest neighbourhood for the Conservatives. For the NDP, their strongest neighbourhoods have been Davenport, Tarragon Village and Humewood.

Following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, the riding will gain the remainder of Davisville Village from Don Valley West, the area north of the CPR (Moore Park area) in University—Rosedale, and will lose the area south of Vaughan Road and west of Winona Drive (in Oakwood Village) to the riding of Davenport.

Demographics

edit

According to the 2021 Canadian census[4]

Ethnic groups: 63.9% White, 6.3% South Asian, 6.0% Black, 5.0% Chinese, 4.5% Filipino, 4.1% Latin American, 2.0% West Asian, 1.8% Korean, 1.1% Indigenous, 1.0% Arab, 1.0% Southeast Asian
Languages: 62.3% English, 3.7% Spanish, 2.9% Portuguese, 2.2% Tagalog, 1.8% French, 1.8% Mandarin, 1.6% Italian, 1.5% Russian, 1.5% Persian, 1.3% Korean, 1.3% Cantonese
Religions: 40.9% Christian (21.1% Catholic, 3.7% Anglican, 3.5% Christian Orthodox, 2.1% United Church, 10.5% Other), 15.1% Jewish, 3.7% Muslim, 3.2% Hindu, 1.1% Buddhist, 34.8% None

Median income: $50,400 (2020)
Average income: $96,000 (2020)

History

edit

The riding of Toronto—St. Pauls was created in 1933 from parts of the Toronto East Centre, Toronto Northeast, Toronto South and Toronto West Centre ridings.

It consisted initially of the central part of the City of Toronto ("Downtown Toronto"). It was bounded on the south by Toronto Bay, on the east by Sherbourne Street and on the north and west by a line drawn from Sherbourne Street west along Bloor Street, north along Yonge Street, northwest along the belt line railway, south and west along the western limit of the city, south along Dunvegan Road, east along St. Clair Avenue, south along Poplar Plains Road, west along Dupont Street, south along St. George and Beverley Streets, east along Queen Street, south along John Street.

In 1947, it was redefined to consist of the part of the city of Toronto bounded on the south by Toronto Bay, on the east by a line drawn from the Bay north along Sherbourne Street, west along Bloor Street East and north along Yonge Street, on the north by the south boundary of Ward Nine of the city of Toronto, and on the west by a line drawn from the Bay north on John Street, west along Queen Street West, north on Beverley Street and along St. George Street, east along Dupont Street, north along Davenport Road and Poplar Plains Road, west along St. Clair Avenue West, north along Dunvegan Road, east and north along the city limit to the southern boundary of Ward Nine.

In 1966, the southern part of the riding, what would be considered to be "Downtown Toronto" was removed from the electoral district (added to Rosedale electoral district) and the riding was shifted northward redefined to consist of the part of Metropolitan Toronto bounded by a line drawn from Bloor Street, north along Yonge Street, northwest along the Canadian National Railway line, north along Elmsthorpe Avenue, west along Eglinton Avenue, north along Castlewood Road, west along Briar Hill Avenue, south along Old Park Road and Glen Cedar Road, southeast along Claxton Boulevard, south along Bathurst Street and east along Bloor Street to Yonge Street.

In 1987, it was redefined to consist of the part of the cities of Toronto and York bounded by a line drawn from the Canadian Pacific Railway line north along Ossington Avenue, east along Davenport Road, north along Winona Drive, west along Eglinton Avenue West, north and east along the eastern limit of the City of York, east and north along the northern limit of the City of Toronto, south along Yonge Street and westerly along the CPR line to Ossington Avenue (removing lands between the CPR lands and Bloor Street).

In 1996, it was redefined to consist of the part of the cities of Toronto and York bounded by a line drawn from the Canadian Pacific Railway north along Ossington Avenue, east along Davenport Road, north along Winona Drive, west along Eglinton Avenue West, north along the eastern limit of the City of York, east along the northern limit of the City of Toronto, south along Bathurst Street, southeast along the Belt Line (formerly the Canadian National Railway), east along Eglinton Avenue West, north along Yonge Street, east along Broadway Avenue, south and east along the eastern limit of the City of Toronto, west along the south side of the Mount Pleasant Cemetery, south along the ravine situated east of Avoca Avenue, west along Rosehill Avenue, south and east along the west side of the Rosehill Reservoir, west along Woodlawn Avenue East, south along Yonge Street, and west along the Canadian Pacific Railway to Ossington Avenue.

In 2003, it was redefined to consist of the part of the City of Toronto bounded by a line drawn from the Canadian Pacific Railway north along Ossington Avenue, east along Davenport Road, north along Winona Drive, west along Holland Park Avenue, north along Oakwood Avenue, west along Rogers Road, north along Dufferin Street, east along Eglinton Avenue West, north along Yonge Street, east along Broadway Avenue, south along the former eastern limit of the City of Toronto, west along the south side of the Mount Pleasant Cemetery, southeast along the Don River Tributary situated east of Avoca Avenue, west along Rosehill Avenue, south along the west side of the Rosehill Reservoir, west along Jackes Avenue, south along Yonge Street and west along the Canadian Pacific Railway to Ossington Avenue.

In the 2012 electoral redistribution, St. Paul's lost territory to Don Valley West, gained a small fraction from Davenport and was renamed Toronto—St. Paul's.

Churches named for St. Paul in the electoral district

edit

From its creation until 1966, the electoral district included two prominent churches named for St. Paul the apostle: St. Paul's, Bloor Street at 227 Bloor Street East, which is the largest Anglican church in Toronto by seating capacity; and St. Paul's-Avenue Road United Church at Avenue Road and Webster Avenue, which was the church of many of Toronto's elite. The electoral district ceased to include 227 Bloor Street East after a redefinition of the district's boundaries in 1966. In 1980, the congregation at St. Paul's-Avenue Road United Church moved to 427 Bloor Street West during a church merger creating Trinity-St. Paul's United Church. The electoral district ceased to include 427 Bloor Street West after a boundary redefinition in 1987. Therefore, Toronto—St. Paul's no longer contains a St. Paul's.

Members of Parliament

edit

This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

ParliamentYearsMemberParty
St. Paul's
Riding created from Toronto East Centre, Toronto Northeast,
Toronto South and Toronto West Centre
18th  1935–1940     Douglas Ross Conservative
19th  1940–1945     National Government
20th  1945–1949     Progressive Conservative
21st  1949–1953     James Rooney Liberal
22nd  1953–1957     Roland Michener Progressive Conservative
23rd  1957–1958
24th  1958–1962
25th  1962–1963     Ian Wahn Liberal
26th  1963–1965
27th  1965–1968
28th  1968–1972
29th  1972–1974     Ron Atkey Progressive Conservative
30th  1974–1979     John Roberts Liberal
31st  1979–1980     Ron Atkey Progressive Conservative
32nd  1980–1984     John Roberts Liberal
33rd  1984–1988     Barbara McDougall Progressive Conservative
34th  1988–1993
35th  1993–1997     Barry Campbell Liberal
36th  1997–2000 Carolyn Bennett
37th  2000–2004
38th  2004–2006
39th  2006–2008
40th  2008–2011
41st  2011–2015
Toronto—St. Paul's
42nd  2015–2019     Carolyn Bennett Liberal
43rd  2019–2021
44th  2021–2024

Election results

edit
Graph of election results in Toronto—St. Paul's (parties that never received 2% of the vote are omitted)

Toronto—St. Paul's, 2015–present

edit
Canadian federal by-election, June 24, 2024
Resignation of Carolyn Bennett
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LiberalLeslie Church
ConservativeDon Stewart
New DemocraticAmrit Parhar
GreenChristian Cullis
People'sDennis Wilson
CentristAli Mohiuddin
Marxist–LeninistMeñico Turcotte
MarijuanaDanny Légaré
RhinocerosSean Carson
IndependentMélodie Anderson
IndependentMarthaLee Aykroyd
IndependentAlex Banks
IndependentMyriam Beaulieu
IndependentMichael Bednarski
IndependentLine Bélanger
IndependentMaxime Boivin
IndependentMylène Bonneau
IndependentJean-Denis Parent Boudreault
IndependentAlain Bourgault
IndependentErle Stanley Bowman
IndependentJaël Champagne Gareau
IndependentSébastien CoRhino
IndependentLéthycia-Félix Corriveau
IndependentCharles Currie
IndependentJohn Dale
No AffiliationStephen Davis
IndependentMark Dejewski
IndependentKubera Desai
No AffiliationManon Marie Lili Desbiens
IndependentCory Deville
IndependentGerrit Dogger
IndependentSamuel Ducharme
IndependentYsack Dupont
IndependentDonovan Eckstrom
IndependentAlexandra Engering
IndependentDji-Pé Frazer
IndependentGuillaume Gagnier-Michel
IndependentDaniel Gagnon
IndependentDonald Gagnon
IndependentDaniel Andrew Graham
IndependentPierre Granger
IndependentZornitsa Halacheva
IndependentAnthony Hamel
IndependentFelix-Antoine Hamel
IndependentBlake Hamilton
IndependentLoren Hicks
IndependentKerri Hildebrandt
IndependentMartin Acetaria Caesar Jubinville
IndependentDemetrios Karavas
IndependentKevin Krisa
IndependentKrzysztof Krzywinski
IndependentAlain Lamontagne
IndependentPierre Larochelle
IndependentMarie-Hélène LeBel
IndependentRenée Lemieux
IndependentConnie Lukawski
IndependentGlen MacDonald
IndependentAgnieszka Marszalek
IndependentMatéo Martin
IndependentThibaud Mony
IndependentYusuf Kadir Nasihi
IndependentWinston Neutel
IndependentGuillaume Paradis
IndependentJoshua Bram Hieu Pham
IndependentLorant Polya
IndependentDanimal Preston
IndependentOlivier Renaud
IndependentSpencer Rocchi
IndependentWallace Richard Rowat
IndependentJacques Saintonge
IndependentJonathan Schachter
IndependentRoger Sherwood
IndependentYogo Shimada
IndependentJulie St-Amand
IndependentPascal St-Amand
IndependentMário Stocco
IndependentPatrick Strzalkowski
IndependentDaniel Stuckless
IndependentBenjamin Teichman
IndependentDarcy Vanderwater
IndependentGavin Vanderwater
IndependentElliot Wand
IndependentMichal Wieczorek
IndependentJordan Wong
Total valid votes
Total rejected ballots
Turnout
Eligible voters
2021 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
LiberalCarolyn Bennett22,84448.86-5.64$88,807.52
ConservativeStephanie Osadchuk12,12625.83+4.23$26,751.24
New DemocraticSidney Coles[5]7,74916.51+0.71$31,250.09
GreenPhil De Luna2,8906.16-0.64$30,817.63
People'sPeter Remedios1,3402.85+1.35$1,412.77
Total valid votes/Expense limit46,949$112,245.61
Total rejected ballots
Turnout46,94956.77
Eligible voters82,707
Source: Elections Canada[6]
2021 federal election redistributed results[7]
PartyVote%
 Liberal30,02349.51
 Conservative16,07626.51
 New Democratic9,63815.89
 Green3,3735.56
 People's1,5132.50
 Others180.03
2019 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
LiberalCarolyn Bennett32,49454.3-0.96$88,263.67
ConservativeJae Truesdell12,93321.6-5.39$95,161.27
New DemocraticAlok Mukherjee9,44215.8+1.08$48,947.09
GreenSarah Climenhaga4,0426.8+3.77$447.10
People'sJohn Kellen9231.5-$0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit59,834100.00
Total rejected ballots384
Turnout60,21871.6-2.3
Eligible voters84,110
Liberal holdSwing+2.22
Source: Elections Canada[8][9]
2015 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
LiberalCarolyn Bennett31,48155.26+15.34$128,256.52
ConservativeMarnie MacDougall15,37626.99-5.43$186,719.71
New DemocraticNoah Richler8,38614.72-7.91$53,022.76
GreenKevin Farmer1,7293.03-1.45$3,643.09
Total valid votes/Expense limit56,972100.0   $210,412.41
Total rejected ballots252
Turnout57,22473.9
Eligible voters77,433
Source: Elections Canada[10][11][12]
2011 federal election redistributed results[13]
PartyVote%
 Liberal19,56339.92
 Conservative15,88732.42
 New Democratic11,08822.63
 Green2,1954.48
 Others2670.54

St. Paul's, 1935–2015

edit
2011 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
LiberalCarolyn Bennett22,40940.6-9.9
ConservativeMaureen Harquail17,86432.4+5.8
New DemocraticWilliam Molls12,12422.0+8.7
GreenJim McGarva2,4954.5-4.6
LibertarianJohn Kittredge3030.5-0.1
Total valid votes/Expense limit55,195 100.0
Total rejected ballots276 0.5
Turnout55,471 68.2
Eligible voters 81,288
2008 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
LiberalCarolyn Bennett26,32650.5+0.2$69,331
ConservativeHeather Jewell13,80026.6+0.8$53,617
New DemocraticAnita Agrawal6,88013.3-5.9$13,606
GreenJustin Erdman4,7139.1+4.3$3,526
LibertarianJohn Kittredge3130.6$182
Total valid votes/Expense limit 52,032100.0$86,488
2006 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LiberalCarolyn Bennett29,29550.3-8.1
ConservativePeter Kent15,02125.8+5.4
New DemocraticPaul Summerville11,18919.2+3.5
GreenKevin Farmer2,7854.8-0.7
Total valid votes58,290100.0
2004 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LiberalCarolyn Bennett32,17158.4+4.1
ConservativeBarry Cline11,22620.4-13.1*
New DemocraticNorman Tobias8,66715.7+6.3
GreenPeter Elgie3,0315.5+3.9
Total valid votes55,095 100.0

*Comparison to total of Progressive Conservative and Canadian Alliance vote in 2000.

2000 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LiberalCarolyn Bennett25,35854.0-0.3
Progressive ConservativeBarry Cline10,09921.5-2.2
AllianceTheo Caldwell5,45711.6+4.3
New DemocraticGuy Hunter4,4519.5-2.9
GreenDon Roebuck7691.6+0.4
MarijuanaAndrew Potter5141.1
Canadian ActionMark Till1280.3-0.1
Marxist–LeninistBarbara Seed880.2-0.1
Natural LawRon Parker830.2-0.3
Total valid votes46,947 100.0

Note: Canadian Alliance vote is compared to the Reform vote in 1997 election.

1997 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LiberalCarolyn Bennett26,38954.3-0.1
Progressive ConservativePeter Atkins11,52023.7-0.7
New DemocraticMichael Halewood6,02812.4+7.3
ReformFrancis Floszmann3,5647.3-3.8
GreenDon Roebuck5971.2+0.3
Natural LawNeil Dickie2210.5-0.2
Canadian ActionDaniel Widdicombe1820.4
Marxist–LeninistFernand Deschamps1350.3+0.1
Total valid votes48,636 100.0
1993 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LiberalBarry Campbell27,87854.4+13.6
Progressive ConservativeIsabel Bassett12,50024.4-23.1
ReformPaul Chaplin5,70711.1
New DemocraticDavid Jacobs2,6295.1-4.9
NationalMario Godlewski1,2532.4
GreenJim Harris4911.0+0.3
Natural LawRick C. Weberg3140.6
IndependentJim Conrad2620.5
LibertarianRick Stenhouse1070.2-0.4
Marxist–LeninistDavid Gershuny870.2
AbolitionistMarion Velma Joyce190.0
Commonwealth of CanadaMike Twose100.0
Total valid votes 51,257100.0
1988 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Progressive ConservativeBarbara McDougall25,20647.50.0
LiberalAideen Nicholson21,65540.8+3.0
New DemocraticDiane Bull5,30310.0-2.6
GreenPhilip Sarazen3480.7-0.5
LibertarianChristian P. Sorensen3460.7+0.2
CommunistJohn MacClennan1710.3+0.1
Total valid votes53,029 100.0
1984 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Progressive ConservativeBarbara McDougall20,91447.6+8.0
LiberalJohn Roberts16,65937.9-7.4
New DemocraticJohn Webb5,54512.6-0.8
GreenJoell Vanderwagen5141.2
LibertarianJocelyne Demers2100.5+0.1
CommunistGerry Van Houten990.20.0
Commonwealth of CanadaWilliam Gerby360.1
Total valid votes 43,977100.0
1980 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LiberalJohn Roberts17,90545.3+4.0
Progressive ConservativeRon Atkey15,64339.5-4.6
New DemocraticJames Lockyer5,30113.4+0.1
RhinocerosLiza Armour3110.8+0.5
LibertarianDan A. Kornitzer1620.4-0.3
IndependentRobert Smith1080.3
CommunistMel Doig760.20.0
IndependentNaomi Jolliffe370.1
Marxist–LeninistKeith Ramdeen220.10.0
Total valid votes 39,565100.0
1979 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Progressive ConservativeRon Atkey19,16144.1+1.7
LiberalJohn Roberts17,94941.3-4.2
New DemocraticJames Lockyer5,77913.3+2.2
LibertarianRonald F. Bailey3250.7
RhinocerosJacques Gauthier1170.3
CommunistRuth Fitzgerald970.2-0.2
Marxist–LeninistNola Moore290.1-0.1
Total valid votes 43,457100.0
1974 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LiberalJohn Roberts16,12445.5+6.2
Progressive ConservativeRon Atkey15,01042.4-0.1
New DemocraticLukin Robinson3,91311.1-0.8
CommunistBarbara Cameron1650.5
IndependentRichard Carl Bolster1380.4
Marxist–LeninistCrawford McNair560.2
Total valid votes35,406 100.0
1972 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Progressive ConservativeRon Atkey15,67642.5+11.7
LiberalIan Wahn14,48439.3-20.1
New DemocraticMary Boyce4,37611.9+4.1
IndependentKay Macpherson2,0445.5
IndependentElizabeth Hill1330.4
Social CreditJohn Bilan870.2
IndependentCrawford McNair480.1
Total valid votes36,848 100.0
1968 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LiberalIan Wahn20,98159.4+10.9
Progressive ConservativeBarry Lowes10,88230.8-1.6
New DemocraticRobert Fenn2,7437.8-11.3
IndependentW.J. Russell Taylor4201.2
CommunistRae Allan Murphy2920.8
Total valid votes35,318 100.0
1965 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LiberalIan Wahn12,25148.5-8.2
Progressive ConservativeWard Markle8,20432.5+4.6
New DemocraticAlan Rimmer4,82119.1+5.5
Total valid votes 25,276100.0
1963 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LiberalIan Wahn15,89156.7+14.8
Progressive ConservativeJoel W. Aldred7,79527.8-13.6
New DemocraticDon Stevenson3,79413.5+0.2
Social CreditNeil Carmichael5431.9-0.2
Total valid votes28,023 100.0
1962 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LiberalIan Wahn11,14041.9+16.3
Progressive ConservativeRoland Michener11,01341.4-23.4
New DemocraticDon Stevenson3,53313.3+3.7
Social CreditNeil Carmichael5632.1
IndependentDouglas Campbell3281.2
Total valid votes 26,577100.0

Note: NDP vote is compared to CCF vote in 1958 election.

1958 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Progressive ConservativeRoland Michener18,21364.8+7.9
LiberalJoseph S. Williams7,21225.7-2.6
Co-operative CommonwealthMargot Thompson2,6869.6-2.9
Total valid votes 28,111100.0
1957 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Progressive ConservativeRoland Michener13,24356.9+15.4
LiberalJames Rooney6,58628.3-11.0
Co-operative CommonwealthMargot Thompson2,90612.5-3.6
Social CreditBurton Ford5332.3+0.7
Total valid votes23,268 100.0
1953 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Progressive ConservativeRoland Michener9,73841.5+3.0
LiberalJames Rooney9,22339.3-2.4
Co-operative CommonwealthAndrew Brewin3,78616.1-3.7
CommunistAnnie Buller Guralnick3691.6
Social CreditNeil Carmichael3631.5
Total valid votes23,479 100.0
1949 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LiberalJames Rooney14,00041.7+1.6
Progressive ConservativeRoland Michener12,92238.5-2.2
Co-operative CommonwealthAndrew F. Brewin6,67719.9+3.6
Total valid votes 33,599100.0
1945 Canadian federal election: St. Paul's
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Progressive ConservativeDouglas Ross12,39040.7-10.6
LiberalJames Rooney12,21140.1-8.6
Co-operative CommonwealthAndrew F. Brewin4,95816.3
Labor–ProgressiveWilliam Kashtan8952.9
Total valid votes 30,454100.0

Note: Progressive Conservative vote is compared to "National Government" vote in 1940 election.

1940 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
National GovernmentDouglas Ross15,59151.3+10.3
LiberalJames Rooney14,81648.7+9.8
Total valid votes 30,407100.0

Note: "National Government" vote is compared to Conservative vote in 1935 election.

1935 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%
ConservativeDouglas Ross10,85240.9
LiberalSalter Hayden10,32238.9
ReconstructionJames Robertson2,71310.2
Co-operative CommonwealthTed Jolliffe2,6289.9
Total valid votes 26,515100.0

See also

edit

References

edit
  • "Toronto—St. Paul's (federal electoral district) (Code 35077) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 3, 2011.

Notes

edit
edit

43°41′46″N 79°24′27″W / 43.696°N 79.4076°W / 43.696; -79.4076