2024 Toronto—St. Paul's federal by-election

A by-election is scheduled to be held in the federal riding of Toronto—St. Paul's in Ontario, Canada on June 24, 2024, following the resignation of incumbent Liberal MP Carolyn Bennett.

2024 Toronto—St. Paul's federal by-election

← 2021June 24, 2024 (2024-06-24)45th →

Riding of Toronto—St. Paul's
 
LPC
CPC
CandidateLeslie ChurchDon Stewart
PartyLiberalConservative
Last election48.86%25.83%

 
NDP
GPC
CandidateAmrit ParharChristian Cullis
PartyNew DemocraticGreen
Last election16.51%6.16%

Incumbent MP

Vacant



The Government of Canada announced measures to protect the by-election from foreign interference.[1]

The race is being considered by some as a "referendum" on the premiership of Justin Trudeau.[2][3]

Background

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The riding of Toronto—St. Paul's was vacated on January 16, 2024, following the resignation of Liberal MP Carolyn Bennett.[4][5] Bennett, most recently the Minister of Mental Health and Addictions and Associate Minister of Health in the government of Justin Trudeau, had held the seat since 1997.[6]

Constituency

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Toronto—St. Paul's is a safe Liberal[7] seat in Midtown, Toronto. It has been held by the Liberals since the 1993 federal election.[8]

Candidates

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Running for the Liberal nomination was Leslie Church, former chief of staff to Chrystia Freeland.[9] She later received formal approval to run for Liberal nomination in Toronto—St. Paul’s in April 2024.[10] She ran against Emma Richardson, a senior advisor with Global Affairs Canada’s United Nations division.[11] The Liberal nomination was held on May 1 with Church winning the nomination.[12][13]

Other prospective candidates for the Liberal nomination who declined to run, included former Toronto city councillor Josh Colle; former Ontario MPP Eric Hoskins, who represented the area provincially from 2009 to 2018 and previously served in the provincial cabinets of Dalton McGuinty and Kathleen Wynne, including as Minister of Health and Long-Term Care from 2014 to 2018; and Toronto city councillor Josh Matlow, who has represented the area municipally since 2010; Matlow ultimately decided not to run.[9][14][15] With his riding set to merge with Scarborough Centre at the next election, Don Valley East MP Michael Coteau was seen as a potential candidate, in order to avoid a nomination battle with fellow Liberal MP Salma Zahid; Coteau ultimately declined to run.[14][16]

The Rhinoceros Party announced that Sean Carson would be the candidate on January 13.[17]

The Conservative Party nominated Don Stewart on January 24. He works for the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization.[18][19]

The NDP announced on April 17 that Amrit Parhar would be the candidate. She works as the Director of Programs at the Institute for Change Leaders, an organization that was founded by Toronto mayor, Olivia Chow.[20] It was previously reported two days earlier by The Hill Times that MPP for Toronto—St. Paul's, Jill Andrew was considering seeking the nomination.[21]

On May 17, the Centrist Party announced Ali Mohiuddin as their candidate.[22]

On May 24, the Green Party announced that Christian Cullis, a constituent coordinator for Ward 11 city councillor Dianne Saxe, would be their candidate.[23] Emma Richardson, who previously lost the Liberal nomination, also sought the Green Party nomination.[24]

On May 28, the People's Party announced that Dennis Wilson would be their candidate.[25]

The Longest Ballot Committee has chosen the riding for its next target; this may result in dozens of independent candidates.[26] They intend to do this due to opposition to first-past-the-post voting.[27] As of June 3, 2024, there were 84 candidates confirmed by Elections Canada,[28] breaking the previous record of 48 set in the Winnipeg South Centre by-election of June 19, 2023.

Results

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Canadian federal by-election, June 24, 2024: Toronto—St. Paul's
Resignation of Carolyn Bennett
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LiberalLeslie Church
ConservativeDon Stewart
New DemocraticAmrit Parhar
GreenChristian Cullis
People'sDennis Wilson
CentristAli Mohiuddin
Marxist–LeninistMeñico Turcotte
MarijuanaDanny Légaré
RhinocerosSean Carson
IndependentMélodie Anderson
IndependentMarthaLee Aykroyd
IndependentAlex Banks
IndependentMyriam Beaulieu
IndependentMichael Bednarski
IndependentLine Bélanger
IndependentMaxime Boivin
IndependentMylène Bonneau
IndependentJean-Denis Parent Boudreault
IndependentAlain Bourgault
IndependentErle Stanley Bowman
IndependentJaël Champagne Gareau
IndependentSébastien CoRhino
IndependentLéthycia-Félix Corriveau
IndependentCharles Currie
IndependentJohn Dale
No AffiliationStephen Davis
IndependentMark Dejewski
IndependentKubera Desai
No AffiliationManon Marie Lili Desbiens
IndependentCory Deville
IndependentGerrit Dogger
IndependentSamuel Ducharme
IndependentYsack Dupont
IndependentDonovan Eckstrom
IndependentAlexandra Engering
IndependentDji-Pé Frazer
IndependentGuillaume Gagnier-Michel
IndependentDaniel Gagnon
IndependentDonald Gagnon
IndependentDaniel Andrew Graham
IndependentPierre Granger
IndependentZornitsa Halacheva
IndependentAnthony Hamel
IndependentFelix-Antoine Hamel
IndependentBlake Hamilton
IndependentLoren Hicks
IndependentKerri Hildebrandt
IndependentMartin Acetaria Caesar Jubinville
IndependentDemetrios Karavas
IndependentKevin Krisa
IndependentKrzysztof Krzywinski
IndependentAlain Lamontagne
IndependentPierre Larochelle
IndependentMarie-Hélène LeBel
IndependentRenée Lemieux
IndependentConnie Lukawski
IndependentGlen MacDonald
IndependentAgnieszka Marszalek
IndependentMatéo Martin
IndependentThibaud Mony
IndependentYusuf Kadir Nasihi
IndependentWinston Neutel
IndependentGuillaume Paradis
IndependentJoshua Bram Hieu Pham
IndependentLorant Polya
IndependentDanimal Preston
IndependentOlivier Renaud
IndependentSpencer Rocchi
IndependentWallace Richard Rowat
IndependentJacques Saintonge
IndependentJonathan Schachter
IndependentRoger Sherwood
IndependentYogo Shimada
IndependentJulie St-Amand
IndependentPascal St-Amand
IndependentMário Stocco
IndependentPatrick Strzalkowski
IndependentDaniel Stuckless
IndependentBenjamin Teichman
IndependentDarcy Vanderwater
IndependentGavin Vanderwater
IndependentElliot Wand
IndependentMichal Wieczorek
IndependentJordan Wong
Total valid votes
Total rejected ballots
Turnout
Eligible voters

2021 result

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2021 Canadian federal election: Toronto—St. Paul's
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
LiberalCarolyn Bennett22,84449.22-5.09$88,807.52
ConservativeStephanie Osadchuk13,58725.30+3.69$26,751.24
New DemocraticSidney Coles[29]9,03616.83+1.05$31,250.09
GreenPhil De Luna3,2145.99-0.77$30,817.63
People'sPeter Remedios1,4322.67+1.12$1,412.77
Total valid votes/Expense limit53,69898.93$112,245.61
Total rejected ballots5801.07+0.43
Turnout54,27865.48-4.91
Eligible voters82,891
Liberal holdSwing-4.39
Source: Elections Canada[30]

References

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  1. ^ "Government of Canada announces measures to protect Toronto-St. Paul's by-election from foreign interference". www.canada.ca. 2024-05-21. Retrieved 2024-05-24.
  2. ^ Tasker, John Paul (2024-06-20). "Toronto voters say federal byelection is a referendum on Justin Trudeau's future". CBC. Retrieved 2024-06-20.
  3. ^ MacCharles, Tonda (2024-06-15). [hhttps://www.thestar.com/politics/this-isn-t-just-another-byelection-in-toronto-it-might-reveal-the-future-for-justin/article_273357d6-29df-11ef-804e-cb61f433e2b6.html "This isn't just another byelection in Toronto — it might reveal the future for Justin Trudeau and Pierre Poilievre. Here's what's at stake"]. Toronto Star. Retrieved 2024-06-20.
  4. ^ Rabson, Mia (December 12, 2023). "Carolyn Bennett stepping down as Liberal MP for Toronto-St. Paul's after 26 years". The Canadian Press. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
  5. ^ "The Hon. Carolyn Bennett, P.C., M.P." Library of Parliament. Retrieved January 16, 2024.
  6. ^ "Liberal minister Carolyn Bennett announces she will not stand for re-election". CTVNews. 2023-07-24. Retrieved 2024-05-24.
  7. ^ "Federal byelection announced for June 24 in Toronto St. Paul's riding". CTV News. May 19, 2024.
  8. ^ "Trudeau announces date for Toronto—St. Paul's byelection". Toronto Star. May 22, 2024.
  9. ^ a b Rana, Abbas; Jeffery, Stephen (December 18, 2023). "Toronto-St. Paul's byelection could be 'first test' of Jewish voters' reaction to Canada's UN vote on Israel-Hamas war, say political insiders". The Hill Times. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
  10. ^ Vigliotti, Marco (April 22, 2024). "Leslie Church receives formal approval to run for Liberal nomination in Toronto-St. Paul's: sources". iPolitics. Retrieved April 25, 2024.
  11. ^ Vigliotti, Marco (25 April 2024). "Leslie Church expected to easily win Liberal nomination in Toronto-St. Paul's on Tuesday: sources". iPolitics. Retrieved 25 April 2024.
  12. ^ Duguid, Terry; Martinez Ferrada, Soraya. "Liberal Nomination Meeting – Toronto—St. Paul's". Liberal Party of Canada. Retrieved 25 April 2024.
  13. ^ "Liberal Party of Canada announces Leslie Church as Team Trudeau candidate for Toronto–St. Paul's". Liberal Party of Canada. 1 May 2024. Retrieved 1 May 2024.
  14. ^ a b Vigliotti, Marco (January 25, 2024). "Liberals still considering candidates for Toronto-St. Paul's byelection". iPolitics. Retrieved January 26, 2024.
  15. ^ https://twitter.com/JoshMatlow/status/1761054619273167274
  16. ^ Vigliotti, Marco (January 19, 2024). "Coteau won't run in Toronto-St. Paul's byelection". iPolitics. Retrieved January 26, 2024.
  17. ^ Parti Rhinocéros Party (January 13, 2024). "Candidate announcement for by-elections in Durham and Toronto St. Paul !!!". Facebook. Retrieved January 22, 2024.
  18. ^ "Welcome your Toronto—St. Paul's candidate". Retrieved 18 April 2024.
  19. ^ "Nomination Contest Database". Elections Canada. Retrieved 17 April 2024.
  20. ^ "We are so proud to announce Amrit Parhar as our nomination candidate for the upcoming by-election in TSP!". Toronto St. Paul's NDP. 17 April 2024. Retrieved 17 April 2024.
  21. ^ Rana, Abbas (15 April 2024). "Poor polling numbers, NDP MPP's rumoured candidacy, and Mideast conflict turns Toronto-St. Paul's, Ont., byelection into tight three-way race, say Liberal MPs". The Hill Times. Retrieved 27 April 2024.
  22. ^ "Ali Mohiuddin is the nomination candidate of the #Centrist Party for Toronto St. Paul's riding By-election". Twitter. Centrist Party of Canada. 17 May 2024. Retrieved 17 May 2024.
  23. ^ "Christian Cullis to run in Toronto-St Paul's". greenparty.ca. Green Party of Canada. 24 May 2024. Retrieved 25 May 2024.
  24. ^ "Emma Richardson for Toronto—St. Paul's". Retrieved 23 May 2024.
  25. ^ Bernier, Maxime (28 May 2024). "If you live in Toronto, support our PPC candidate Dennis Wilson!". Twitter. Retrieved 28 May 2024.
  26. ^ Passifiume, Bryan (December 27, 2023). "Long ballot activists planning to make short work of Toronto byelection". National Post. Postmedia. Retrieved January 22, 2024.
  27. ^ Passifiume, Bryan (December 27, 2023). "Long ballot activists planning to make short work of Toronto byelection". National Post.
  28. ^ "List of candidates: Toronto--St. Paul's (Ontario) By-Election (Monday, June 24, 2024)". Elections Canada. June 3, 2024.
  29. ^ "Toronto NDP candidate resigns after discovery of controversial social media posts". CP24. September 15, 2021.
  30. ^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved 21 June 2024.

See also

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