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2017 New Jersey gubernatorial election

See also: 2017 United States gubernatorial elections

The 2017 New Jersey gubernatorial election was held on November 7, 2017, to elect a new governor of New Jersey. Incumbent Republican Governor Chris Christie was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term.[2]

2017 New Jersey gubernatorial election
← 2013November 7, 20172021 →
Turnout38.5%[1] (Decrease1.1%)
 
NomineePhil MurphyKim Guadagno
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Running mateSheila OliverCarlos Rendo
Popular vote1,203,110 899,583
Percentage56.03%41.89%
Murphy:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Guadagno:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No votes
Governor before election

Chris Christie
Republican

Elected Governor

Phil Murphy
Democratic

Primary elections took place on June 6, 2017. Kim Guadagno, the incumbent lieutenant governor of New Jersey, won the Republican primary for governor and chose Woodcliff Lake Mayor Carlos Rendo as her running mate. Phil Murphy, a banker and former U.S. Ambassador to Germany, won the Democratic primary, and chose former State Assembly Speaker Sheila Oliver as his running mate. Seth Kaper-Dale ran as the Green Party candidate with Lisa Durden, while Pete Rohrman ran as the Libertarian Party candidate with Karrese Laguerre. Matt Riccardi ran as the Constitution Party candidate. There were two other independent candidates on the ballot.

Murphy led throughout the general election, with many analysts expecting a Democratic pickup. When polls closed on Election Day, Murphy was immediately declared the winner, based on exit polling alone. Murphy received 56.0% of the vote to Guadagno's 41.9%.[3] Murphy slightly outperformed Hillary Clinton's 2016 presidential run in the state. With the election of Sheila Oliver as lieutenant governor, she became the first woman of color elected to statewide office in New Jersey. 38.5% of registered voters cast ballots, marking the lowest turnout on record for any gubernatorial election in New Jersey.[4] Guadagno later left the Republican Party in July 2021. [5] [6]

2017 was the first New Jersey gubernatorial election since 1989 in which the Democratic candidate won Somerset County, as well as the first since 2005 in which the Democratic candidate won Burlington County, Middlesex County, Atlantic County, or Gloucester County; the latter two counties have not voted Democratic for governor since. Murphy became the first New Jersey governor since Brendan Byrne in 1973 to win without any prior elected experience, and the first since Charles Edison in 1940 to win without having held any prior public office in the state. This is the first gubernatorial election since 1937 in which the Democratic nominee won without winning Salem County, and the first since 1981 that it voted for the losing candidate. This is the last time that the winner of the New Jersey gubernatorial election won a majority of New Jersey's counties.

Background edit

Primary elections took place on June 6, 2017.[7] New Jersey utilizes a semi-closed primary system, meaning that only registered party members may vote in primary elections. However, unaffiliated voters can change their party registration and vote in either party primary on election day.[8][9]

The deadline to file petitions to qualify for primary elections was April 3; eleven contenders submitted petitions satisfying the requirement of 1,000 signatures.[10] On April 18, as is required by the New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission, the candidates' financial disclosures, showing sources of earned income (e.g. salaries) and unearned income (e.g. investments), were made public.[11]

Gubernatorial primary candidates utilized what is known as the "matching funds" program. Those who raised at least $430,000 qualified to receive two dollars in public money for every dollar raised privately. State law mandates that any primary candidates who qualify for matching funds must participate in at least two primary debates. Candidates who choose not to seek matching funds but commit to raising and spending at least $430,000 can also participate.[12][13] As of May 8, primary candidates had received donations from ten states other than New Jersey.[14]

The first debates were held on May 9, hosted by Stockton University. The Republicans debated first followed by the Democrats. The debates were live-streamed on Facebook, the university's website via Livestream, and on News 12 New Jersey. The live stream was simulcast in Spanish.[15] The second Democratic debate was held on May 11, the second Republican debate on May 18.[16] They were co-hosted by PBS Member network NJTV and NJ Spotlight.[17]

The Republican debates included two of the five candidates: Jack Ciattarelli and Kim Guadagno, who both qualified for matching funds.[12][18] Hirsh Singh filed a lawsuit to enter the debates, claiming to have raised over $900,000 despite missing a deadline to file; his challenge was rejected by the state courts.[19][20]

The Democratic debates included four of the six candidates: Jim Johnson, John Wisniewski (who both qualified for matching funds), Phil Murphy (who opted out of matching funds but had spent enough to qualify), and Raymond Lesniak (who did not raise enough to qualify for matching funds but loaned his campaign enough money to qualify for the debates).[12][18]

Republican primary edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit

Withdrawn edit

Declined edit

Fundraising edit

Primary campaign finance activity through June 23, 2017
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Jack Ciattarelli$1,768,417$1,731,962$36,337
Kim Guadagno$3,540,927$3,451,743$89,184
Steven Rogers$27,522$27,522$0
Joseph Rudy Rullo$13,573$9,809$64
Hirsh Singh$1,021,387$1,016,191$5,196
Source: New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission[37]

Endorsements edit

Jack Ciattarelli
State officials
Newspapers and publications

Polling edit

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jack
Ciattarelli		Kim
Guadagno		Steven
Rogers		Joseph
Rudy Rullo		Hirsh
Singh		OtherUndecided
Stockton UniversityMay 16–23, 2017389± 4.9%18%37%4%3%3%2%31%
Stockton UniversityApril 26 – May 1, 2017359–19%29%4%4%2%1%41%
Quinnipiac UniversityApril 26 – May 1, 2017331± 5.4%12%23%5%3%—1%51%
Fairleigh Dickinson UniversityMarch 22–26, 2017216± 6.7%5%24%1%1%0%14%[n 1]54%
Quinnipiac UniversityMarch 9–13, 2017315± 5.5%3%28%2%1%—19%[n 2]42%
Fairleigh Dickinson UniversityJanuary 25–29, 2017275± 5.9%2%18%2%0%—25%[n 3]52%
  1. ^ Dana Wefer 2%, "Someone else" 12%
  2. ^ Joe Piscopo 18%, "Someone else" 1%
  3. ^ Joe Piscopo 12%, "Someone else" 13%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jon
Bramnick		Kim
Guadagno		OtherUndecided
FDUSeptember 1–7, 2014721± 3.7%4%12%11%74%

Results edit

Results by county:
  Guadagno
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   <40%
  Ciattarelli
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   <40%
Republican primary results[43][44]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanKim Guadagno 113,846 46.70%
RepublicanJack Ciattarelli75,55630.99%
RepublicanHirsh Singh23,7289.73%
RepublicanJoseph R. Rullo15,8166.49%
RepublicanSteven Rogers14,1875.82%
RepublicanWrite-In6380.27%
Total votes243,771 100.00%

Democratic primary edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit

Withdrawn edit

  • Paul Binetti, LGBT activist and nightclub manager (did not submit petitions)[51][52][53]
  • Monica Brinson, pharmaceutical sales representative (did not submit petitions)[54][55][56]
  • Bob Hoatson, sexual abuse victims advocate and former Catholic priest[57][58][59]
  • Lisa McCormick, weekly newspaper publisher (did not submit petitions)[54][60][56]
  • Titus Pierce, businessman and Iraq War veteran (did not submit petitions)[54][61][56]

Declined edit

Fundraising edit

Primary campaign finance activity through June 23, 2017
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Bill Brennan$20,847$20,847$0
Jim Johnson$3,256,514$3,198,226$58,288
Raymond Lesniak$791,368$718,619$64,990
Phil Murphy$21,995,248$21,735,597$262,951
John Wisniewski$2,142,139$2,081,439$60,795
Mark Zinna$33,498$32,622$877
Source: New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission[37]

Endorsements edit

Jim Johnson
U.S. Representative
Mayor
Individuals
Raymond Lesniak
Individuals
Lisa McCormick (withdrew)
Individual
John Wisniewski
Organizations
Individuals
Declined to endorse
Elected official

Polling edit

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bill
Brennan		Jim
Johnson		Raymond
Lesniak		Phil
Murphy		John
Wisniewski		Mark
Zinna		OtherUndecided
Stockton UniversityMay 16–23, 2017403± 4.9%3%10%4%34%9%1%1%33%
Stockton UniversityApril 26 – May 1, 2017385–2%6%5%37%8%0%—41%
Quinnipiac UniversityApril 26 – May 1, 2017519± 4.3%3%7%4%26%5%1%1%52%
The Mellman GroupApril 26–30, 2017600± 4.0%0%4%3%37%7%0%—49%
Fairleigh Dickinson UniversityMarch 22–26, 2017386± 5%2%4%3%23%4%0%10%[n 1]53%
Quinnipiac UniversityMarch 9–13, 2017450± 4.6%2%4%4%23%6%——57%
Fairleigh Dickinson UniversityJanuary 25–29, 2017410± 4.8%—2%7%17%6%—17%50%
Lake Research Partners (D-Johnson)November 17–21, 2016400± 4.9%—8%—22%10%——59%
  1. ^ Lisa McCormick 2%, Monica Brinson 1%, Bob Hoatson 1%, Titus Pierce 0%, "Someone else" 6%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
Margin of
error		Richard
Codey		Steven
Fulop		Stephen M.
Sweeney		OtherUndecided
FDUSeptember 1–7, 2014721± 3.7%27%3%9%6%55%

Results edit

Results by county:
Murphy
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   <40%
Wisniewski
  •   <40%
Democratic primary results[43][89]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticPhil Murphy 243,643 48.37%
DemocraticJim Johnson110,25021.89%
DemocraticJohn Wisniewski108,53221.55%
DemocraticRaymond J. Lesniak24,3184.83%
DemocraticWilliam Brennan11,2632.24%
DemocraticMark Zinna5,2131.03%
DemocraticWrite-In4630.09%
Total votes503,682 100.00%

Third parties and independents edit

Declared edit

Withdrawn edit

  • Karese Laguerre (Independent), dental hygienist (running for lieutenant governor on the Libertarian ticket)[97][94]
  • Jonathan Lancelot (Independent), computer technician[98]
  • Mike Price (Independent), businessman[99]

Declined edit

General election edit

Seven candidates were on the ballot in the November general election, the lowest number in a New Jersey gubernatorial contest since six ran in 1989.[101]

Candidates edit

Major edit

The following candidates have qualified to appear in the state-sponsored debates:[102]

Minor edit

The following third-party or independent candidates qualified for the ballot but did not raise enough money to qualify for state-sponsored debates:

Debates edit

DatesLocationMurphyGuadagnoLink
October 10, 2017Newark, New JerseyParticipantParticipantFull debate - C-SPAN
October 18, 2017Wayne, New JerseyParticipantParticipantFull debate - C-SPAN

Fundraising edit

General election campaign finance activity through November 24, 2017
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Kim Guadagno$5,748,740$5,616,120$132,621
Phil Murphy$14,715,173$14,517,279$197,895
Pete Rohrman[n 1]$7,765$6,142$1,623
Seth Kaper-Dale$104,321$114,221–$2,701
Matt RiccardiN/AN/AN/A
Gina Genovese$52,146$50,558$0
Vincent Ross<$5,100<$5,100<$5,100
Source: New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission[108]
  1. ^ Campaign finance activity through October 24, 2017 only

Endorsements edit

Kim Guadagno (R)
Federal politician
State politicians
NJ state legislators
County Freeholders
Mayors
Individuals
Organizations
County Republican Party organizations
Newspapers (primary)
Newspapers (general)
Phil Murphy (D)
Federal politicians
State politicians
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
NJ state legislators
Mayors
Individuals
County Democratic Party organizations
Organizations
Newspapers (primary)
Newspapers (general)
Declined to endorse
Newspapers

Predictions edit

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[223]Likely D (flip)October 6, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[224]Safe D (flip)October 13, 2017
Rothenberg Political Report[225]Likely D (flip)October 27, 2017

Polling edit

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kim
Guadagno (R)		Phil
Murphy (D)		OtherUndecided
Change ResearchNovember 1–5, 20172,040± 2.8%42%58%——
Quinnipiac University Archived November 7, 2017, at the Wayback MachineOctober 30 – November 5, 2017662± 5.2%41%53%—5%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 31 – November 1, 2017800± 4%35%50%5%10%
Gravis MarketingOctober 30 – November 1, 2017611± 4%32%46%7%[n 1]15%
Monmouth UniversityOctober 27–31, 2017529± 4.3%39%53%2%7%
Emerson College[permanent dead link]October 26–28, 2017540± 4.2%31%47%8%14%
Suffolk University Archived November 7, 2017, at the Wayback MachineOctober 25–28, 2017500± 4.4%33%49%6%[n 2]12%
Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 19–24, 20171,049± 4.2%37%57%1%5%
Stockton UniversityOctober 18–24, 2017525± 4.3%37%51%4%7%
FOX NewsOctober 14–16, 2017679 LV± 3.5%33%47%8%11%
804 RV± 3.5%31%46%9%13%
Fairleigh Dickinson UniversityOctober 11–15, 2017658± 4.5%32%47%5%13%
Stockton UniversityOctober 4–12, 2017585± 4.1%33%51%7%7%
Monmouth UniversitySeptember 28 – October 1, 2017452± 4.6%37%51%2%9%
Emerson College Archived 2019-04-13 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 28 – October 1, 2017300± 5.6%35%46%7%[n 3]12%
Suffolk University Archived January 22, 2018, at the Wayback MachineSeptember 19–23, 2017500± 4.4%25%44%6%[n 4]24%
FOX NewsSeptember 17–19, 2017804± 3.5%29%42%9%[n 5]19%
Quinnipiac UniversitySeptember 7–12, 2017875± 4.5%33%58%2%7%
Marist CollegeJuly 13–18, 2017817± 3.4%33%54%1%12%
Monmouth UniversityJuly 6–9, 2017758± 3.6%26%53%6%14%
National Research Inc. (R-Guadagno)June 25–27, 2017600± 4.0%28%42%9%21%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 7–12, 20171,103± 3.8%26%55%3%14%
Quinnipiac UniversityApril 26 – May 1, 20171,209± 2.8%25%50%1%21%
Quinnipiac UniversityMarch 9–13, 20171,098± 3%25%47%1%25%
Quinnipiac UniversityJanuary 26–30, 20171,240± 2.8%29%45%1%22%
  1. ^ Gina Genovese (I) 4%, Seth Kaper-Dale (G) 3%
  2. ^ Gina Genovese (I) 2%, Seth Kaper-Dale (G) 1%, Matt Riccardi (C) 1%, Pete Rohrman (L) 1%, Vincent Ross (I) 1%
  3. ^ Gina Genovese (I) 2%, "Someone else" 5%
  4. ^ Gina Genovese (I) 2%, Pete Rohrman (L) 2%, Seth Kaper-Dale (G) 1%, Vincent Ross (I) 1%, Matt Riccardi (C) <1%
  5. ^ Gina Genovese (I) 4%, Seth Kaper-Dale (G) 2%, Pete Rohrman (L) 1%, Other 2%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kim
Guadagno (R)		Phil
Murphy (D)		Joe
Piscopo (I)		Undecided
Quinnipiac UniversityApril 26 – May 1, 20171,209± 2.8%21%41%14%21%

Results edit

Results by state legislative district
New Jersey gubernatorial election, 2017[226]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticPhil Murphy 1,203,110 56.03% 17.84
RepublicanKim Guadagno899,58341.89% 18.41
IndependentGina Genovese12,2940.57%N/A
LibertarianPeter J. Rohrman10,5310.49% 0.08
GreenSeth Kaper-Dale10,0530.47% 0.08
ConstitutionMatthew Riccardi6,8640.32%N/A
IndependentVincent Ross4,9800.29%N/A
Total votes2,147,415 100.00% N/A
Democratic gain from Republican

Results by county edit

CountyMurphy %Murphy votesGuadagno %Guadagno votesOther %Other votes
Atlantic55.1%36,95242.5%28,4562.4%1,607
Bergen56.7%129,26541.6%94,9041.6%3,760
Burlington56.5%70,45341.8%52,1911.7%2,070
Camden67.2%81,26830.7%37,1132.1%2,534
Cape May44.8%13,56653.2%16,1182.0%600
Cumberland55.3%15,68641.8%11,8762.9%828
Essex79.6%129,47018.8%30,6331.6%2,598
Gloucester55.2%42,34942.3%32,4482.5%1,898
Hudson80.5%88,27117.5%19,2362.0%2,170
Hunterdon39.0%17,69758.9%26,7082.1%945
Mercer64.9%59,99233.1%30,6452.0%1,846
Middlesex57.2%100,84740.3%70,9402.5%4,418
Monmouth43.0%79,43255.0%101,5251.9%3,572
Morris45.1%65,50753.1%77,2031.8%2,617
Ocean35.8%56,58262.1%98,1352.1%3,279
Passaic60.1%57,41538.0%36,2301.9%1,810
Salem45.3%7,81450.1%8,6294.6%794
Somerset49.8%45,93547.9%44,2312.3%2,107
Sussex36.3%15,43159.7%25,4014.0%1,717
Union65.2%79,11332.6%39,5522.2%2,594
Warren35.4%10,06561.2%17,4093.4%958

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic edit

Results by congressional district edit

Murphy won 9 of 12 congressional districts, including two held by Republicans.

DistrictMurphyGuandagnoRepresentative
1st64.5%33.3%Donald Norcross
2nd49.7%47.6%Frank LoBiondo
3rd46.7%51.3%Tom MacArthur
4th42.1%55.9%Chris Smith
5th48.2%48.1%Josh Gottheimer
6th54.9%43.0%Frank Pallone
7th45.5%52.2%Leonard Lance
8th81.8%16.9%Albio Sires
9th65.6%31.6%Bill Pascrell
10th85.1%13.3%Donald Payne Jr.
11th49.2%48.5%Rodney Frelinghuysen
12th62.9%35.2%Bonnie Watson Coleman

[227]

See also edit

References edit

External links edit

Official campaign websites
Former campaign websites
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