2016 United States presidential election in Rhode Island

The 2016 United States presidential election in Rhode Island took place on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Rhode Island voters chose four electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote.

2016 United States presidential election in Rhode Island

← 2012November 8, 20162020 →
Turnout60.2%[1] Decrease 0.6 pp
 
NomineeHillary ClintonDonald Trump
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Home stateNew YorkNew York
Running mateTim KaineMike Pence
Electoral vote40
Popular vote252,525180,543
Percentage54.41%38.90%



President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

Although a "safe blue state", Trump improved on Mitt Romney's performance four years prior; Romney had lost the state by 27 points, whereas Trump lost by less than 16 points. This makes it the smallest win by a Democrat since Democratic nominee Michael Dukakis in 1988. In 2012, Romney won only three towns in Rhode Island.[2] Donald Trump won 14 towns and even narrowly flipped Kent County, making this the first time a Republican has won a county in the state since Ronald Reagan in 1984.

Primaries

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Democratic primary

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Four candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:[3]

Rhode Island Democratic primary, April 26, 2016
CandidatePopular voteEstimated delegates
CountPercentagePledgedUnpledgedTotal
Bernie Sanders66,99354.71%13013
Hillary Clinton52,74943.08%11920
Mark Stewart2360.19%000
Rocky De La Fuente1450.12%000
Write-in6730.55%000
Uncommitted1,6621.36%000
Total122,458100%24933
Source: The Green Papers, Rhode Island Board of Elections and
Rhode Island Democratic Party - Official Pledged Delegates Allocation

Republican primary

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Republican primary results by county(left) and municipality(right).
  Donald Trump
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  John Kasich
  •   40–50%

Three candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[3]

Rhode Island Republican primary, April 26, 2016
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump39,22163.7%12012
John Kasich14,96324.3%505
Ted Cruz6,41610.4%202
Uncommitted4170.7%000
Marco Rubio (withdrawn)3820.6%000
Write-in2150.3%000
Unprojected delegates:000
Total:61,614100.00%19019
Source: Rhode Island Board of Elections

General election

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Predictions

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SourceRankingAs of
Los Angeles Times[4]Safe DNovember 6, 2016
CNN[5]Safe DNovember 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[6]Safe DNovember 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[7]Safe DNovember 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[8]Safe DNovember 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9]Safe DNovember 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[10]Likely DNovember 8, 2016
Fox News[11]Safe DNovember 7, 2016

Results

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2016 United States presidential election in Rhode Island [12][13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticHillary Clinton 252,525 54.41%
RepublicanDonald Trump180,54338.90%
LibertarianGary Johnson14,7463.18%
GreenJill Stein6,2201.34%
Write-inEvan McMullin7590.16%
American DeltaRocky De La Fuente6710.14%
Write-inMike Maturen460.01%
Write-inDarrell Castle300.01%
Write-inOther write-ins8,6041.85%
Total votes464,144 100.00%

Results by county

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CountyHillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Bristol14,60957.35%8,96535.19%1,9017.46%5,64422.16%25,475
Kent37,78846.05%38,33646.72%5,9297.23%-548-0.67%82,053
Newport22,85155.67%15,07736.73%3,1177.60%7,77418.94%41,045
Providence142,89957.51%90,88236.58%14,6935.91%52,01720.93%248,474
Washington33,74150.84%27,23041.03%5,3988.13%6,5119.81%66,369
Totals252,52554.41%180,54338.90%31,0766.69%71,98215.51%464,144
County Flips:

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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Results by congressional district

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Clinton won both congressional districts.[15]

DistrictClintonTrumpRepresentative
1st60.5%34.9%David Cicilline
2nd51.1%44.02%James Langevin

Results by Municipality

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The pink municipalities voted for Barack Obama in 2012 and flipped to Donald Trump in 2016. Only East Greenwich voted for Mitt Romney in 2012 but flipped to Hillary Clinton in 2016. Dark blue and dark red municipalities did not flip from 2012 to 2016.

Analysis

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Donald Trump flipped several municipalities that had not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since the 1980s including, Burrillville, Coventry, Exeter, Foster, Glocester, Hopkinton, Johnston, Lincoln, North Smithfield, Richmond, Smithfield, and West Warwick. Meanwhile, Hillary Clinton was able to flip East Greenwich which voted for Mitt Romney in 2012.

See also

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References

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  1. ^ This figure is calculated by dividing the total number of votes cast in 2016 (464,144) by an estimate of the number of registered voters in Rhode Island in 2016 (770,875).
    • For the number of votes cast, see "Official 2016 Presidential General Election Results". Rhode Island Board of Elections. February 27, 2017. Retrieved February 6, 2018.
    • For the estimated number of registered voters, see "STATEWIDE - VOTER REGISTRATION SUMMARY" (PDF). Rhode Island Board of Elections. October 9, 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 25, 2017. Retrieved February 6, 2018.
  2. ^ "2012 Presidential Election Results - Rhode Island by City and Town". U.S. Election Atlas. David Leip. Retrieved November 25, 2016.
  3. ^ a b Patrick Anderson. "Candidates in both parties gear up for spot on R.I. primary ballot". The Providence Journal. Retrieved February 5, 2016.
  4. ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  5. ^ Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  6. ^ "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  7. ^ "2016 Electoral Map Prediction". Electoral-vote.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  8. ^ "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
  9. ^ Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  10. ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  11. ^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  12. ^ "Rhode Island Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved December 12, 2016.
  13. ^ "2016 Presidential General Election Results - Rhode Island".
  14. ^ Bump, Philip. "The counties that flipped parties to swing the 2016 election". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved September 1, 2020.
  15. ^ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.
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