The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Minnesota, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on August 9.
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All 8 Minnesota seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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This is the last cycle where the Democrat candidate would win either the 1st or 8th district and the last cycle Republicans candidate would win either the 2nd or 3rd district.
Overview
editStatewide
editUnited States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, 2016[1] | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats before | Seats after | +/– | |
Democratic (DFL) | 1,434,559 | 50.20% | 5 | 5 | - | |
Republican | 1,334,679 | 46.70% | 3 | 3 | - | |
Legal Marijuana Now | 57,911 | 2.02% | 0 | 0 | - | |
Independence | 28,870 | 1.01% | 0 | 0 | - | |
Others | 4,370 | 0.15% | 0 | 0 | - | |
Totals | 2,860,389 | 100.00% | 8 | 8 | — |
District
editResults of the 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota by district:
District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 169,074 | 50.34% | 166,526 | 49.58% | 277 | 0.08% | 335,600 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 2 | 167,315 | 45.16% | 173,970 | 46.95% | 29,229 | 7.89% | 370,514 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 3 | 169,243 | 43.01% | 223,077 | 56.70% | 1,144 | 0.29% | 393,464 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 4 | 203,299 | 57.76% | 121,032 | 34.39% | 27,613 | 7.85% | 351,944 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 5 | 249,964 | 69.07% | 80,660 | 22.29% | 31,258 | 8.64% | 361,882 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 6 | 123,008 | 34.27% | 235,380 | 65.58% | 536 | 0.15% | 358,924 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 7 | 173,589 | 52.47% | 156,952 | 47.44% | 307 | 0.09% | 330,848 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 8 | 179,098 | 50.17% | 177,089 | 49.61% | 792 | 0.22% | 356,979 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
Total | 1,434,559 | 50.15% | 1,334,679 | 46.66% | 91,151 | 3.19% | 2,860,389 | 100.00% |
District 1
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Incumbent Democrat Tim Walz, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+1.
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Tim Walz, incumbent U.S. Representative
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Tim Walz (incumbent) | 13,538 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 13,538 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Jim Hagedorn, blogger, candidate for this seat in 2010 and nominee in 2014
Eliminated in primary
edit- Steve Williams
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jim Hagedorn | 10,851 | 76.5 | |
Republican | Steve Williams | 3,330 | 23.5 | |
Total votes | 14,181 | 100.0 |
General election
editEndorsements
editResults
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Tim Walz (incumbent) | 169,074 | 50.3 | |
Republican | Jim Hagedorn | 166,526 | 49.6 | |
Write-in | 277 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 335,877 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic (DFL) hold |
District 2
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![]() Precinct results Lewis: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Craig: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican John Kline, who had represented the district since 2003, announced that he would not seek re-election.[7] He was re-elected with 56% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+2.
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Jason Lewis, political commentator, former talk radio host, and nominee for Colorado's 2nd district in 1990[8]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Matthew Erickson, Minnesota spokesperson for Donald Trump[9]
- John Howe, former state senator, former mayor of Red Wing and candidate for Minnesota Secretary of State in 2014[10]
- Darlene Miller, president and CEO of Permac Industries and member of the President's Council on Jobs and Competitiveness[11]
Withdrawn
edit- David Benson-Staebler, political consultant, former Democratic congressional aide, and real estate agent[12][13]
- David Gerson, engineer and candidate in 2012 and 2014[14][15]
- Pam Myhra, former state representative and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2014[16]
Declined
edit- Tony Albright, state representative[17]
- Ted Daley, former state senator[18][19]
- Steve Drazkowski, state representative[20]
- Pat Garofalo, state representative[21]
- John Kline, incumbent U.S. Representative[7]
- John Kriesel, former state representative[22]
- Mike McFadden, businessman and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2014[23]
- Mary Pawlenty, former Dakota County District Court Judge and former First Lady of Minnesota[24]
- Roz Peterson, state representative[25]
- Eric Pratt, state senator[26]
- Steve Sviggum, former Speaker of the Minnesota House of Representatives[27]
- Dave Thompson, state senator and candidate for governor in 2014[28]
Endorsements
edit- Organizations
- Madison Project[29]
- Organizations
- State legislators
- Steve Drazkowski, state representative[31]
- Dan Hall, state senator[31]
- Dave Thompson, state senator and candidate for governor in 2014[31]
- Organizations
- Individuals
- Bill Cooper, former chair of the Republican Party of Minnesota[31]
- Organizations
Debate
editNo. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||||
David Benson-Staebler | David Gerson | John Howe | Jason Lewis | Pam Myhra | |||||
1[33] | Nov. 19, 2015 | Republicans in Senate District 52 | YouTube | P | P | P | P | P |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jason Lewis | 11,641 | 48.9 | |
Republican | Darlene Miller | 7,305 | 30.7 | |
Republican | John Howe | 3,244 | 13.6 | |
Republican | Matthew D. Erickson | 1,612 | 6.8 | |
Total votes | 23,802 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
editDemocrat Angela Craig, who served as vice president of global human resources for St. Jude Medical, resigned from her position in January 2015 to challenge Lewis.[34] Mary Lawrence, a doctor, also ran as a Democrat,[35] but dropped out before the primary.
Candidates
editNominee
edit- Angie Craig, former St. Jude Medical executive[36][37]
Withdrawn
edit- Roger Kittelson, dairy marketing specialist, nominee for WI-06 in 2008 and candidate for Minnesota House of Representatives in 1982 and 2014[38][39]
- Mary Lawrence, ophthalmologist[40][41][42]
Declined
edit- Joe Atkins, state representative[43]
- Rick Hansen, state representative[44]
- Mike Obermueller, former state representative and nominee in 2012 and 2014[36]
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Angie Craig | 15,155 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 15,155 | 100.0 |
Independence primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Paula Overby, quality assurance analyst and nominee for this seat in 2014
General election
editCampaign
editCommentators wrote that the election was "likely to be one of the most-watched congressional races in the country," (MinnPost[45]), "expected to be one of the most competitive in the country", according to Roll Call newspaper,[46] and "seen as a prime target for Democrats to flip" according to The Atlantic.[47]
Area left-wing weekly City Pages described the campaign as resembling the 2016 presidential campaign, calling Lewis "an entrepreneur and media personality, whose blunt rhetoric is refreshingly honest to some, simply offensive to others", and describing Craig as "a tough female leader with moderate positions, ties to big business, and a penchant for pantsuits".[48]
In May 2016, the Rothenberg and Gonzales Political Report changed its rating of the race from "pure tossup" to "tossup/tilt Democratic,"[49] with political analyst Nathan Gonzales writing that Craig "is probably to the left of the district in her ideology, but she has a good story to tell, is raising considerable money (she had $1.3 million in the bank at the end of March) and is solid as a candidate."[49] Other political prognosticators rated the race "Republican Toss-up" (Charlie Cook), and "pure" toss-up (Larry Sabato's "Crystal Ball"), according to MinnPost.[49]
Endorsements
edit- State legislators
- Steve Drazkowski, state representative[31]
- Dan Hall, state senator[31]
- Dave Thompson, state senator and candidate for governor in 2014[31]
- Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program[50]
- Republican Party of Minnesota[31]
- Individuals
- Bill Cooper, former chair of the Republican Party of Minnesota[31]
- U.S. Senators
- Al Franken, U.S. Senator (D-MN)
- U.S. Representatives
- Keith Ellison, U.S. Representative (MN-05)
- Jared Polis, U.S. Representative (CO-02)[51]
- Mark Takano, U.S. Representative (CA-41)[51]
- Tim Walz, U.S. Representative (MN-01)
- State legislators
- Jim Carlson, state senator[52]
- Greg Clausen, state senator[53]
- Scott Dibble, state senator[54]
- Laurie Halverson, state representative[52]
- Sandra Masin, state representative[52]
- Will Morgan, former state representative[55]
- Erin Murphy, state representative[54]
- Sandy Pappas, President of the Minnesota Senate
- Mike Obermueller, former state representative and nominee in 2012 and 2014[52]
- Dan Schoen, state representative[56]
- Katie Sieben, state senator[56]
- Labor unions
- AFL-CIO[3]
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees[4]
- International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers[5]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters
- International Union of Painters and Allied Trades District Council 82[57]
- United Steelworkers[58]
- Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[59]
- EMILY's List[60]
- Gay & Lesbian Victory Fund[52]
- Human Rights Campaign
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[61]
- Stonewall DFL Caucus[62]
- WomenWinning[63]
- Local officials
Debates
edit- Complete video of debate, October 30, 2016
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jason Lewis (R) | Angie Craig (D) | Paula Overby (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | October 13–16, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.1% | 41% | 46% | — | 12% |
WPA Opinion Research (R-NRCC) | October 9–10, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 36% | 33% | — | 26% |
Gerstein Bocian Agne Strategies (D-Craig) | August 13–16, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 43% | 9% | 6% |
WPA Opinion Research (R-Lewis/NRCC) | August 14–15, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 39% | 27% | 7% | 25% |
Predictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[64] | Tossup | November 7, 2016 |
Daily Kos Elections[65] | Tossup | November 7, 2016 |
Rothenberg[66] | Tilt D (flip) | November 3, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[67] | Lean D (flip) | November 7, 2016 |
RCP[68] | Lean D (flip) | October 31, 2016 |
Results
editLewis ended up defeating Craig by several thousand votes.[69]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jason Lewis | 173,970 | 46.9 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Angie Craig | 167,315 | 45.2 | |
Independence | Paula Overby | 28,869 | 7.8 | |
Write-in | 360 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 370,514 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 3
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![]() Precinct results Paulsen: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Bonoff: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Erik Paulsen, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+2.
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Erik Paulsen, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Terri Bonoff, state senator[70]
Withdrawn
edit- Jon Tollefson, former U.S. diplomat, lobbyist for the Minnesota Nurses Association and candidate for state representative in 2014[71]
General election
editEndorsements
edit- U.S. Presidents
- Labor unions
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees[4]
- International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers[5]
- Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[59]
- EMILY's List[60]
Debates
edit- Complete video of debate, October 30, 2016
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Erik Paulsen (R) | Terri Bonoff (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | October 10–13, 2016 | 579 | ± 4.2% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
Clarity Campaign Lab (D-House Majority PAC) | September 11–13, 2016 | 353 | ± 4.34% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
DCCC (D) | September 12, 2016 | 353 | ± 5.2% | 38% | 40% | 22% |
Newton Heath LLC (R-AAN) | August 9–11, 2016 | 402 | ± 4.9% | 57% | 31% | 12% |
Victoria Research & Consulting (D-Bonoff) | June 27–30, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Predictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[64] | Lean R | November 7, 2016 |
Daily Kos Elections[65] | Lean R | November 7, 2016 |
Rothenberg[66] | Likely R | November 3, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[67] | Lean R | November 7, 2016 |
RCP[68] | Lean R | October 31, 2016 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Erik Paulsen (incumbent) | 223,077 | 56.7 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Terri Bonoff | 169,243 | 43.0 | |
Write-in | 1,144 | 0.3 | ||
Total votes | 393,464 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 4
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![]() Precinct results McCollum: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Ryan: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of D+11.
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Betty McCollum, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
edit- Steve Carlson
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Betty McCollum (incumbent) | 33,336 | 94.0 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Steve Carlson | 2,128 | 6.0 | |
Total votes | 35,464 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Greg Ryan, businessman
Eliminated in primary
edit- Gene Rechtzigel
- Nikolay Nikolayevich Bey
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg Ryan | 5,618 | 82.0 | |
Republican | Gene Rechtzigel | 845 | 12.3 | |
Republican | Nikolay Nikolayevich Bey | 390 | 5.7 | |
Total votes | 6,853 | 100.0 |
General election
editEndorsements
editResults
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Betty McCollum (incumbent) | 203,299 | 57.8 | |
Republican | Greg Ryan | 121,032 | 34.4 | |
Legal Marijuana Now | Susan Pendergast Sindt | 27,152 | 7.7 | |
Write-in | 461 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 351,944 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic (DFL) hold |
District 5
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![]() Precinct results Ellison: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Drake: 40–50% 50–60% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Keith Ellison, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of D+71.
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Keith Ellison, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
edit- Lee Bauer
- Gregg Iverson, perennial candidate
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Keith Ellison (incumbent) | 40,380 | 91.7 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Gregg Iverson | 1,887 | 4.3 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Lee Bauer | 1,757 | 4.0 | |
Total votes | 44,024 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Frank Nelson Drake, real estate investor
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Frank Nelson Drake | 4,177 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 4,177 | 100.0 |
Legal Marijuana Now primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Dennis Schuller
General election
editEndorsements
editResults
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Keith Ellison (incumbent) | 249,964 | 69.1 | |
Republican | Frank Nelson Drake | 80,660 | 22.3 | |
Legal Marijuana Now | Dennis Schuller | 30,759 | 8.5 | |
Write-in | 499 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 361,875 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic (DFL) hold |
District 6
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![]() Precinct results Emmer: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Snyder: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% >90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was elected with 56% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+10.
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Tom Emmer, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
edit- A.J. Kern
- Patrick Munro
Endorsements
edit- Organizations
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Emmer (incumbent) | 13,590 | 68.7 | |
Republican | A. J. Kern | 5,219 | 26.4 | |
Republican | Patrick Munro | 962 | 4.9 | |
Total votes | 19,771 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- David Snyder, Army veteran
Eliminated in primary
edit- Judy Evelyn Adams
- Bob Helland, business process analyst and Independence nominee for secretary of state in 2014
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | David Snyder | 4,402 | 46.0 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Judy Evelyn Adams | 3,569 | 37.3 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Bob Helland | 1,595 | 16.7 | |
Total votes | 9,566 | 100.0 |
General election
editEndorsements
editResults
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Emmer (incumbent) | 235,380 | 65.6 | |
Democratic (DFL) | David Snyder | 123,008 | 34.3 | |
Write-in | 536 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 358,924 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 7
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Incumbent Democrat Collin Peterson, who had represented the district since 1991, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+6.
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Collin Peterson, incumbent U.S. Representative
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Collin Peterson (incumbent) | 16,253 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 16,253 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Dave Hughes, U.S. Air Force veteran
Eliminated in primary
edit- Amanda Lynn Hinson, entrepreneur, writer, and former pastor
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dave Hughes | 8,769 | 59.0 | |
Republican | Amanda Lynn Hinson | 6,104 | 41.0 | |
Total votes | 14,873 | 100.0 |
General election
editEndorsements
editResults
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Collin Peterson (incumbent) | 173,589 | 52.5 | |
Republican | Dave Hughes | 156,952 | 47.4 | |
Write-in | 307 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 330,848 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic (DFL) hold |
District 8
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Incumbent Democrat Rick Nolan, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 49% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of D+1.
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Rick Nolan, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Stewart Mills III, Mills Fleet Farm executive and nominee for this seat in 2014
General election
editEndorsements
edit- Organizations
- Minnesota Farm Bureau[73]
- National Federation of Independent Business[74]
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program[50]
- Newspapers
- ECM Newspapers[75]
- St. Paul Pioneer Press[76]
Debate
editNo. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Rick Nolan | Stewart Mills | |||||
1 | Oct. 23, 2016 | KSTP-TV | Leah McLean | C-SPAN | P | P |
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Rick Nolan (D) | Stewart Mills (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | October 16–19, 2016 | 595 | ± 4.1% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
Predictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[64] | Tossup | November 7, 2016 |
Daily Kos Elections[65] | Tossup | November 7, 2016 |
Rothenberg[66] | Lean D | November 3, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[67] | Lean D | November 7, 2016 |
RCP[68] | Tossup D | October 31, 2016 |
Results
editThough Nolan's margin of victory (2,009 votes) was too large to trigger a publicly funded automatic recount, Mills, as of late November 2016, said that he planned to request and pay for a hand recount of all votes cast in the eighth district, as is his right under law. Mills planned to cover the cost of the recount—just over $100,000— himself. According to the Minneapolis Star Tribune, Minnesota had not seen a recount in a race for the House of Representatives since 2000, when election day totals in Minnesota's 2nd congressional district fell within the half percentage point threshold, thus triggering a state-funded recount. It is not known if Mills's request for a privately funded recount has precedent in Minnesota's electoral history, at least as it pertains to elections for the House of Representatives.[77]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Rick Nolan (incumbent) | 179,098 | 50.2 | |
Republican | Stewart Mills | 177,089 | 49.6 | |
Write-in | 792 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 356,979 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic (DFL) hold |