Halalang pampanguluhan sa Pilipinas, 2004

Ang halalang pampanguluhan sa Pilipinas ay ginanap noong 10 Mayo 2004, araw ng Lunes. Ang kasalukuyang Pangulo Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo ay hindi na maaaring tumakbo alinsunod sa Saligang Batas ng Pilipinas. Kaya naman ang mahahalal na pangulo ang magiging ika-labinlimang Pangulo ng Pilipinas.

Mga Talaan ng Opinyon

Tingnan ang Talaan ng Opinyon para sa Halalan para sa Pagkapangulo ng Pilipinas, 2004.

Pangulo

Poll source	Petsa kondukto	halimbawa size	Margin of error	Arroyo	Gil	Lacson	Poe	Roco	Villanueva	Other/Undecided
Poll source	Petsa kondukto	halimbawa size	Margin of error							Other/Undecided
SWS^[1]	Nov 8-24	1,200	2.5%	17%	—	10%	25%	18%	—	de Castro 24%; undecided 6%
SWS^[2]	Jan 16-22	1,200	2.5%	27%	0.1%	11%	36%	19%	1%	5%
SWS^[3]	Jan 28-Feb 6	3,600	1.6%	28.7%	0.2%	8.4%	37.5%	19.2%	1.7%	6%
Pulse Asia^[4]	Jan 23-Feb 8	1,800	2.3%	33.4%	0.3%	8.3%	34.6%	19.1%	1.2%	3.2%
Pulse Asia^[4]	Feb 16-20	1,800	2.3%	31.9%	0.2%	10.7%	31.7%	16.2%	1.2%	8.1%
SWS^[5]	Feb 17-25	1,200	2.5%	31.8%	0.03%	11.4%	30.5%	17.9%	1.8%	6.6%
SWS^[6]	Mar 11-19	2,000	2.2%	33%	0.5%	12%	35%	13%	2.4%	4.6%
SWS^[7]	Mar 21-29	1,400	3%	31.4%	—	11.2%	32.0%	15.0%	2.8%	7.6%
Pulse Asia^[8]	Mar 27-Apr 4	4,800	1.4%	34%	—	10%	31%	12%	3%	10%
SWS^[9]	Apr 10-17	1,400	3%	35.3%	0.05%	10.6%	30.8%	8.4%	4.0%	10.9%
Pulse Asia^[10]	Apr 26-29	1,800	2.4%	37%	—	11%	31%	7%	5%	Undecided 2%; none 6%
SWS^[11]	May 1–4	2,000	2.5%	37%	0.3%	11%	30%	6%	4%	12%
SWS^[12]	Exit poll	4,445	2%	45%	—	10%	34%	6%	5%	—

Pangalawang Pangulo

Poll source	Petsa Kondukto	Halimbawa size	Margin of error	Aquino	de Castro	Legarda	Pajo	Undecided
Poll source	Petsa Kondukto	Halimbawa size	Margin of error					Undecided
SWS^[2]	Jan 16-22	1,200	2.5%	4%	52%	37%	1%	6%
SWS^[5]	Feb 17-25	1,200	2.5%	4%	57%	29%	0.1%	9%
SWS^[6]	Mar 11-19	2,000	2.2%	4%	50%	39%	0.6%	7%
SWS^[7]	Mar 21-29	1,400	3%	5%	50%	36%	0.4%	8%
Pulse Asia^[8]	Mar 27-Apr 4	4,800	1.4%	4%	49%	35%	0.4%	13%
SWS^[9]	Apr 10-17	1,400	3%	4%	43.9%	35.5%	0.6%	13.9%
Pulse Asia^[10]	Apr 26-29	1,800	2.4%	3%	46%	37%	0.1%	Undecided 2%; none 12%
SWS^[11]	Apr 10-17	1,400	3%	3%	43%	39%	0.4%	14%

Kinalabasan

Narito ang mga resulta ng Halalan para sa Pagkapangulo at Pagka-Pangalawang Pangulo sa Pilipinas. Ito ay ayon sa opisyal na bilang ng Kapulungan ng mga Kinatawan ng Pilipinas.

Pangulo

e • d **Summary of the May 10, 2004 Philippine presidential election results**
Kandidato		Partido	Boto	%
	Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo	Lakas–Christian Muslim Democrats (People Power–Christian Muslim Democrats)	12,905,808	39.99%
	Fernando Poe, Jr.	Koalisyon ng Nagkakaisang Pilipino (Coalition of United Filipinos)	11,782,232	36.51%
	Panfilo Lacson	Aquino wing of the Laban ng Demokratikong Pilipino (Struggle of Democratic Filipinos)	3,510,080	10.88%
	Raul Roco	Aksyon Demokratiko (Democratic Action)	2,082,762	6.45%
	Eddie Villanueva	Bangon Pilipinas Party (Rise Up Philippines Party)	1,988,218	6.16%

Total			32,269,100	100%

Valid votes			32,269,100	96.30%
Invalid votes			1,240,992	3.70%
Votes cast			33,510,092	76.34%
Registered voters			43.895,324

NAMFREL Quickcount
(Partial and Unofficial)

Kandidato	Partido	Boto	%
Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo	K4	11,272,388	39.4%
Fernando Poe, Jr.	KNP	10,456,243	36.6%
Panfilo Lacson	Laban ng Demokratikong Pilipino (Agapito Aquino Wing)	3,140,494	11.0%
Raul Roco	Aksyon Demokratiko	1,942,921	6.8%
Eduardo Villanueva	Bangon Pilipinas Movement	1,782,547	6.2%
Total:		28,594,593	100.0%

Pangalawang Pangulo

e • d **Summary of the May 10, 2004 Philippine vice presidential election results**
Kandidato	Partido		Resulta
Kandidato	Partido		Boto	%
Noli de Castro		Independent (allied with Lakas)	15,100,431	49.80%
Loren Legarda		KNP	14,218,709	46.90%
Herminio Aquino		Aksyon	981,500	3.24%
Rodolfo Pajo		Isang Bansa, Isang Diwa	22,244	0.06%
Total valid votes			30,322,884	90.49%
Total invalid votes			3,187,208	9.51%
Total turnout			33,510,092	76.34%
Registered voters			43.895,324	100.00%

Huling Opisyal na Congressional Canvass

Vice presidential election results per province/city.

NAMFREL Quickcount
(Partial and Unofficial)

Kandidato	Partido	Boto	%
Noli de Castro	Independent	13,342,530	49.6%
Loren Legarda	KNP	12,505,777	46.5%
Herminio Aquino	Aksyon Demokratiko / Alyansa ng Pag-Asa	920,316	3.4%
Rodolfo Pajo	Partido Isang Bansa Isang Diwa	22,244	0.1%
Total:		26,908,172	100.00%

Mga sanggunian

↑ Mangahas, Mahar (2004-02-02). "November 8-24, 2003 SWS/Polistrat Survey: FPJ Ties De Castro for the Lead". SWS.org.ph. Inarkibo mula sa ang orihinal noong 2015-09-24. Nakuha noong 2014-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)
↑ ^2.0 ^2.1 Mangahas, Mahar (2004-02-02). "SWS January 2004 Survey: Fernando Poe Jr. and Noli de Castro Are in the Lead". SWS.org.ph. Inarkibo mula sa ang orihinal noong 2010-07-09. Nakuha noong 2013-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)
↑ Mangahas, Mahar (2004-02-26). "SWS January 28-February 6 Survey: FPJ 37.5%, GMA 28.7%, Roco 17.4%, Lacson 8.4%, Villanueva 1.7%, Gil 0.2%". SWS.org.ph. Inarkibo mula sa ang orihinal noong 2015-09-24. Nakuha noong 2014-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)
↑ ^4.0 ^4.1 Tabunda, Ana Maria (2004-02-24). "Pulse Asia's January and February 2004 Ulat ng Bayan National Surveys on 2004 Presidential and Vice-Presidential Preferences". Pulseasia.ph. Nakuha noong 2014-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)
↑ ^5.0 ^5.1 Mangahas, Mahar (2004-03-03). "SWS February 17-25, 2004 Survey: It's A Tie, With Luzon For FPJ, Visayas For GMA, And Mindanao Split". SWS.org.ph. Inarkibo mula sa ang orihinal noong 2010-07-09. Nakuha noong 2013-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)
↑ ^6.0 ^6.1 Mangahas, Mahar (2004-04-02). "SWS March 11 - 19, 2004 Survey: FPJ 34.9%, GMA 32.9%, Roco 13.1%, Lacson 11.5%, Villanueva 2.4%, Gil 0.5%". SWS.org.ph. Inarkibo mula sa ang orihinal noong 2015-09-24. Nakuha noong 2014-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)
↑ ^7.0 ^7.1 Mangahas, Mahar (2004-04-05). "SWS March 21-29, 2004 Survey: FPJ and GMA Stay Tied for the Lead; Noli-Loren Spread Cut to 14 Points; Bong Revilla, 6 Other K4s, and 5 KNPs Ahead". SWS.org.ph. Inarkibo mula sa ang orihinal noong 2015-09-24. Nakuha noong 2014-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)
↑ ^8.0 ^8.1 Tabunda, Ana Maria (2004-02-24). "Filipinos' Presidential Preferences: Still a Tight Race for the Presidency". Pulseasia.ph. Nakuha noong 2014-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)
↑ ^9.0 ^9.1 Mangahas, Mahar (2004-04-23). "SWS April 10-17, 2004 Survey: Roco Depleted, Voters Go To GMA and Undecided; But Most Think FPJ Will Win; Noli's Lead Down To 9 Points; K4-KNP Score 6 -6, But Could Reach 9-3". SWS.org.ph. Inarkibo mula sa ang orihinal noong 2015-09-24. Nakuha noong 2014-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)
↑ ^10.0 ^10.1 Tabunda, Ana Maria (2004-05-04). "Presidential Preferences: President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo Widens Lead Over Mr. Fernando Poe, Jr". Pulseasia.ph. Nakuha noong 2014-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)
↑ ^11.0 ^11.1 Mangahas, Mahar (2004-05-08). "SWS May 1-4, 2004 Survey: GMA Leads FPJ By 7%, Noli Leads Loren By Only 4%; 12% Are Undecided, 12% Uncommitted; K4-KNP Score Ranges From 6-6 To 8-4; Bayan Muna Tops 11 Party List Qualifiers". SWS.org.ph. Inarkibo mula sa ang orihinal noong 2007-05-18. Nakuha noong 2014-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)
↑ Mangahas, Mahar (2004-05-19). "The SWS 2004 Day of Election Survey: Final Exit Poll Scores Excluding Blank Answers". SWS.org.ph. Inarkibo mula sa ang orihinal noong 2015-09-24. Nakuha noong 2014-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)

Mga kawing panlabas

[SWS_Nov-1] Mangahas, Mahar (2004-02-02). "November 8-24, 2003 SWS/Polistrat Survey: FPJ Ties De Castro for the Lead". SWS.org.ph. Inarkibo mula sa ang orihinal noong 2015-09-24. Nakuha noong 2014-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)

[SWS_Jan-2] 2.0 ^2.1 Mangahas, Mahar (2004-02-02). "SWS January 2004 Survey: Fernando Poe Jr. and Noli de Castro Are in the Lead". SWS.org.ph. Inarkibo mula sa ang orihinal noong 2010-07-09. Nakuha noong 2013-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)

[SWS_Feb-3] Mangahas, Mahar (2004-02-26). "SWS January 28-February 6 Survey: FPJ 37.5%, GMA 28.7%, Roco 17.4%, Lacson 8.4%, Villanueva 1.7%, Gil 0.2%". SWS.org.ph. Inarkibo mula sa ang orihinal noong 2015-09-24. Nakuha noong 2014-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)

[Pulse_Jan-Feb-4] 4.0 ^4.1 Tabunda, Ana Maria (2004-02-24). "Pulse Asia's January and February 2004 Ulat ng Bayan National Surveys on 2004 Presidential and Vice-Presidential Preferences". Pulseasia.ph. Nakuha noong 2014-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)

[SWS_Mar-5] 5.0 ^5.1 Mangahas, Mahar (2004-03-03). "SWS February 17-25, 2004 Survey: It's A Tie, With Luzon For FPJ, Visayas For GMA, And Mindanao Split". SWS.org.ph. Inarkibo mula sa ang orihinal noong 2010-07-09. Nakuha noong 2013-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)

[SWS_Apr-6] 6.0 ^6.1 Mangahas, Mahar (2004-04-02). "SWS March 11 - 19, 2004 Survey: FPJ 34.9%, GMA 32.9%, Roco 13.1%, Lacson 11.5%, Villanueva 2.4%, Gil 0.5%". SWS.org.ph. Inarkibo mula sa ang orihinal noong 2015-09-24. Nakuha noong 2014-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)

[SWS_Apr_late-7] 7.0 ^7.1 Mangahas, Mahar (2004-04-05). "SWS March 21-29, 2004 Survey: FPJ and GMA Stay Tied for the Lead; Noli-Loren Spread Cut to 14 Points; Bong Revilla, 6 Other K4s, and 5 KNPs Ahead". SWS.org.ph. Inarkibo mula sa ang orihinal noong 2015-09-24. Nakuha noong 2014-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)

[Pulse_Apr-8] 8.0 ^8.1 Tabunda, Ana Maria (2004-02-24). "Filipinos' Presidential Preferences: Still a Tight Race for the Presidency". Pulseasia.ph. Nakuha noong 2014-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)

[SWS_May-9] 9.0 ^9.1 Mangahas, Mahar (2004-04-23). "SWS April 10-17, 2004 Survey: Roco Depleted, Voters Go To GMA and Undecided; But Most Think FPJ Will Win; Noli's Lead Down To 9 Points; K4-KNP Score 6 -6, But Could Reach 9-3". SWS.org.ph. Inarkibo mula sa ang orihinal noong 2015-09-24. Nakuha noong 2014-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)

[Pulse_May-10] 10.0 ^10.1 Tabunda, Ana Maria (2004-05-04). "Presidential Preferences: President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo Widens Lead Over Mr. Fernando Poe, Jr". Pulseasia.ph. Nakuha noong 2014-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)

[SWS_final-11] 11.0 ^11.1 Mangahas, Mahar (2004-05-08). "SWS May 1-4, 2004 Survey: GMA Leads FPJ By 7%, Noli Leads Loren By Only 4%; 12% Are Undecided, 12% Uncommitted; K4-KNP Score Ranges From 6-6 To 8-4; Bayan Muna Tops 11 Party List Qualifiers". SWS.org.ph. Inarkibo mula sa ang orihinal noong 2007-05-18. Nakuha noong 2014-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)

[SWS_exit-12] Mangahas, Mahar (2004-05-19). "The SWS 2004 Day of Election Survey: Final Exit Poll Scores Excluding Blank Answers". SWS.org.ph. Inarkibo mula sa ang orihinal noong 2015-09-24. Nakuha noong 2014-01-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: date auto-translated (link)

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