Portage—Lisgar

Portage—Lisgar is a federal electoral district in Manitoba, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1997.

Portage—Lisgar
Manitoba electoral district
Portage—Lisgar in relation to other Manitoba federal electoral districts as of the 2013 Representation Order.
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 
 
Branden Leslie
Conservative
District created1996
First contested1997
Last contested2023
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2021)[1]100,417
Electors (2021)68,241
Area (km²)[1]12,559.18
Pop. density (per km²)8
Census division(s)Division No. 3, Division No. 4, Division No. 8, Division No. 9, Division No. 10
Census subdivision(s)Altona, Carman, Cartier, Dakota Plains 6A, Dakota Tipi 1, Dufferin, Grey, Long Plain 6, Lorne, Macdonald, Morden, Morris (RM), Morris (town), Norfolk-Treherne, Pembina, Portage la Prairie (city), Portage la Prairie (RM), Rhineland, Roland, Stanley, St. François Xavier, Swan Lake 7, Thompson (RM), Winkler

Demographics edit

Population, 2021 census[2]100,417
Electors68,241
Area (km2)12,559.18
Population density (people per km2)8
According to the 2021 Canadian census[3]

Ethnic groups: 82.3% White, 11.5% Indigenous, 2.2% Filipino, 1.5% South Asian
Languages: 70.5% English, 11.7% German, 7.7% Plautdietsch/Low German/Low Saxon, 3.5% French, 1.5% Russian, 1.2% Tagalog
Median income: $37,200 (2020)
Average income: $45,560 (2020)

Panethnic groups in Portage—Lisgar (2011−2021)
Panethnic group2021[4]2016[5]2011[6]
Pop.%Pop.%Pop.%
European[a]77,81082.3%78,12085.34%75,64588.41%
Indigenous10,83511.46%10,47511.44%7,8709.2%
Southeast Asian[b]2,1702.3%9751.07%5100.6%
South Asian1,4251.51%5550.61%3400.4%
African7500.79%4300.47%4350.51%
Latin American6050.64%2200.24%2450.29%
East Asian[c]3950.42%3900.43%700.08%
Middle Eastern[d]3100.33%2350.26%2800.33%
Other/multiracial[e]2650.28%1550.17%150.02%
Total responses94,55094.16%91,54594.03%85,56594.01%
Total population100,417100%97,354100%91,019100%
Notes: Totals greater than 100% due to multiple origin responses.
Demographics based on 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution riding boundaries.

According to the 2011 Census, Portage—Lisgar was the riding with the highest percentage of native German speakers (23.6% of the population at the time) in all of Canada.[7] Only Inuktitut (Nunavut: 66.8%) and Panjabi (Punjabi) (Newton—North Delta, in British Columbia: 33.4%) exceed this concentration of native speakers of a non-official language in a single riding.

Geography edit

This is a rural district that encompasses most of Central Manitoba. It includes the cities of Portage la Prairie, Winkler, and Morden, and the towns of Carman, Morris and Altona.

As a rural Western riding, the Conservatives dominate this riding, except for in First Nations areas. In 2021, due to opposition to COVID-19 restrictions, the People's Party broke through and were able to do strongly in areas with large Mennonite populations like the Rural Municipality of Stanley, the Municipality of Rhineland and Winkler, municipalities that went heavily Conservative in 2019. Because of this shift in 2021, the Conservatives did best in rural areas with fewer Mennonites, such as the Municipality of Norfolk Treherne. In 2021, the NDP was able to win both the Swan Lake First Nation and Long Plain First Nation. The Liberals are also strong in the Long Plain First Nation, which they won in 2019, and also have some residual strength in the Rural Municipality of St. François Xavier.

History edit

The electoral district was created in 1996 from the former districts of Lisgar—Marquette and Portage—Interlake. It originally consisted of the rural municipalities of Argyle, Cartier, Dufferin, Grey, Lakeview, Lorne, Louise, Macdonald, North Cypress, North Norfolk, Pembina, Portage la Prairie (except for the northeast corner), Roblin, Roland, South Norfolk, Stanley, Thompson, Victoria and Westbourne; the cities of Portage la Prairie and Winkler; the towns of Carberry, Carman, Gladstone, Manitou, Morden, Pilot Mound, and Treherne; the villages of Cartwright, Crystal City, MacGregor, Notre Dame de Lourdes, Somerset, and St. Claude; and the Indian reserves of Dakota Plains 6A, Long Plain 6, and Swan Lake 7.

In the 2003 redistribution, it lost the rural municipalities of Lakeview and Westbourne and the town of Gladstone to Dauphin—Swan River; and the rural municipalities of Argyle, North Cypress and Roblin, the town of Carberry, and the village of Cartwright to the riding of Brandon—Souris. It gained the rural municipalities of Rhineland and St. François Xavier; and the towns of Altona, Gretna and Plum Coulee from Provencher.

In the 2012 electoral redistribution, this riding lost the rural municipality of North Norfolk and the town of MacGregor to Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa and the rural municipalities of Victoria, and Louise and the town of Pilot Mound and the village of Crystal City to Brandon—Souris. It gained the rural municipality and the town of Morris from Provencher and remainder of the rural municipality of Portage la Prairie from Selkirk—Interlake.

Members of Parliament edit

This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

ParliamentYearsMemberParty
Portage—Lisgar
Riding created from Lisgar—Marquette, and Portage—Interlake
36th  1997–2000     Jake Hoeppner Reform
 2000–2000     Alliance
37th  2000–2003 Brian Pallister
 2003–2004     Conservative
38th  2004–2006
39th  2006–2008
40th  2008–2011 Candice Bergen
41st  2011–2015
42nd  2015–2019
43rd  2019–2021
44th  2021–2023
 2023–present Branden Leslie

Current member of Parliament edit

Its most recent member of Parliament was Candice Bergen, who resigned on February 1, 2023. She was first elected in the 2008 Canadian federal election.

Election results edit

Graph of election results in Portage—Lisgar (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)
Canadian federal by-election, June 19, 2023
Resignation of Candice Bergen
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeBranden Leslie20,25064.95+12.43
People'sMax Bernier5,35217.16−4.42
LiberalKerry Smith2,6668.55−2.40
New DemocraticLisa Tessier-Burch2,2087.08−6.30
GreenNicolas Geddert7042.26
Total valid votes31,18099.40
Total rejected ballots1880.60−0.15
Turnout31,36845.47−20.77
Eligible voters68,988
Conservative holdSwing+8.42
Source: Elections Canada[8]
2021 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
ConservativeCandice Bergen23,81952.52–18.28$75,005.66
People'sSolomon Wiebe9,79021.58+18.97$12,104.29
New DemocraticKen Friesen6,06813.38+4.70$2,822.40
LiberalAndrew Carrier4,96710.95+0.24$14,348.06
Christian HeritageJerome Dondo7121.57–0.36$7,509.16
Total valid votes/expense limit45,35699.25$111,667.24
Total rejected ballots3410.75+0.13
Turnout45,69766.24–0.40
Eligible voters68,991
Conservative holdSwing–18.62
Source: Elections Canada[9]
2021 federal election redistributed results[10]
PartyVote%
 Conservative22,44552.15
 People's9,41821.88
 New Democratic5,77813.42
 Liberal4,72010.97
 Others6811.58
2019 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
ConservativeCandice Bergen31,60070.79+9.95$60,166.75
LiberalKen Werbiski4,77910.71−15.08$18,673.74
New DemocraticCindy Friesen3,8728.67+2.47$0.00
GreenBeverley Eert2,3565.28+1.30$6,945.06
People'sAaron Archer1,1692.62$1,048.91
Christian HeritageJerome Dondo8601.93−1.27$21,830.60
Total valid votes/expense limit44,63699.39
Total rejected ballots2750.61+0.23
Turnout44,91168.64+1.19
Eligible voters67,397
Conservative holdSwing+12.52
Source: Elections Canada[11][12]
2015 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
ConservativeCandice Bergen25,06060.84−14.95$91,365.21
LiberalKen Werbiski10,62125.79+19.81$12,481.25
New DemocraticDean Harder2,5546.20−4.01$7,315.22
GreenBev Eert1,6373.97−1.67$7,832.39
Christian HeritageJerome Dondo1,3153.19$20,134.89
Total valid votes/expense limit41,18799.62 $208,924.52
Total rejected ballots1590.38
Turnout41,34665.44
Eligible voters63,180
Conservative holdSwing−17.38
Source: Elections Canada[13][14]

^ Change is from redistributed results

2011 federal election redistributed results[15]
PartyVote%
 Conservative25,73875.79
 New Democratic3,46710.21
 Liberal2,0315.98
 Green1,9165.64
 Others8072.38
2011 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
ConservativeCandice Hoeppner26,89975.99+7.72
New DemocraticMohamed Alli3,4789.83+2.54
LiberalMJ Willard2,2216.27−7.28
GreenMatthew Friesen1,9965.64−2.43
Christian HeritageJerome Dondo8052.27−0.55
Total valid votes/expense limit35,39999.59 
Total rejected ballots1470.41+0.06
Turnout35,54659.44+5.67
Eligible voters 59,799
Conservative holdSwing+2.59


2008 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
ConservativeCandice Hoeppner22,03668.27−1.52$57,186
LiberalTed Klassen4,37413.55+2.16$19,807
GreenCharlie Howatt2,6068.07+2.97$3,649
New DemocraticMohamed Alli2,3537.29−3.76$2,873
Christian HeritageLen Lodder9112.82+0.14$8,429
Total valid votes/expense limit32,280 99.64 $83,296
Total rejected ballots1160.36+0.03
Turnout32,39653.77–7.89
Eligible voters 60,246
Conservative holdSwing−1.84
2006 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
ConservativeBrian Pallister25,71969.78+3.85$44,321.83
LiberalGarry McLean4,19911.39−6.35$13,875.88
New DemocraticDaren Van Den Bussche4,07211.05+1.70$2,450.07
GreenCharlie Howatt1,8805.10+2.64$4,073.82
Christian HeritageDavid Reimer9872.68−1.51$9,372.57
Total valid votes36,857 99.67 
Total rejected ballots1230.33−0.09
Turnout36,89061.66+4.31
Eligible voters 59,970
Conservative holdSwing+5.10
Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada and Financial Returns, Elections Canada.
2004 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
ConservativeBrian Pallister22,93965.93−0.02$55,524.92
LiberalDon Kuhl6,17417.74−1.75$70,773.27
New DemocraticDaren Van Den Bussche3,2519.34+3.89$13,159.49
Christian HeritageDavid Reimer1,4584.19$12,986.64
GreenMarc Payette8562.46$649.69
CommunistAllister Cucksey1170.34$741.52
Total valid votes34,795 99.58 
Total rejected ballots1460.42
Turnout34,94157.35
Eligible voters 60,922
Conservative notional holdSwing+0.87
Percentage change figures are compared to redistributed results from 2000. Conservative Party percentages are contrasted with the combined Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative percentages.
Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada and Financial Returns, Elections Canada.
2000 federal election redistributed results[16]
PartyVote%
 Canadian Alliance17,68051.63
 Liberal6,67619.50
 Progressive Conservative4,90214.32
 Independents3,1189.11
 New Democratic1,8665.45
2000 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
AllianceBrian Pallister17,31850.31+10.07$44,417.63
LiberalGerry J.E. Gebler6,13317.82+3.21$44,267.57
Progressive ConservativeMorley McDonald5,33915.51−20.42$16,872.28
IndependentJake Hoeppner3,55810.34$40,395.49
New DemocraticDiane Beresford2,0736.02−1.17$3,880.73
Total valid votes34,421 99.71 
Total rejected ballots1010.29−0.15
Turnout34,52261.56+0.93
Eligible voters 56,082
Alliance holdSwing+3.43
Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada, Official Voting Results and Financial Returns, Elections Canada.

^ Canadian Alliance results compared to Reform

1997 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%Expenditures
ReformJake Hoeppner13,53240.25$55,221
Progressive ConservativeBrian Pallister12,08335.94$52,473
LiberalHeather Mack4,91314.61$14,412
New DemocraticGlen Hallick2,4207.20$9,391
Christian HeritageMartin Dewit5171.54$2,674
Canadian ActionRoy Lyall1590.47$1,210
Total valid votes33,624 99.56
Total rejected ballots1490.44
Turnout33,77360.63
Eligible voters 55,706
Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada, Official Voting Results and Financial Returns, Elections Canada.

See also edit

References edit

  • "Portage—Lisgar (Code 46007) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 3, 2011.
  • Riding history for Portage—Lisgar (1996– ) from the Library of Parliament
  • Expenditure – 2008
  • Expenditures – 2004
  • Expenditures – 2000
  • Expenditures – 1997
  • 2008 Results

Notes edit

  1. ^ Statistic includes all persons that did not make up part of a visible minority or an indigenous identity.
  2. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Filipino" and "Southeast Asian" under visible minority section on census.
  3. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Chinese", "Korean", and "Japanese" under visible minority section on census.
  4. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "West Asian" and "Arab" under visible minority section on census.
  5. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Visible minority, n.i.e." and "Multiple visible minorities" under visible minority section on census.
  1. ^ a b Statistics Canada: 2023
  2. ^ "Census Profile, 2021 Census: Portage--Lisgar [Federal electoral district], Manitoba". Statistics Canada. Retrieved February 22, 2023.
  3. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (February 1, 2023). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Portage--Lisgar [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  4. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 26, 2022). "Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
  5. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 27, 2021). "Census Profile, 2016 Census". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
  6. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (November 27, 2015). "NHS Profile". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
  7. ^ "2011 Census of Canada: Topic-based tabulations | Detailed Mother Tongue (232), Knowledge of Official Languages (5), Age Groups (17A) and Sex (3) for the Population Excluding Institutional Residents of Canada, Provinces, Territories and Federal Electoral Districts (2003 Representation Order), 2011 Census". 2.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved November 16, 2012.
  8. ^ "June 19, 2023, by-elections—Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved November 13, 2023.
  9. ^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved June 2, 2023.
  10. ^ "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
  11. ^ "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 4, 2019.
  12. ^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved June 2, 2023.
  13. ^ Official Voting Results
  14. ^ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates
  15. ^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections
  16. ^ Election Prediction Project

49°40′01″N 98°18′18″W / 49.667°N 98.305°W / 49.667; -98.305