2019 Japanese House of Councillors election

House of Councillors elections were held in Japan on 21 July 2019 to elect 124 of the 245 members of the House of Councillors, the upper house of the then 710-member bicameral National Diet, for a term of six years.

2019 Japanese House of Councillors election
Japan
← 201621 July 20192022 →

124 of the 245 seats in the House of Councillors
123 seats needed for a majority
Turnout48.80% (Decrease5.90pp)
PartyLeader%Seats+/–
Liberal DemocraticShinzō Abe35.37113−7
CDPYukio Edano15.8132New
KomeitoNatsuo Yamaguchi13.0528+3
IshinToranosuke Katayama
Ichirō Matsui
9.8016+4
CommunistKazuo Shii8.9513−1
DPFPYuichiro Tamaki6.9521+19
ReiwaTaro Yamamoto4.552New
Social DemocraticSeiji Mataichi2.0920
Anti-NHKTakashi Tachibana1.971New
Independents17+5
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Election results
President before President after
Chuichi Date
Liberal Democratic
Akiko Santō
Liberal Democratic

74 members were elected by single non-transferable vote (SNTV)/First-past-the-post (FPTP) voting in 45 multi- and single-member prefectural electoral districts. The nationwide district elected 50 members by D'Hondt proportional representation with optionally open lists, the previous most open list system was modified in 2018 to give parties the option to prioritize certain candidates over the voters' preferences in the proportional election.[1][2]

The election saw Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's ruling coalition lose the two-thirds majority needed to enact constitutional reform.[3][4] The Liberal Democratic Party also lost its majority in the House of Councillors, but the LDP maintained control of the House of Councillors with its junior coalition partner Komeito.

Background edit

The term of members elected in the 2013 regular election (including those elected in subsequent by-elections or as runners-up) was to end on 28 July 2019. Under the "Public Offices Election Act" (kōshoku-senkyo-hō), the regular election must be held within 30 days before that date, or under certain conditions if the Diet is in session or scheduled to open at that time, between 24 and 30 days after the closure of the session and thus potentially somewhat after the actual end of term.[5]

Going into the election, the Liberal Democratic Party and its coalition partner Komeito controlled a two-thirds super-majority of seats in the House of Representatives but did not control a similar super-majority of seats in the House of Councillors, necessary to initiate amendments of the Constitution of Japan.

Pre-election composition edit

(as of 15 March 2018)[6]

44326811701457
Opposition seats not upO seats upRORO upK upLDP-PJK seats upKLDP-PJK seats not up

In the class of members facing re-election, the ruling coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), Kōmeitō and Party for Japanese Kokoro (PJK) had a combined 81 of 121 seats (as of March 2018).[6] The governing coalition would have to lose 30 seats or more to forfeit its overall majority in the House of Councillors and face a technically divided Diet. However, as independents and minor opposition groups might be willing to support the government on a regular basis without inclusion in the cabinet, the losses required to face an actual divided Diet may have been much higher. If the Diet is divided after the election, the coalition's two-thirds majority in the House of Representatives can still override the House of Councillors and pass legislation, but certain Diet decisions, notably the approval of certain nominations by the cabinet such as public safety commission members or Bank of Japan governor, would require the cooperation of at least part of the opposition or an expansion of the ruling coalition.

Among the members facing re-election were House of Councillors President Chuichi Date (LDP, Hokkaido), Kōmeitō leader Natsuo Yamaguchi (K, Tokyo) and Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry Hiroshige Seko (LDP, Wakayama at-large district).

District reapportionment edit

The following districts saw a change in their representation within the House at this election. One set of reforms were introduced in 2012 and first took effect at the 2013 election. The districts below are affected by the 2015 reforms, which started to take effect in the 2016 election.

In May 2018, the government announced that they are planning to introduce a revision into the Public Offices Election Law before the 2019 election. The proposed changes increased the number seats in the House by 6, 2 seats in the Saitama at-large district and 4 in the national PR block. As Saitama currently has the highest voters-to-councillor ratio, the increase would reduce its ratio gap with the least populous district (below the constitutional 3 to 1 limit). Meanwhile, the seat increase in the PR block is aimed to address the absence of representation of prefectures in the merged-prefecture districts (namely Tottori-Shimane and Tokushima-Kōchi) and popular discontent in those prefectures. The plan also introduced a ranking system for the PR lists. This essentially changed it from a most open list system into a less open list system, mirroring the one used in the House of Representatives elections. To reduce the chance of the non-representation of a prefecture, candidates from prefectures not running in the merged districts were to be prioritised on the list.[7]

Under the plan, the new Saitama seat and two new PR seats were contested in 2019, while the other three would be contested in 2022.

DistrictMagnitudeNotes
Hokkaidō3Increased from 2
Miyagi1Decreased from 2
Tokyo6Increased from 5
Niigata1Decreased from 2
Nagano1Decreased from 2
Aichi4Increased from 3
Hyogo3Increased from 2
Tottori-Shimane1Created from the merger of the single-member Tottori and Shimane districts
Tokushima-Kōchi1Created from the merger of the single-member Tokushima and Kochi districts
Fukuoka3Increased from 2

Opinion polls edit

Proportional vote intention edit

DatePolling firm/sourceLDPCDPDPPKibōKomeitoJCPIshinSDPLPReiwaOtherUnd.DK/
no ans.
Lead
13–14 JulAsahi Shimbun35122N/A6662N/A11296
6–7 JulJNN33.78.60.94.72.83.90.60.728.40.95.3
4–5 JulYomiuri Shimbun361036471025911
28–30 JunNikkei44141646218526
28–30 JunYomiuri Shimbun401025462023717
26–27 JunKyodo News28.89.01.65.63.43.21.20.239.20.910.4
22–23 JunAsahi Shimbun401326561122317
5 JunKibō no Tō loses its legal status as a political party and becomes a political organization.
1–2 JunJNN41.07.01.10.23.23.62.20.3N/A0.626.314.514.7
18–19 MayANN Archived 2019-06-01 at the Wayback Machine35.99.91.30.05.53.23.30.91.3N/A34.626
18–19 MayAsahi Shimbun37123165712N/A2625
18–19 MayKyodo News38.211.21.10.44.13.84.60.70.1N/A35.827
11–12 MayJNN38.47.30.80.33.93.33.20.60.629.212.531.1
10–12 MayNikkei & TV Tokyo4311205471019732
26 AprThe Liberal Party is merged into the Democratic Party For the People.
20–21 AprANN Archived 2019-04-23 at the Wayback Machine35.49.11.10.14.34.94.50.60.10.5N/A34.326.3
6 Mar – 15 AprAsahi Shimbun431731556212N/A1526
13–14 AprAsahi Shimbun391320567112N/A2426
6–7 AprJNN38.56.50.90.13.83.42.50.70.30.228.714.332

Results edit

PartyNationalConstituencySeats
Votes%SeatsVotes%SeatsNot upWonTotal
after
+/–
Liberal Democratic Party17,712,37335.371920,030,33139.77385657113–7
Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan7,917,72115.8187,951,43015.799151732New
Komeito6,536,33613.0573,913,3597.777141428+3
Nippon Ishin no Kai4,907,8449.8053,664,5307.28561016+4
Japanese Communist Party4,483,4118.9543,710,7687.3736713–1
Democratic Party For the People3,481,0786.9533,256,8596.47315621+19
Reiwa Shinsengumi2,280,2534.552214,4380.430022New
Social Democratic Party1,046,0122.091191,8200.3801120
NHK Party987,8851.9711,521,3443.020011New
Assembly to Consider Euthanasia269,0520.540215,1810.430000New
Happiness Realization Party202,2790.400187,4910.3700000
Olive Tree [ja]167,8980.34091,6750.180000New
Workers Party Aiming for Liberation of Labor [ja]80,0560.16075,3180.150000New
Independents of Japan3,5860.010000New
Independents5,335,64110.5998917+5
Total50,072,198100.005050,363,771100.0074121124245+3
Valid votes50,072,35296.9250,363,77197.47
Invalid/blank votes1,592,5273.081,307,3082.53
Total votes51,664,879100.0051,671,079100.00
Registered voters/turnout105,886,06448.79105,886,06348.80
Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications

By constituency edit

Northern Japan
PrefectureSeats UpIncumbentsPartyResultCandidates
Hokkaido3Chūichi DateLiberal DemocraticApportionment increased by 1

incumbents retired

Harumi Takahashi (LDP) 34.4%
Kenji Katsube (CDP) 21.7%
Tsuyohito Iwamoto (LDP) 18.8%
Kazuya Hatayama (JCP) 11.0%
Nami Haraya (DPP) 9.4%
Takahira Yamamoto (NHK) 2.6%
Osamu Nakamura (AtCE) 1.0%
Yoshinori Moriyama (HRP) 0.6%
Seiji Iwase (Worker) 0.4%
Katsuya OgawaConstitutional Democratic
Aomori1Motome TakisawaLiberal DemocraticLiberal Democratic holdMotome Takisawa (LDP) 51.5%
Toru Odagiri (CDP) 44.4%
Hinako Koyama (NHK) 4.1%
Iwate1Tatsuo HiranoIndependentTakanori Yokosawa (LDP) 49.0%Tatsuo Hirano (CDP) 46.3%

Hidekazu Kajitani (NHK) 4.7%

Miyagi1Jiro AichiLiberal DemocraticSeats reduced by one due to change in apportionment
Constitutional Democratic Party gain
Noriko Ishigaki (CDP) 48.6%
Jiro Aichi (LDP) 47.7%
Noriaki Miyake (NHK) 3.7%
Masamune WadaYour Party
Akita1Matsuji NakaizumiLiberal DemocraticShizuka Terata (Independent) 50.5%
Matsuji Nakaizumi (LDP) 46.1%
Ryuji Ishioka (NHK) 3.5%
Yamagata1Mizuho OnumaLiberal DemocraticMichiya Haga (Independent) 50.2%
Mizuho Onuma (LDP) 47.3%
Kenji Onozawa (NHK) 2.5%
Fukushima1Masako MoriLiberal DemocraticMasako Mori (LDP) 54.1%
Sachiko Mizuno (Independent) 41.9%
Masahito Tayama (NHK) 4.0%
Eastern and Central Japan
PrefectureSeats UpIncumbentsPartyResultCandidates
Ibaraki2Ryosuke KozukiLiberal DemocraticRyosuke Kozuki (LDP) 47.9%
Takumi Onuma (CDP) 22.4%
Kumiko Ōchi (JCP) 12.2%
Tōru Umino (Nippon Ishin) 11.9%
Ken Tanaka (NHK) 5.6%
Yukihisa FujitaConstitutional Democratic
Tochigi1Katsunori TakahashiLiberal DemocraticKatsunori Takahashi (LDP) 53.5%
Chiho Kato (CDP) 41.0%
Norimitsu Machida (NHK) 5.5%
Gunma1Ichita YamamotoLiberal DemocraticMasato Shimizu (LDP) 53.9%
Atsuko Saito (CDP) 38.6%
Mikako Maeda (NHK) 7.4%
Saitama4Toshiharu FurukawaLiberal Democratic1 seat gained by reapportionmentToshiharu Furukawa (LDP) 28.2%
Hiroto Kumagai (CDP) 19.3%
Katsuo Yakura (Komeito) 19.1%
Gaku Ito (JCP) 12.9%
Chie Shishido (DPP) 8.8%
Ryo Sawada (Nippon Ishin)
Eriko Sato (NHK) 2.9%
Ryoji Samejima (Euthanasia) 0.8%
Ichiro Kojima (HRP) 0.7%
Katsuo YakuraKomeito
Kuniko KodaYour Party
Chiba3Junichi IshīLiberal DemocraticJunichi Ishī (LDP) 30.5%
Hiroyuki Nagahama (CDP) 28.9%
Toshiro Toyoda (LDP) 19.1%
Fumiko Asano (JCP) 15.7%
Masayuki Hiratsuka (NHK) 3.9%
Masanori Kadota (Euthenasia) 1.9%
Toshirō ToyodaLiberal Democratic
Hiroyuki NagahamaConstitutional Democratic
Tokyo6Tamayo MarukawaLiberal Democratic1 seat added by reapportionmentTamayo Marukawa (LDP) 19.9%
Natsuo Yamaguchi (Komieto) 14.2%
Yoshiko Kira (JCP) 12.3%
Ayaka Shiomura (CDP) 12.0%
Shun Okita (Nippon Ishin) 9.2%
Keizo Takemi (LDP) 9.1%
Issei Yamagishi (CDP) 8.6%
Yoshimasa Nohara (Reiwa) 3.7%
Motoko Mizuno (DPP) 3.2%
Masanobu Ohashi (NHK) 2.3%
Nozue Chinpei (Independent)
Reiko Asakura (SDP) 1.5%
Hiroko Nanami (HRP) 0.6%
Hitoshi Sato (Euthanasia) 0.5%
Masahiro Yokoyama (Euthanasia) 0.4%
Koichi Mizoguchi (Olive) 0.3%
Jun Mori (Independent) 0.3%
Yasuhiro Sekiguchi (Independent) 0.2%
Sadakichi Nishino (Independent) 0.2%
Kikuo Otsuka (JIP) 0.1%
Natsuo YamaguchiKomeito
Yoshiko KiraConstitutional Democratic
Tarō YamamotoReiwa Shinsengumi
Keizō TakemiLiberal Democratic
Kanagawa4Dai ShimamuraLiberal DemocraticDai Shimamura (LDP) 25.2%
Hiroe Makiyama (CDP) 20.4%
Sayaka Sasaki (Komeito) 16.9%
Shigefumi Matsuzawa (Nippon Ishin) 15.8%
Yuka Asaga (JCP) 11.6%
Ryosuke Nogi (DPP) 3.5%
Daisuke Hayashi (NHK)
Rinko Aihara (SDP) 1.7%
Masakatsu Morishita (Independent) 0.6%
Aiko Iki (HRP) 0.6%
Tomoyuki Kato (Euthanasia) 0.6%
Taishi Enomoto (Olive) 0.5%
Mitsugu Shibuya (Independent)
Takayuki Akutsu (Worker) 0.2%
Shigefumi MatsuzawaYour Party
Sayaka SasakiKomeito
Hiroe MakiyamaConstitutional Democratic
Niigata1Ichiro TsukadaLiberal DemocraticSakura Uchikoshi (I - CDP) 50.5%
Ichiro Tsukada (LDP) 46.4%
Tadafumi Kojima (NHK) 3.2%
Naoki KazamaConstitutional Democratic
Toyama1Shigeru DōkoLiberal DemocraticShigeru Doko (LDP) 66.7%
Masae Nishio (DPP) 33.3%
Ishikawa1Shūji YamadaLiberal DemocraticShuji Yamada (LDP) 67.2%
Toru Tanabe (DPP) 32.8%
Fukui1Hirofumi TakinamiLiberal DemocraticHirofumi Takinami (LDP) 66.1%
Kazuo Yamada (JCP) 26.2%
Masami Shimatani (NHK) 7.7%
Yamanashi1Hiroshi MoriyaLiberal DemocraticHiroshi Moriya (LDP) 53.0%
Tomoko Ichiki (Independent) 43.2%
Keiji Ino (NHK) 3.8%
Nagano1Hiromi YoshidaLiberal DemocraticYuichiro Hata (DPP) 55.1%
Hiroshi Komatsu (LDP) 39.5%
Takashi Furuya (NHK) 3.3%
Yoshiaki Saito (Worker) 2.1%
Yuichiro HataConstitutional Democratic
Gifu1Yasutada ŌnoLiberal DemocraticYasutada Ōno (LDP) 56.4%
Shinichi Umemura (CDP) 36.1%
Masahiko Sakamoto (NHK) 7.5%
Shizuoka2Takao MakinoLiberal DemocraticTakao Makino (LDP) 38.5%
Kazuya Shimba (DPP) 29.4%
Iehiro Tokugawa (CDP) 19.9%
Chika Suzuki (JCP) 9.0%
Koichi Hatayama (NHK) 3.2%
Kazuya ShimbaConstitutional Democratic
Aichi4Yasuyuki SakaiLiberal Democratic1 seat added by reapportionmentTsuneyuki Sakai (LDP) 25.7%
Kohei Otsuka (DPP) 17.7%
Maiko Taijima (CDP) 16.1%
Nobuo Yasue (Komeito) 15.8%
Maki Misaki (Nippon Ishin) 9.4%
Hatsumi Suyama (JCP) 7.6%
Yukari Suenaga (NHK) 3.0%
Ryohei Hirayama (SDP) 1.5%
Hitoshi Ishi (Independent) 1.1%
Hiroyuki Ushida (Euthanasia) 0.9%
Hitoshi Furukawa (Worker) 0.6%
Tsutomu Hashimoto (Olive) 0.6%
Kohei OtsukaConstitutional Democratic
Michiyo YakushijiYour Party
Mie1Yūmi YoshikawaLiberal DemocraticYumi Yoshikawa (LDP) 50.3%
Masahide Yoshino (Independent) 44.3%
Kadota Setsuyo (NHK) 5.4%
Western Japan
PrefectureSeats UpIncumbentsPartyResultCandidates (Party)

Vote share

Shiga1Takeshi NinoyuLiberal DemocraticYukiko Kada (I-CDP) 49.4%
Ninoyu Takeshi (LDP) 47.0%
Osamu Hattori (NHK) 3.6%
Kyoto2Shoji NishidaLiberal DemocraticShoji Nishida (LDP) 44.2%
Akiko Kurabayashi (JCP) 25.8%
Hiroko Masuhara (CDP) 24.4%
Akihisa Yamada (NHK) 3.9%
Takashi Mikami (Olive) 1.7%
Akiko KurabayashiConstitutional Democratic
Osaka4Tōru AzumaNippon IshinMizuho Umemura (Nippon Ishin) 20.9%
Toru Azuma (Nippon Ishin) 18.9%
Hisatake Sugi (Komeito) 16.9%
Fusae Ota (LDP) 16.0%
Kotaro Tatsumi (JCP) 10.9%
Michiko Kameishi (CDP) 10.2%
Nishanta (DPP) 3.7%
Takinori Ozaki (NHK) 1.2%
Takeshi Hamada (Euthanasia) 0.4%
Keigo Kazumori (HRP) 0.3%
Mio Adachi (Olice) 0.3%
Ichiro Sasaki (Worker 0.2%)
Takuji YanagimotoLiberal Democratic
Hisatake SugiKomeito
Kotaro TatsumiCommunist Party
Hyōgo3Yoshitada KonoikeLiberal Democratic
Takayuki ShimizuNippon Ishin
Nara1Iwao HoriiLiberal Democratic
Wakayama1Hiroshige SekōLiberal Democratic
Tottori-Shimane1Shōji MaitachiLiberal Democratic
Okayama1Masahiro IshiiLiberal Democratic
Hiroshima2Kensei MizoteLiberal Democratic
Shinji MorimotoConstitutional Democratic
Yamaguchi1Yoshimasa HayashiLiberal Democratic
Tokushima1Tōru MikiLiberal Democratic
Kagawa1Shingo MiyakeLiberal Democratic
Ehime1Takumi IharaLiberal Democratic
Kōchi1Kojiro NakanoLiberal Democratic
Southern Japan
PrefectureSeats UpIncumbentsPartyResultCandidates (Party)

Vote share

Fukuoka3Masaji MatsuyamaLiberal Democratic
Kuniyoshi NodaConstitutional Democratic
Saga1Yūhei YamashitaLiberal Democratic
Nagasaki1Yūichirō KogaLiberal Democratic
Kumamoto1Seishi BabaLiberal Democratic
Ōita1Yōsuke IsozakiLiberal Democratic
Miyazaki1Makoto NagamineLiberal Democratic
Kagoshima1Hidehisa OtsujiLiberal Democratic
Okinawa1Keiko ItokazuOkinawa SM Party

Notes edit

References edit

  1. ^ NHK kaisetsu blog archive, 19 July 2018: 「参院定数6増 比例特定枠導入~選挙制度改革行方は」(時論公論)
  2. ^ MIC, electoral system news, 24 October 2018: 参議院議員選挙制度の改正について
  3. ^ "Forces seeking to change Japan's Constitution to lose 2/3 majority in upper house". July 22, 2019 – via Mainichi Daily News.
  4. ^ "Abe wins upper house poll but suffers constitutional reform setback". Kyodo News+.
  5. ^ e-gov legal database: 公職選挙法 Archived 2016-07-29 at the Wayback Machine, chapter 5 (election dates), article 32 (regular elections)
  6. ^ a b House of Councillors: Members Strength of the Political Groups in the House (only caucus totals and female members; full Japanese version partitioned by class/end of term and election segment 会派別所属議員数一覧)
  7. ^ Hisanaga, Ryuichi (29 May 2018). "LDP compiles plan to revise Upper House election system". Asahi Shimbun. Retrieved 30 May 2018.[permanent dead link]