2019 Dutch Senate election

The 2019 election to the Senate of the Netherlands was held on 27 May 2019, two months after the provincial elections.[1]

2019 Dutch Senate election
Netherlands
← 201527 May 2019[1]2023 →

All 75 seats in the Senate
38 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeader%Seats+/–
FvDHenk Otten15.8712New
VVDAnnemarie Jorritsma[2]15.1112−1
CDABen Knapen[3]11.419−3
GLPaul Rosenmöller11.188+4
D66Annelien Bredenoord[4]8.757−3
PvdAMei Li Vos8.626−2
PVVMarjolein Faber6.535−4
SPTiny Kox5.884−5
CUMirjam Bikker5.034+1
PvdDNiko Koffeman3.783+1
50+Martin van Rooijen3.0320
SGPPeter Schalk2.6020
OSFGerben Gerbrandy1.3110
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
President of the Senate before President of the Senate after
Ankie Broekers-Knol Ankie Broekers-Knol
VVD
Jan Anthonie Bruijn
VVD

Forum for Democracy, which took part for the first time, became the largest party. This was later undone by several party splits.

Electoral system edit

The Senate consists of 75 members elected every four years by the members of the States-Provincial of the country's twelve provinces, and, following a law change in 2017, electoral colleges representing the special municipalities of Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba,[5][6] who are in turn elected directly by the citizens two months earlier in the 2019 provincial and electoral college elections. The seats are distributed in one nationwide constituency using party-list proportional representation.[7]

The value of each elector's vote is determined by the population of the province or special municipality which the elector represents, at a ratio of approximately 1 vote per 100 residents.

ProvinceMembersPopulation[8]VotesValue per member
South Holland553,674,14636,740668
North Holland552,853,48829,095519
North Brabant552,544,99525,465463
Gelderland552,071,91320,735377
Utrecht491,342,19413,426274
Overijssel471,156,37311,562246
Limburg471,116,12711,139237
Friesland43647,7406,493151
Groningen43584,0945,848136
Drenthe41492,1794,920120
Flevoland41416,4314,182102
Zeeland39383,0733,82298
Bonaire920,10419822
Sint Eustatius53,138306
Saba51,915204

Seat projections edit

Polling firmDate(s)VVDCDAD66PVVSPPvdAGLCUPvdDSGP50+OSFDENKFVDRutte III Support
ANP projection21 Mar 2019129654794312001331–7
Ipsos exit poll20 Mar 2019128764784313111031–7
Peil.nl exit poll20 Mar 2019128665773322111229–9
Peil.nl19 Mar 2019118675683222221128–10
I&O Research15–18 Mar 2019118576694312211028–10
Kantar Public14–17 Mar 201913766756432322930–8
I&O Research8–12 Mar 201912857759322321928–10
Ipsos8–11 Mar 201913759568342320828–10
I&O Research22–26 Feb 2019117687510432321828–10
Ipsos22–25 Feb 201912768559432321829–9
2015 election26 May 201513121099843222138+1

Results edit

Electors edit

Map showing the largest party by province in the 2019 provincial elections
Results of the 20 March 2019 Dutch Provincial and Senate Electoral College elections
Party or allianceVotes%Seats+/–
Forum for Democracy1,057,03014.5186New
People's Party for Freedom and Democracy1,017,93713.9780–9
CDA-affiliatedChristian Democratic Appeal805,86211.0672–17
Bonaire Patriotic Union1,5300.022New
Democratic Party (Sint Eustatius)3660.015New
Total807,75811.0979–10
GroenLinks783,00610.7561+31
PvdA-affiliatedLabour Party619,9068.5153–10
Bonaire Democratic Party2,1660.033New
Total622,0728.5456–7
D66-affiliatedDemocrats 66567,3637.7941–26
Bonaire People's Movement3,0970.044New
Total570,4607.8345–22
Party for Freedom504,9486.9340–26
Socialist Party430,0965.9035–35
CU–SGPChristian Union353,4434.8531+2
Reformed Political Party179,8992.4714–4
CU–SGP joint list in North Brabant19,4660.271–1
Total552,8087.5946–3
Party for the Animals317,1044.3520+2
50PLUS-affiliated50PLUS265,2153.6417+3
Party for the North10,5270.142+1
Total275,7423.7919+4
OSF-affiliatedLocal Brabant25,4850.3510
Frisian National Party23,6620.3240
Groningers' Interests18,5560.2530
Local Limburg18,4740.252+1
Elderly Party North Holland18,3070.250–1
Local Parties South Holland11,6480.160New
Local Parties Gelderland – Code Orange11,0530.150New
Party for Zeeland10,6190.152+1
Locally Strong9,3440.1310
U26 Municipalities6,5300.090New
Frisian Provincial Interests5,3450.070New
Total159,0232.1813+1
Denk121,7531.674New
Code Orange24,0470.330New
NIDA11,3470.160New
Seniors Brabant9,6870.130New
Elderly Appeal - Heart for Brabant6,7190.090New
Independent Party Drenthe3,7770.050New
Natural Frisian2,9170.040New
Jesus Lives2,3230.0300
Senior Interests1,4140.0200
Politically Active Elders1,2830.0200
Respect!9760.010New
Windward Islands People's Movement5470.014New
Saba Labour Party1100.001New
Total7,284,884100.00589+19
Valid votes7,284,88499.41
Invalid/blank votes43,0140.59
Total votes7,327,898100.00
Registered voters/turnout13,047,95056.16
Source: Kiesraad: European Netherlands (Provincial), Bonaire (EC), Saba (EC), Sint Eustatius (EC)

Senate edit

Rutte III lost its majority in the senate.

PartyUnweighted VoteWeighted VoteSeats
VotesFaithless electors%Votes%±ppTotal+/−
Forum for Democracy87+114.8027,47315.87New12+12
People's Party for Freedom and Democracy78-213.2726,15715.11–0.6812–1
Christian Democratic Appeal76-312.9319,75611.41–4.209–3
GroenLinks65+411.0519,36311.18+5.928+4
Democrats 6650+58.5015,1548.75–3.007–3
Labour Party56±09.5214,9218.62–2.436–2
Party for Freedom38-26.4611,2986.53–5.055–4
Socialist Party35±05.9510,1795.88–6.404–5
Christian Union33+15.618,7075.03–0.584+1
Party for the Animals20±03.406,5503.78+0.623+1
50PLUS18–13.065,2513.03+0.572±0
Reformed Political Party15+12.554,4932.60–0.382±0
Independent Senate Group13±02.212,2651.31–0.261±0
DENK4±00.681,5630.90New0±0
Blank list0±00.0000.00New0±0
Total valid votes588173,12175±0
Invalid votes1+10.0040.00±0.00
Votes cast / turnout589±0100.00173,125100.00±0.00
Abstentions0±00.0000.00±0.00
Registered voters589173,125
Sources [9][10][11][12][13][14]

Results summary edit

Popular vote
FvD
14.51%
VVD
13.97%
CDA
11.09%
GL
10.75%
PvdA
8.54%
D66
7.83%
PVV
6.93%
SP
5.90%
CU
4.85%
PvdD
4.35%
50PLUS
3.64%
SGP
2.47%
OSF
2.18%
Denk
1.67%
CU-SGP (NB)
0.27%
Others
1.05%
Unweighted Electoral vote
FvD
14.80%
VVD
13.27%
CDA
12.93%
GL
11.05%
PvdA
9.52%
D66
8.50%
PVV
6.46%
SP
5.95%
CU
5.61%
PvdD
3.40%
50PLUS
3.06%
SGP
2.55%
OSF
2.21%
Denk
0.68%
Weighted Electoral vote
FvD
15.87%
VVD
15.11%
CDA
11.41%
GL
11.18%
D66
8.75%
PvdA
8.62%
PVV
6.53%
SP
5.88%
CU
5.03%
PvdD
3.78%
50PLUS
3.03%
SGP
2.60%
OSF
1.31%
Denk
0.90%

References edit