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2016 North Dakota gubernatorial election

For related races, see 2016 United States gubernatorial elections.

The 2016 North Dakota gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of North Dakota, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. This would have been the first time North Dakotans selected a governor under new voter ID requirements, in which a student ID was insufficient identification to vote,[1] but a court ruling in August 2016 struck the down the provision; the election was held under the 2013 rules.[2]

2016 North Dakota gubernatorial election
← 2012November 8, 20162020 →
 
NomineeDoug BurgumMarvin Nelson
PartyRepublicanDemocratic–NPL
Running mateBrent SanfordJoan Heckaman
Popular vote259,86365,855
Percentage76.52%19.39%
Burgum:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Nelson:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Governor before election

Jack Dalrymple
Republican

Elected Governor

Doug Burgum
Republican

The primaries took place on June 14. This is the first open seat election since 2000. Incumbent Republican Jack Dalrymple announced that he would not run for re-election to a second full term in office.[3] Businessman Doug Burgum (R) defeated state representative Marvin Nelson (DNPL) in the general election to become the new Governor of North Dakota.

Background

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In December 2010, Republican Governor John Hoeven resigned after being elected to the U.S. Senate. Jack Dalrymple, the lieutenant governor, was sworn in as governor and was elected to a full term in 2012. In August 2015, Dalrymple announced that he would not run for re-election to a second full term in office.[3]

Republican primary

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The North Dakota Republican Party endorsed North Dakota Attorney General Wayne Stenehjem at their April 2–3 state convention, however ballot access was actually determined by the June 14th primary election, which former Microsoft executive Doug Burgum won in an upset.[4]

Candidates

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Endorsed

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Other candidates

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Withdrawn

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Declined

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Polling

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Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Rick
Becker		Doug
Burgum		Wayne
Stenehjem		Undecided
ND United/DFM Research[15]February 18–25, 2016369[a]±5.1%—10%59%31%
  1. ^ likely Republican primary voters

Republican State Convention

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To endorse a candidate, delegates to the Republican state convention voted for one candidate in a series of rounds. After the first round, all candidates would remain on the ballot, but after subsequent rounds of voting, the recipient of the lowest number of votes would be removed. The first candidate to receive more than half the cast vote would receive the state party endorsement.

After no candidate received the majority in the first round, a second round of voting was completed, in which enough delegates voted for Attorney General Wayne Stenehjem to give him the endorsement without having to remove a candidate from the ballot or vote again.[16]

First Convention Ballot
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanWayne Stenehjem76947.97%
RepublicanRick Becker58736.61%
RepublicanDoug Burgum24715.40%
Total votes1,603 100.00%
Second Convention Ballot
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanWayne Stenehjem 823 51.50%
RepublicanRick Becker61838.67%
RepublicanDoug Burgum1579.82%
Total votes1,598 100.00%

Republican primary results

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Results by county:
  Burgum—70–80%
  Burgum—60–70%
  Burgum—50–60%
  Burgum—40–50%
  Burgum/Stenehjem tie—40–50%
  Stenehjem—50–60%
Republican primary results[17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDoug Burgum 68,042 59.47%
RepublicanWayne Stenehjem44,15838.59%
RepublicanPaul Sorum2,1641.89%
RepublicanWrite-in510.04%
Total votes114,415 100.00%

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Endorsed

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Declined

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Results

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Democratic-NPL primary results[17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic–NPLMarvin Nelson 17,278 99.66%
Democratic–NPLWrite-in590.34%
Total votes17,337 100.00%

Libertarian Party

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Candidates

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Endorsed

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  • Marty Riske, businessman and former state party chairman[27]
    • Running mate: Joshua Voytek[8]

Results

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Libertarian primary results[17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianMarty Riske 1,088 99.36%
LibertarianWrite-in70.64%
Total votes1,095 100.00%

General election

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Debates

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Predictions

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SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[28]Safe RAugust 12, 2016
Daily Kos[29]Likely RNovember 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[30]Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics[32]Safe RNovember 1, 2016
Governing[33]Safe ROctober 27, 2016

Polling

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Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Doug
Burgum (R)		Marvin
Nelson (D)		Undecided
SurveyMonkeyNovember 1–7, 2016313± 4.6%70%27%3%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 31–November 6, 2016288± 4.6%68%29%3%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 28–November 3, 2016276± 4.6%70%27%3%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 27–November 2, 2016260± 4.6%69%28%3%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 26–November 1, 2016254± 4.6%67%30%3%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 25–31, 2016279± 4.6%68%29%3%

Results

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North Dakota gubernatorial election, 2016[34]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanDoug Burgum 259,863 76.52% +13.42%
Democratic–NPLMarvin Nelson65,85519.39%-14.92%
LibertarianMarty Riske13,2303.90%N/A
Write-in6530.19%N/A
Total votes339,601 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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See also

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References

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