2010 Belgian federal election

Federal elections were held in Belgium on 13 June 2010,[1] during the midst of the 2007-11 Belgian political crisis. After the fall of the previous Leterme II Government over the withdrawal of Open Flemish Liberals and Democrats (Open VLD) from the government the King dissolved the legislature and called new elections. The New Flemish Alliance, led by Bart De Wever, emerged as the plurality party with 27 seats, just one more than the francophone Socialist Party, led by Elio Di Rupo, which was the largest party in the Wallonia region and Brussels.[2] It took a world record 541 days until a government was formed, resulting in a government led by Di Rupo.[3]

2010 Belgian federal election
Belgium
← 200713 June 2010 (2010-06-13)2014 →
Chamber of Representatives

All 150 seats in the Chamber of Representatives
76 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeader%Seats+/–
N-VABart De Wever17.4027+22
PSElio Di Rupo13.7026+6
CD&VMarianne Thyssen10.8517−8
MRDidier Reynders9.2818−5
sp.aCaroline Gennez9.2413−1
Open VldAlexander De Croo8.6413−5
VBBruno Valkeniers7.7612−5
cdHBenoît Lutgen5.529−1
EcoloJean-Michel Javaux
Sarah Turine
4.8080
GroenWouter Van Besien4.385+1
LDDJean-Marie Dedecker3.741−4
PPMischaël Modrikamen1.291New
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Senate

40 of 71 seats in the Senate
PartyLeader%Seats+/–
N-VABart De Wever19.619+8
PSElio Di Rupo13.627+3
CD&VMarianne Thyssen9.994−4
sp.aCaroline Gennez9.4840
MRDidier Reynders9.274−2
Open VldAlexander De Croo8.244−1
VBBruno Valkeniers7.603−2
EcoloJean-Michel Javaux
Sarah Turine
5.4620
cdHBenoît Lutgen5.1320
GroenWouter Van Besien3.8910
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Maps
Federal Government before Federal Government after
Leterme II Government Di Rupo Government

Yves Leterme served as the caretaker prime minister of the country for the period that it had no official government.[4]

Background

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Fall of the government

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Following a continued lack of agreement over how to resolve the conflict over the electoral arrondissement of Brussels-Halle-Vilvoorde, the liberal Open VLD left the government on 22 April 2010, continuing the 2007–2011 Belgian political crisis. Prime Minister Yves Leterme (Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams, CD&V) immediately offered his resignation to King Albert II, who accepted it on 26 April 2010. Following the elections held on 13 June, there were fears that coalition-building may take so long that Belgium's presidency of the Council of the European Union, which starts on 1 July 2010, might have to start under a caretaker government.[5][6][7]

Constitutionality of elections

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According to a statement by the Flemish President of the Constitutional Court, Marc Bossuyt, the elections might be ruled unconstitutional unless the Brussels-Halle-Vilvoorde arrondissement is split up beforehand.[8][9][10][11][12] On 4 May, all but one Flemish judge-president of the 13 Flemish Courts of First Instance wrote a collective letter, saying that the elections cannot be held with the current electoral districts and that a return to the previous electoral arrondissements is necessary.[13] In contrast, Ghislain Londers, the president of the Court of Cassation declared that all judges are obliged to cooperate with the electoral process. Before the judges' letters, former president of the Belgian Chamber of Representatives Herman De Croo stated that no court could prevent the elections from taking place.[12]

Importance of elections

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The international media saw the election as crucial to determine the future of the country, even though it was admitted that devolution would not happen immediately.[14]

Date

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The parliament was dissolved by Declaration of Revision of the Constitution on 7 May 2010 and elections were called by royal order of the same day.[15] The period with rules and limits on campaign spending (sperperiode), which normally runs three months prior to election day, started that day.

Voting occurred on Sunday 13 June 2010 between 08:00 and 13:00 in polling stations with paper ballots, and between 08:00 and 15:00 in those with electronic voting.

The newly elected parliament was to convene on 6 July 2010.

Parties

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The primary six Flemish political parties and their results for the House of Representatives (Kamer). From 1978 to 2014, in percentages for the complete 'Kingdom'.

Flemish parties (Dutch speaking)

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These Flemish parties field candidates in the regions of Flanders and the partially bilingual electoral district Brussels-Halle-Vilvoorde.

Walloon parties (French speaking)

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These Francophone parties fielded candidates in the region of Wallonia and in the electoral district Brussels-Halle-Vilvoorde.

Candidates

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Leterme stepped aside on 28 April 2010 and was replaced as leader of CD&V by Marianne Thyssen.[16]

Notable newcomers in politics:

Polls

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As of May 26, it appeared that the major development in the election was the surge in popularity of the N-VA in Flanders. Led by Bart De Wever, it supports eventual independence for Flanders, and an immediate switch from a federal Belgium to a confederal Belgium. The N-VA replaces the CD&V of outgoing PM Yves Leterme as the most popular party in Flanders. This development opens the question of how the francophone parties might react to forming a government with an openly sovereigntist, but politically centrist party if they do win a plurality of votes in Flanders. It appeared that the N-VA had attracted some popularity from the ethnic nationalist party, Vlaams Belang.[18]

Flemish constituencyFrancophone constituency
DateSourceCD&VN-VAOpen VLDSP–AVBGroen!LDDPSMRFDFCDHEcoloFNPPRWF
10 June 20072007 election29.6%18.8%16.3%19.0%6.3%6.5%29.5%31.2%15.8%12.8%5.6%//
29 March 2010La Libre Belgique[19]20.0%17.8%13.8%15.5%17.3%8.1%5.5%31.7%20.5%15.5%20.2%/4.3%/
4 May 2010l'Avenir[20]18.9%22.9%14.8%14.2%12.5%7.9%3.9%32.5%21.1%18.2%17.6%2.9%<1%2.0%
26 May 2010Dimarso[21]19.5%26.0%12.4%16.0%10.3%7.8%5.4%
28 May 2010l'Avenir[22]33.0%20.4%17.0%17.6%2.5%1.9%1.9%
4 June 2010Standaard/VRT[23]19.0%25.2%13.9%13.8%11.5%8.2%6.2%
June 2010La Libre Belgique[24]16.2%26%13.6%16.3%15%6.8%4.3%30%20.2%16.1%18.9%4.1%4.1%/

Results

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After polls showed the N-VA receiving 29% of votes in their region, media interpreted the election as a "victory for Flemish independence".[25] The following tables contain percentages on the national level (i.e. the result of N-VA is 17.4% on the national level, while it is 27.8% on the regional level).

Chamber of Representatives

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PartyVotes%+/–Seats+/–
New Flemish Alliance1,135,61717.40N/A27+22
Parti Socialiste894,54313.70+2.8426+6
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams707,98610.85N/A17–8
Mouvement Réformateur605,6179.28–3.2418–5
Socialistische Partij Anders602,8679.24N/A13–1
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten563,8738.64–3.1913–5
Vlaams Belang506,6977.76–4.2312–5
Centre démocrate humaniste360,4415.52–0.539–1
Ecolo313,0474.80–0.3180
Groen!285,9894.38+0.405+1
Lijst Dedecker150,5772.31–1.721–4
Workers' Party of Belgium101,0881.55+0.7000
People's Party84,0051.29New1New
Wallonie d'Abord36,6420.56New0New
Rassemblement Wallonie France35,7430.55+0.1500
National Front33,5910.51–1.450–1
Front des gauches20,7340.32New0New
BELG.UNIE20,6650.32New0New
Front National+11,5530.18New0New
Pro Bruxsel7,2010.11New0New
Left Socialist Party6,7910.10New0New
Parti Pensionné PP6,6880.10New0New
Vivant6,2110.10+0.0100
Wallon+5,8570.09New0New
EGALITE5,6700.09New0New
RESPECT5,6300.09New0New
Mouvement socialiste plus2,8270.04New0New
MP Éducation2,5720.04+0.0200
Vital2,2590.03+0.0100
Pirate Party2,2000.03New0New
Vrijheid1,5760.02New0New
N6100.01New0New
Total6,527,367100.001500
Valid votes6,527,36794.19
Invalid/blank votes402,4885.81
Total votes6,929,855100.00
Registered voters/turnout7,767,55289.22
Source: IBZ

Details

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Results by party (seats)
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RegionSeats won per partyTotal seats
ConstituencyN-VACD&VSP.AVLDVBGROEN!LDD

Flanders
Antwerp
8 / 24
4 / 24
3 / 24
3 / 24
4 / 24
2 / 24
24 / 88
B.H.V.
3 / 9
2 / 9
1 / 9
2 / 9
1 / 9
9 / 88
East Flanders
6 / 20
3 / 20
3 / 20
4 / 20
3 / 20
1 / 20
20 / 88
Leuven
2 / 7
1 / 7
1 / 7
1 / 7
1 / 7
1 / 7
7 / 88
Limburg
4 / 12
3 / 12
2 / 12
1 / 12
2 / 12
12 / 88
West Flanders
4 / 16
4 / 16
3 / 16
2 / 16
1 / 16
1 / 16
1 / 16
16 / 88
Total
27 / 88
17 / 88
13 / 88
13 / 88
12 / 88
5 / 88
1 / 88
88 / 88
PSMRCDHECOLOPP

Wallonia
B.H.V.
4 / 13
5 / 13
2 / 13
2 / 13
13 / 62
Hainaut
11 / 19
4 / 19
2 / 19
2 / 19
19 / 62
Liège
7 / 15
4 / 15
2 / 15
2 / 15
15 / 62
Luxembourg
1 / 4
1 / 4
2 / 4
4 / 62
Namur
2 / 6
2 / 6
1 / 6
1 / 6
6 / 62
Walloon Brabant
1 / 5
2 / 5
1 / 5
1 / 5
5 / 62
Total
26 / 62
18 / 62
9 / 62
8 / 62
1 / 62
62 / 62
Results by electoral constituencies (percentages)
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Region% won per party
ConstituencyN-VACD&VSP.AVLDVBGROEN!LDDOthers
FlandersAntwerp30.7115.5314.3211.0316.157.692.292.28
B.H.V.12.236.944.647.175.03*
East Flanders28.1515.4014.1517.4012.337.363.192.04
Leuven27.0516.2617.7914.519.619.793.141.86
Limburg28.8318.8118.1412.1012.794.812.891.62
West Flanders23.8923.0115.1313.539.076.317.671.27
PSMRCDHECOLOPP
WalloniaB.H.V.16.7419.178.077.9912.01*
Hainaut48.1817.5211.479.412.7510.67
Liège35.7922.3013.9313.833.0811.07
Luxembourg28.4919.5431.4111.712.446.41
Namur32.2024.6515.9213.383.1210.73
Walloon Brabant22.4835.7912.8916.335.047.47

Senate

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PartyVotes%+/–Seats+/–
New Flemish Alliance1,268,78019.61N/A9+8
Parti Socialiste880,82813.62+3.377+3
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams646,3759.99N/A4–4
Socialistische Partij Anders613,0799.48N/A40
Mouvement Réformateur599,6189.27–3.044–2
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten533,1248.24–4.164–1
Vlaams Belang491,5477.60–4.293–2
Ecolo353,1115.46–0.3620
Centre démocrate humaniste331,8705.13–0.7720
Groen!251,5463.89+0.2510
Lijst Dedecker130,7792.02–1.360–1
Workers' Party of Belgium105,0601.62+0.8000
People's Party98,8581.53New0New
Wallonie d'Abord62,2510.96New0New
Rassemblement Wallonie France40,3930.62+0.1400
Front des gauches28,3460.44New0New
Vivant15,4620.24New0New
Left Socialist Party7,8410.12New0New
Committee for Another Policy6,2540.10–0.1000
Mouvement socialiste plus3,9810.06New0New
Total6,469,103100.00400
Valid votes6,469,10393.36
Invalid/blank votes460,3756.64
Total votes6,929,478100.00
Registered voters/turnout7,767,55289.21
Source: IBZ

Chamber of Representatives (geographically)

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These maps depict the largest party in each constituency.

Dutch-speaking constituencies

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Legend:

Brussels, French- & German-speaking constituencies

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Legend:

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Candidates receiving the highest number of preferential votes.

For the Senate:[26]For the Chamber:[27]

Government formation

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On possible coalitions, election winner Bart De Wever announced he would seek negotiations with the Francophone Socialist Party.[28] The Socialist Party leader Elio di Rupo was tapped to become the next Prime Minister, because the socialist parties emerged as the largest "party family" in the elections, and because the New Flemish Alliance lacks a Francophone counterpart.[29][30][31]

Philip Blenkinsop of Reuters stated that the win of the New Flemish Alliance could have negative effects because "Belgium can ill afford drawn-out coalition talks because it has a large debt and any policy paralysis could make the country vulnerable on financial markets that are closely watching a sovereign debt crisis."[32]

Coalition formation continued for a record-breaking 541 days, with a government under Elio Di Rupo eventually being formed on 6 December 2011 after agreement was reached on the 2012 budget. The Di Rupo I Government included the Liberal, Socialist and Christian Democratic parties from both Flanders and Wallonia. The government excludes the New Flemish Alliance (N-VA), the Greens of Groen and Ecolo, Vlaams Belang on the right, the Lijst Dedecker and the People's Party. N-VA's absence, together with the unwillingness of Open Vld to enter into an eight-party coalition that included the green parties, meant the government coalition lacked a majority in the Dutch language group. It was the first time that the Belgian prime minister has been openly gay and the world's first male openly gay head of government[33] Belgium was thus the second European country to have a homosexual prime minister, after Iceland (Jóhanna Sigurðardóttir). Elio Di Rupo was the first native French-speaking prime minister since 1979 and the first Walloon prime minister since 1974.

References

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