1990 Japanese general election

General elections were held in Japan on 18 February 1990 to elect the 512 members of the House of Representatives, the lower house of the National Diet.[1]

1990 Japanese general election

← 198618 February 19901993 →

All 512 seats in the House of Representatives
257 seats needed for a majority
Turnout73.3% (Increase1.9%)
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
LeaderToshiki KaifuTakako DoiKoshiro Ishida
PartyLiberal DemocraticSocialistKōmeitō
Leader since8 August 19899 September 198621 May 1989
Last election51.06%, 306 seats[a]17.23%, 85 seats9.43%, 56 seats
Seats won27513645
Seat changeDecrease31Increase51Decrease11
Popular vote30,315,41716,025,4735,242,675
Percentage46.14%24.35%7.98%
SwingDecrease3.28ppIncrease7.12ppDecrease1.45pp

 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
 
LeaderTetsuzo FuwaEiichi NagasueSatsuki Eda
PartyCommunistDemocratic SocialistSocialist Democratic
Leader since29 May 1989February 1985
Last election8.79%, 26 seats6.44%, 26 seats0.83%, 4 seats
Seats won16144
Seat changeDecrease10Decrease12Steady
Popular vote5,226,9873,178,949566,957
Percentage7.96%4.84%0.86%
SwingDecrease0.83ppDecrease1.60ppIncrease0.03pp

 Seventh party
 
PRG
LeaderSeiichi Tagawa
PartyProgressive
Last election
Seats won1
Seat changeNew
Popular vote281,793
Percentage0.43%
SwingNew


Prime Minister before election

Toshiki Kaifu
Liberal Democratic

Prime Minister after election

Toshiki Kaifu
Liberal Democratic

Background edit

As with the previous House of Councillors election, the "four-point set of evils" in the minds of voters were the controversial consumption tax, the Recruit scandal, agricultural import liberalisation, and former Prime Minister Sōsuke Uno's sex scandal. Political commentators excitedly speculated whether a "Great Reversal" would finally come about in which the LDP loses its majority in the House of Representatives, as the prior 1989 election saw the LDP lose its long-held majority in the House of Councillors.[2]

Results edit

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Liberal Democratic Party30,315,41746.14275–31
Japan Socialist Party16,025,47324.39136+51
Kōmeitō5,242,6757.9845–11
Japanese Communist Party5,226,9877.9616–10
Democratic Socialist Party3,178,9494.8414–12
Socialist Democratic Federation566,9570.8640
Progressive Party281,7930.431New
Other parties58,5360.090
Independents4,807,5247.3221+12
Total65,704,311100.005120
Valid votes65,704,31199.23
Invalid/blank votes511,5950.77
Total votes66,215,906100.00
Registered voters/turnout90,322,90873.31
Source: IPU

By prefecture edit

PrefectureTotal
seats
Seats won
LDPJSPKōmeitōJCPDSPSDFPPInd.
Aichi22116221
Akita7421
Aomori752
Chiba181251
Ehime963
Fukui431
Fukuoka1984421
Fukushima12651
Gifu9621
Gunma10631
Hiroshima12831
Hokkaido231271111
Hyōgo1910423
Ibaraki12831
Ishikawa541
Iwate8431
Kagawa642
Kagoshima10541
Kanagawa209641
Kōchi52111
Kumamoto106211
Kyoto1042211
Mie95211
Miyagi963
Miyazaki6321
Nagano13841
Nagasaki95211
Nara52111
Niigata13841
Ōita7421
Okayama1042211
Okinawa52111
Osaka27857511
Saga5311
Saitama1785211
Shiga5311
Shimane5311
Shizuoka141031
Tochigi10631
Tokushima5221
Tokyo44181183112
Tottori422
Toyama642
Wakayama6411
Yamagata7511
Yamaguchi9621
Yamanashi532
Total5122751364516144121

Analysis edit

Although the LDP lost a net total of 25 seats, it still held onto its majority in the House of Representatives with a margin of 19 seats. This was due to the inequitable districting practices in Japan at the time, as individual voters in rural districts tend to both favour the LDP and also be disproportionately influential. However, the LDP did see losses among rural voters in the 1989 elections, and as a result the party pivoted away from their commitment to liberal import policies and back into a more protectionist rhetoric, declaring that "not one grain of foreign rice will be imported into Japan." The LDP also acquiesced by revising the consumption tax law to allow for exceptions; moreover, public resistance to the new tax had slightly decreased since the 1989 Upper House election. Although party leadership tends to have only minor influence on Japanese elections, positive cabinet approval ratings for the LDP bounced back from Noboru Takeshita's low of 10% to the reform-minded Toshiki Kaifu's 33%. In addition, the LDP also made sure to field an ample amount of candidates and to informally support independents, who increased by 12 in this election.[2]

The clear winner in the elections was the Japan Socialist Party, whose number of seats rose by 51 and whose popular vote rose by 7.12% from the last election. This was the JSP's strongest performance in a general election since 1967, and left it as the only party to gain any seats. Meanwhile, the other three main opposition parties (Komeito, the JCP, and the DSP) lost 11, 10, and 12 seats respectively, and all of them also saw reductions in their popular vote. According to surveys, however, the shift in support for the JSP was more to do with the familiar Japanese tendency to cast protest votes against the LDP rather than expressions of support for all of the opposition's platform. Moreover, the JSP continued to suffer from factional infighting and a relative lack of fund-raising when compared to the LDP, and thus its fortunes would only wind up being in the short-term.[2]

Notes edit

References edit

  1. ^ Elections held in 1990 Inter-Parliamentary Union
  2. ^ a b c Donnelly, Michael W. (1990). "No Great Reversal in Japan: Elections for the House of Representatives in 1990". Pacific Affairs. 63 (3): 303–320. doi:10.2307/2759521. JSTOR 2759521.