1948 United States presidential election in Tennessee

The 1948 United States presidential election in Tennessee took place on November 2, 1948, as part of the 1948 United States presidential election. Tennessee voters chose 12[2] representatives, or electors, to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

1948 United States presidential election in Tennessee

← 1944November 2, 1948[1]1952 →
 
NomineeHarry S. TrumanThomas E. DeweyStrom Thurmond
PartyDemocraticRepublicanDixiecrat
Home stateMissouriNew YorkSouth Carolina
Running mateAlben W. BarkleyEarl WarrenFielding L. Wright
Electoral vote1101
Popular vote270,402202,91473,815
Percentage49.14%36.87%13.41%

County results

President before election

Harry S. Truman
Democratic

Elected President

Harry S. Truman
Democratic

For over a century after the Civil War, Tennessee was divided according to political loyalties established in that war. Unionist regions covering almost all of East Tennessee, Kentucky Pennyroyal-allied Macon County, and the five Western Highland Rim counties of Carroll, Henderson, McNairy, Hardin and Wayne[3] voted Republican — generally by landslide margins — as they saw the Democratic Party as the "war party" who had forced them into a war they did not wish to fight.[4] Contrariwise, the rest of Middle and West Tennessee who had supported and driven the state's secession was equally fiercely Democratic as it associated the Republicans with Reconstruction.[5] After the disfranchisement of the state's African-American population by a poll tax was largely complete in the 1890s,[6] the Democratic Party was certain of winning statewide elections if united,[7] although unlike the Deep South Republicans would almost always gain thirty to forty percent of the statewide vote from mountain and Highland Rim support.

Between 1896 and 1948, the Republicans would win statewide contests three times but only in the second did they receive down-ballot coattails by winning three congressional seats in addition to the rock-ribbed GOP First and Second Districts.[8] In the early 1910s, prohibitionist “Independent Democrats” fled the party and formed a coalition, known as the “Fusionists,” with Republicans to elect Ben W. Hooper Governor,[9] whilst in 1920 the national anti-Wilson and anti-League of Nations tide allowed the GOP to carry a few traditionally Democratic areas in Middle Tennessee and with them the state,[10] and in 1928 anti-Catholicism against Democratic nominee Al Smith gave this powerfully fundamentalist state to Herbert Hoover.[11]

After the beginning of the Great Depression, however, for the next third of a century Republicans would rarely contest statewide offices seriously, despite continuing dominance of East Tennessee and half a dozen Unionist counties in the middle and west of the state.[12] State politics during the 1930s and 1940s was dominated by Edward Hull “Boss” Crump, whose Memphis political machine would consistently provide decisive votes in statewide Democratic primaries aided by cross-party voting by Republicans in eastern mountain counties.[12] Although Tennessee’s delegates at the 1948 Democratic National Convention were all opposed to incumbent President Harry S. Truman after his proposal for black civil rights titled To Secure These Rights, the presence of potentially formidable Republican opposition in East Tennessee and the Highland Rim meant that Crump could not even keep his own machine in line.[13] Governor McCord and even Crump’s long-time ally Senator Kenneth D. McKellar both broke with him over supporting States Rights Democratic nominees Strom Thurmond and Fielding L. Wright, with McCord losing the Democratic nomination to Crump foe Gordon Browning.[14] In order to get their electors on the ballot the Dixiecrats had to form a separate state organisation in Somerville,[13] although three of the Dixiecrat electors were simultaneously on the slate for Truman and Kentucky Senator Alben W. Barkley.[15]

14% of white voters supported Thurmond.[16]

Polls edit

SourceRatingAs of
Chattanooga Daily Times[17]Likely DOctober 15, 1948
The Montgomery Advertiser[18]Tilt ROctober 24, 1948
The Miami News[19]TossupOctober 25, 1948
Mount Vernon Argus[20]Lean DNovember 1, 1948
Oakland Tribune[21]Likely DNovember 1, 1948

Results edit

1948 United States presidential election in Tennessee[22][23]
PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
DemocraticHarry S. Truman (inc.)270,40249.14%11
States’ RightsStrom Thurmond73,81513.41%1
RepublicanThomas Dewey202,91436.87%0
ProgressiveHenry A. Wallace1,8640.34%0
SocialistNorman Thomas1,2880.23%0
Totals550,283100.00%12

Results by county edit

1948 United States presidential election in Tennessee by county[24]
CountyHarry S. Truman
Democratic
Thomas Edmund Dewey
Republican
James Strom Thurmond
States’ Rights
Henry Agard Wallace
Progressive
Norman Mattoon Thomas
Socialist
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Anderson5,91549.97%5,37245.38%4333.66%530.45%640.54%5434.59%11,837
Bedford2,39355.64%77117.93%1,12726.20%40.09%60.14%1,266[a]29.44%4,301
Benton1,75763.02%90832.57%1164.16%60.22%10.04%84930.45%2,788
Bledsoe1,09248.58%1,10349.07%492.18%40.18%00.00%-11-0.49%2,248
Blount3,14132.91%6,15264.47%2142.24%130.14%230.24%-3,011-31.55%9,543
Bradley2,03639.52%2,94257.10%1643.18%60.12%40.08%-906-17.59%5,152
Campbell2,26742.61%2,92254.92%871.64%310.58%130.24%-655-12.31%5,320
Cannon1,40866.20%55826.23%1416.63%100.47%100.47%85039.96%2,127
Carroll2,81845.65%2,65142.95%6069.82%520.84%460.75%1672.71%6,173
Carter1,80925.96%4,94370.94%1792.57%130.19%240.34%-3,134-44.98%6,968
Cheatham2,73188.58%1936.26%1504.87%80.26%10.03%2,53882.32%3,083
Chester98050.52%76639.48%1939.95%10.05%00.00%21411.03%1,940
Claiborne2,06844.13%2,50753.50%661.41%330.70%120.26%-439-9.37%4,686
Clay1,14660.28%70336.98%462.42%50.26%10.05%44323.30%1,901
Cocke93920.35%3,57677.50%721.56%180.39%90.20%-2,637-57.15%4,614
Coffee2,04156.68%59916.63%93325.91%110.31%170.47%1,108[a]30.77%3,601
Crockett1,41553.60%60122.77%61523.30%50.19%40.15%800[a]30.30%2,640
Cumberland1,60743.19%1,98853.43%952.55%90.24%220.59%-381-10.24%3,721
Davidson20,87755.46%8,41022.34%8,10321.53%1690.45%840.22%12,46733.12%37,643
Decatur1,56551.82%1,29142.75%1565.17%30.10%50.17%2749.07%3,020
DeKalb2,41254.67%1,75139.69%2495.64%00.00%00.00%66114.98%4,412
Dickson2,33774.31%48515.42%31510.02%30.10%50.16%1,85258.89%3,145
Dyer3,50365.31%98918.44%85515.94%70.13%100.19%2,51446.87%5,364
Fayette22612.66%663.70%1,48883.36%20.11%30.17%-1,262[a]-70.70%1,785
Fentress96236.52%1,58760.25%461.75%140.53%250.95%-625-23.73%2,634
Franklin2,94866.08%58913.20%89220.00%70.16%250.56%2,056[a]46.09%4,461
Gibson3,91765.60%1,13719.04%90515.16%60.10%60.10%2,78046.56%5,971
Giles3,67675.45%71714.72%4439.09%190.39%170.35%2,95960.73%4,872
Grainger64425.33%1,82471.75%572.24%80.31%90.35%-1,180-46.42%2,542
Greene3,28241.68%4,37555.56%1541.96%270.34%370.47%-1,093-13.88%7,875
Grundy2,00978.02%43116.74%1134.39%130.50%90.35%1,57861.28%2,575
Hamblen1,55239.46%2,11653.80%2285.80%180.46%190.48%-564-14.34%3,933
Hamilton16,96856.21%10,43434.56%2,5718.52%1500.50%660.22%6,53421.64%30,189
Hancock41620.15%1,59877.38%381.84%20.10%110.53%-1,182-57.24%2,065
Hardeman1,60948.76%3179.61%1,36441.33%30.09%70.21%245[a]7.42%3,300
Hardin1,27038.75%1,77954.29%1895.77%280.85%110.34%-509-15.53%3,277
Hawkins2,01934.70%3,63762.50%1172.01%240.41%220.38%-1,618-27.81%5,819
Haywood1,05049.32%1486.95%93143.73%00.00%00.00%119[a]5.59%2,129
Henderson1,15531.70%2,27862.53%2055.63%50.14%00.00%-1,123-30.83%3,643
Henry3,29276.99%60414.13%3728.70%60.14%20.05%2,68862.86%4,276
Hickman2,14074.36%47816.61%2267.85%250.87%90.31%1,66257.75%2,878
Houston1,15979.66%20213.88%886.05%10.07%50.34%95765.77%1,455
Humphreys1,32759.24%35515.85%54724.42%50.22%60.27%780[a]34.82%2,240
Jackson1,50268.68%53624.51%1426.49%50.23%20.09%96644.17%2,187
Jefferson90022.39%2,97974.12%1213.01%90.22%100.25%-2,079-51.73%4,019
Johnson43314.89%2,41382.98%471.62%60.21%90.31%-1,980-68.09%2,908
Knox15,94640.68%21,07453.77%1,8224.65%2210.56%1330.34%-5,128-13.08%39,196
Lake83355.46%17911.92%48232.09%50.33%30.20%351[a]23.37%1,502
Lauderdale2,55665.89%2987.68%1,00725.96%70.18%110.28%1,549[a]39.93%3,879
Lawrence4,85453.43%3,83742.24%3734.11%130.14%70.08%1,01711.20%9,084
Lewis1,14870.17%38123.29%885.38%140.86%50.31%76746.88%1,636
Lincoln2,96972.63%3618.83%75818.54%00.00%00.00%2,211[a]54.09%4,088
Loudon1,67337.05%2,60557.70%2004.43%190.42%180.40%-932-20.64%4,515
Macon73829.40%1,70868.05%592.35%30.12%20.08%-970-38.65%2,510
Madison4,72252.48%1,68118.68%2,58628.74%10.01%70.08%2,136[a]23.74%8,997
Marion2,55457.17%1,73838.91%1533.43%160.36%60.13%81618.27%4,467
Marshall3,05971.22%51712.04%69116.09%100.23%180.42%2,368[a]55.13%4,295
Maury2,90651.57%89515.88%1,79231.80%200.35%220.39%1,114[a]19.77%5,635
McMinn3,01639.36%4,43257.84%1842.40%140.18%160.21%-1,416-18.48%7,662
McNairy2,26745.62%2,39048.10%2865.76%160.32%100.20%-123-2.48%4,969
Meigs78849.56%74847.04%432.70%80.50%30.19%402.52%1,590
Monroe3,55347.08%3,90551.75%730.97%60.08%90.12%-352-4.66%7,546
Montgomery3,31073.47%64614.34%52511.65%130.29%110.24%2,66459.13%4,505
Moore52362.94%10212.27%20624.79%00.00%00.00%317[a]38.15%831
Morgan1,50048.62%1,57050.89%100.32%50.16%00.00%-70-2.27%3,085
Obion3,49075.59%64213.91%4609.96%90.19%160.35%2,84861.69%4,617
Overton1,83563.17%91731.57%1184.06%230.79%120.41%91831.60%2,905
Perry1,19668.42%45926.26%854.86%60.34%20.11%73742.16%1,748
Pickett56639.39%84959.08%191.32%30.21%00.00%-283-19.69%1,437
Polk1,41247.22%1,52951.14%260.87%190.64%40.13%-117-3.91%2,990
Putnam3,13456.33%1,87933.77%5119.18%260.47%140.25%1,25522.56%5,564
Rhea1,89745.70%2,07750.04%1593.83%110.26%70.17%-180-4.34%4,151
Roane2,30639.89%3,23655.98%2183.77%150.26%60.10%-930-16.09%5,781
Robertson3,04477.14%3769.53%51413.03%60.15%60.15%2,530[a]64.12%3,946
Rutherford4,15168.30%85414.05%1,01716.73%230.38%330.54%3,134[a]51.56%6,078
Scott97232.14%2,01666.67%180.60%120.40%60.20%-1,044-34.52%3,024
Sequatchie90766.06%42030.59%412.99%30.22%20.15%48735.47%1,373
Sevier84013.99%5,04984.11%701.17%390.65%50.08%-4,209-70.11%6,003
Shelby23,85436.60%14,56622.35%26,39640.50%2290.35%1310.20%-2,542[a]-3.90%65,176
Smith1,76462.38%77327.33%2759.72%90.32%70.25%99135.04%2,828
Stewart1,96281.38%33113.73%1154.77%30.12%00.00%1,63167.65%2,411
Sullivan7,62650.44%6,98446.19%4723.12%320.21%60.04%6424.25%15,120
Sumner3,68873.67%79315.84%51510.29%100.20%00.00%2,89557.83%5,006
Tipton3,06665.50%2094.46%1,39429.78%80.17%40.09%1,672[a]35.72%4,681
Trousdale1,01482.51%1048.46%1108.95%10.08%00.00%904[a]73.56%1,229
Unicoi84429.50%1,92767.35%812.83%70.24%20.07%-1,083-37.85%2,861
Union51323.79%1,60374.35%190.88%160.74%50.23%-1,090-50.56%2,156
Van Buren63665.03%29830.47%393.99%40.41%10.10%33834.56%978
Warren2,96966.51%80718.08%66714.94%210.47%00.00%2,16248.43%4,464
Washington4,02334.80%7,05661.04%4263.69%340.29%200.17%-3,033-26.24%11,559
Wayne82028.65%1,95768.38%762.66%50.17%40.14%-1,137-39.73%2,862
Weakley3,09964.02%1,31027.06%4188.63%110.23%30.06%1,78936.96%4,841
White1,71964.09%63523.68%31211.63%110.41%50.19%1,08440.42%2,682
Williamson2,29459.41%55614.40%98325.46%160.41%120.31%1,311[a]33.95%3,861
Wilson3,13366.67%85418.17%68514.58%120.26%150.32%2,27948.50%4,699
Totals270,40249.14%202,91436.87%73,81513.41%1,8640.34%1,2880.23%67,48812.26%550,283

Analysis edit

Truman carried Tennessee more comfortably than expected, defeating Republican nominees New York Governor Thomas Dewey and California Governor Earl Warren by 12.26 percentage points and Thurmond by 35.73 percentage points. Thurmond did however make significant inroads into traditional Democratic support in the Black Belt of West Tennessee, where he received over eighty percent in Fayette County, and also did well in prosperous urban precincts in Nashville.

Truman received eleven of Tennessee's twelve electoral votes, with the other cast in favor of Thurmond by Preston Parks of Somerville, TN, who was also on the Dixiecrat slate.[15] [25] As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last election in which Hamilton County voted for a Democratic presidential candidate.[26]

Notes edit

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u In this county where Dewey ran third behind Truman and Thurmond, margin given is Truman vote minus Thurmond vote and percentage margin Truman percentage minus Thurmond percentage.

References edit

  1. ^ "United States Presidential election of 1948 — Encyclopædia Britannica". Retrieved October 31, 2017.
  2. ^ "1948 Election for the Forty-First Term (1949-53)". Retrieved October 31, 2017.
  3. ^ Wright, John K. (October 1932). "Voting Habits in the United States: A Note on Two Maps". Geographical Review. 22 (4): 666–672.
  4. ^ Key (Jr.), Valdimer Orlando; Southern Politics in State and Nation (New York, 1949), pp. 282-283
  5. ^ Lyons, William; Scheb (II), John M.; Stair, Billy. Government and Politics in Tennessee. pp. 183–184. ISBN 1572331410.
  6. ^ Phillips, Kevin P.; The Emerging Republican Majority, pp. 208, 210 ISBN 9780691163246
  7. ^ Grantham, Dewey W. (Fall 1995). "Tennessee and Twentieth-Century American Politics'". Tennessee Historical Quarterly. 54 (3): 210–229.
  8. ^ Phillips; The Emerging Republican Majority, p. 287
  9. ^ Langsdon, Phillip (2000). Tennessee: A Political History. Franklin, Tennessee: Hillsboro Press. pp. 287–295.
  10. ^ Reichard, Gary W. (February 1970). "The Aberration of 1920: An Analysis of Harding's Victory in Tennessee". The Journal of Southern History. 36 (1): 33–49.
  11. ^ Larson, Edward J. Summer for the Gods: The Scopes Trial and America's Continuing Debate over Science and Religion. ISBN 9780465075102.
  12. ^ a b Majors, William R. (1986). Change and continuity: Tennessee politics since the Civil War. p. 72. ISBN 9780865542099.
  13. ^ a b Guthrie, Paul Daniel (1955). The Dixiecrat Movement of 1948 (Thesis). Bowling Green State University. pp. 181–182. Docket 144207.
  14. ^ Langsdon, Phillip Royal (2000). Tennessee: A Political History. Franklin, Tennessee: Hillsboro Press. pp. 336–343. ISBN 9781577361251.
  15. ^ a b Guthrie; The Dixiecrat Movement of 1948 (Thesis). pp. 211-212
  16. ^ Black & Black 1992, p. 147.
  17. ^ Gallup, George (October 15, 1948). "Only Four States Go to Dixiecrats". Chattanooga Daily Times. Chattanooga, Tennessee. p. 6-A.
  18. ^ Moss, Charles (October 24, 1948). "Tennessee". The Montgomery Advertiser. Montgomery, Alabama. p. 16.
  19. ^ Moss, Charles (October 25, 1948). "Tennessee". The Miami News. Miami, Florida. p. 8.
  20. ^ Tucker, Ray (November 1, 1948). "Truman Whistling in a White House Graveyard, Says Tucker, Predicting It'll Be a Dewey Sweep". Mount Vernon Argus. Mount Vernon, New York. p. 8.
  21. ^ Gallup, George (November 1, 1948). "Final Gallup Poll Shows Dewey Winning Election with Wide Electoral Vote Margin". Oakland Tribune. Oakland, California. pp. 1–2.
  22. ^ "1948 Presidential General Election Results – Tennessee". Retrieved October 31, 2017.
  23. ^ "The American Presidency Project — Election of 1948". Retrieved October 31, 2017.
  24. ^ "TN US President, November 02, 1948". Our Campaigns.
  25. ^ https://nyti.ms/3PPf2IN
  26. ^ Sullivan, Robert David; ‘How the Red and Blue Map Evolved Over the Past Century’; America Magazine in The National Catholic Review; June 29, 2016

Works cited edit