2010 Ohio gubernatorial election

The 2010 Ohio gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor Ted Strickland ran for re-election to a second term as governor and was opposed by former U.S. Representative John Kasich; both Strickland and Kasich won their respective primaries uncontested. The race between the two major candidates was prolonged and brutal, with both candidates employing various campaign surrogates to bolster their campaigns. Ultimately, Kasich defeated Strickland.

2010 Ohio gubernatorial election

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NomineeJohn KasichTed Strickland
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Running mateMary TaylorYvette Brown
Popular vote1,889,1861,812,059
Percentage49.04%47.04%

Kasich:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Strickland:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Governor before election

Ted Strickland
Democratic

Elected Governor

John Kasich
Republican

Strickland's defeat was widely attributed to the decline of Ohio's economy, as well as the loss of 400,000 jobs since the beginning of his term. The policies of the then-president Barack Obama proved to be a hot topic among voters, with Strickland voicing his support for the healthcare overhauls initiated by Obama's administration, contrary to Kasich, who opposed the policies.[1] As of 2023, this is the last time an incumbent governor of Ohio lost re-election.

Democratic primary edit

Candidates edit

Results edit

Democratic primary results[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticTed Strickland (incumbent) 630,785 100.00%
Total votes630,785 100.00%

Republican primary edit

Candidates edit

Results edit

Republican primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Kasich 746,719 100.00%
Total votes746,719 100.00%

Libertarian primary edit

Candidates edit

  • Ken Matesz

Results edit

Libertarian Party primary results[4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianKen Matesz 4,407 100.00%
Total votes4,407 100.00%

Green primary edit

Candidates edit

  • Dennis Spisak, former congressional candidate

Results edit

Green Party primary results[5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
GreenDennis Spisak 924 100.00%
Total votes924 100.00%

General election edit

Predictions edit

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[6]TossupOctober 14, 2010
Rothenberg[7]Tilt R (flip)October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[8]TossupNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9]Lean R (flip)October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[10]TossupOctober 28, 2010

Polling edit

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredTed
Strickland (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Public Policy PollingOctober 28–30, 201048%49%
Angus Reid Public OpinionOctober 27–29, 201046%49%
Survey USAOctober 22–26, 201044%49%
Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 18–24, 201043%49%
Fox News/POROctober 23, 201043%47%
CNN/Time MagazineOctober 15–19, 201048%46%
University of CincinnatiOctober 14–18, 201047%49%
Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 12–17, 201041%51%
University of CincinnatiOctober 8–13, 201043%51%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 11, 201045%48%
Fox News/POROctober 9, 201042%47%
Angus Reid Public OpinionOctober 5–8, 201046%48%
Quinnipiac UniversitySeptember 29 – October 3, 201041%50%
Fox News/POROctober 2, 201043%49%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 27, 201042%50%
CBS/NY TimesSeptember 23–27, 201042%43%
Reuters/IpsosSeptember 23–25, 201046%47%
Ohio Newspapers Poll/UCSeptember 24, 201045%49%
SurveyUSASeptember 14, 201040%52%
CNN/Time MagazineSeptember 10–14, 201044%51%
QuinnipiacSeptember 9–14, 201037%54%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 13, 201043%50%
Fox News/Pulse ResearchSeptember 11, 201043%48%
The Columbus DispatchAugust 25 – September 3, 201037%49%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 30, 201039%47%
Public Policy PollingAugust 27–29, 201040%50%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 16, 201040%48%
Reuters/IpsosAugust 6–8, 201039%48%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 2, 201042%45%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 19, 201043%48%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 29, 201040%47%
Public Policy PollingJune 26–27, 201041%43%
QuinnipiacJune 22–27, 201043%38%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 3, 201042%47%
UC/The Ohio PollMay 11–20, 201049%44%
Rasmussen ReportsMay 5, 201045%46%
QuinnipiacApril 21–26, 201044%38%
Research 2000April 5–7, 201045%40%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 30, 201045%46%
QuinnipiacMarch 23–29, 201043%38%
Public Policy PollingMarch 20–21, 201037%42%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 4, 201038%49%
QuinnipiacFebruary 16–21, 201044%39%
Rasmussen ReportsFebruary 5–6, 201041%47%
The Ohio NewspaperJanuary 13–19, 201045%51%
Ohio Right to Life[permanent dead link]January 8–12, 201033%43%
Rasmussen ReportsJanuary 12, 201040%47%
Rasmussen ReportsDecember 7, 200939%48%
QuinnipiacNovember 5–9, 200940%40%
The Ohio NewspaperOctober 14–20, 200948%47%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 23, 200945%46%
QuinnipiacSeptember 10–13, 200946%36%
Research 2000July 8, 200944%39%
QuinnipiacJune 26 – July 1, 200943%38%
Public Policy PollingJune 17–19, 200944%42%
QuinnipiacApril 28 – May 4, 200951%32%
QuinnipiacMarch 10–15, 200951%31%
QuinnipiacJanuary 29 – February 2, 200956%26%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 17–18, 200945%39%

Results edit

When the polls closed on election night, the race was very close, with Strickland and Kasich neck and neck. As the night wore on, Kasich's lead began to pick up strength, however once Cuyahoga County came in, Kasich's lead began to erode. In the end Kasich still won, but it was one of the closest gubernatorial elections in Ohio history. Strickland conceded at around 2 A.M. EST.

2010 Ohio gubernatorial election[11]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanJohn Kasich 1,889,186 49.04% +12.39%
DemocraticTed Strickland (incumbent)1,812,05947.04%-13.50%
LibertarianKen Matesz92,1162.39%+0.61%
GreenDennis Spisak58,4751.52%+0.50%
Write-in6330.02%N/A
Majority77,1272.00%-21.89%
Total votes3,852,469 100.00%
Republican gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican edit

References edit

  1. ^ "Ohio - Election Results 2010 - The New York Times". www.nytimes.com. Retrieved May 21, 2020.
  2. ^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Democratic: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
  3. ^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Republican: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
  4. ^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Libertarian: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
  5. ^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Green: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
  6. ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  7. ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  8. ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  9. ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  10. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  11. ^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor: November 2, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.

External links edit

Debates
Official campaign websites (Archived)